USD/JPY: meeting of Bank of Japan is in the focus
Review of the past week
The last week on the currency market showed consolidation of the US currency against its major competitors. As German GDP data for 2013 was weak and the US inflation report was moderately positive, united European currency got under pressure. Economic growth in one of the leading European economy – Germany – demonstrates decline 3 years in succession, which one more time confirms accuracy of Mario Drahgi's expectations about a weak growth of European economy within nearest few years. A moderate growth of the US CPI and PPI increased the number of supporters of tapering of stimulative measures which will be demonstrated at the FOMC meeting on January 29. All these facts worked in favor of bears and having lost 139 points for the week Eur/Usd pair finished week's trades at the point of 1.3539.
GBP/USD quotations had been declining from Monday to Thursday on the background of week inflation data in Great Britain. But strong Friday's report on retails allowed “cable” to cut the distance between this currency and USD. Growth of retails in 2013 was the most significant over the last 9 years. Positive news background on the last trading day allowed British currency to close the week with minor damages on the level of 1.6423.
For the last week, USD/JPY currency pair added 0.3%. Japan did not publish any important macroeconomic stats. Negative background for the Japanese currency is formed by investors' s expectations regarding further tapering of stimulative measures in the USA and enhancement of quantitative softening in Japan. Any strong correction of USD/JPY pair is followed by growth of quotations which speaks for a strength of ascending trend.
Forecast for the week January 20 – 24