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  1. #721
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    Forex Forecast for 2-6 November 2015

    First, a review of last week's forecast :
    • most experts and graphical analysis insisted that EUR/USD would be moving in a 1.1000-1.1100 sideways corridor. Even the US Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates could not hamper this forecast. After crashing by 160 plus points Wednesday evening, by the end of the week the pair returned to the indicated boundaries and ended the week at around 1.1000;
    • about 80% of the indicators and half of the experts voted for GBP/USD to go down to support at 1.5200 at the most. The remaining 50% of the experts and graphical analysis talked about a sideways trend with resistance around 1.5470. Both forecasts turned out to be right - first, GBP/USD gradually went down to 1.5225 but then recovered and reached 1.5470 Friday night;
    • for USD/JPY the experts and the indicators determined a sideways corridor with support at 120.50 and resistance at 122.00. All that happened except that the corridor shifted down by about 50 points to a 120.00-121.50 range, with 120.50 as a pivot point;
    • the forecast for USD/CHF was only upward movement, and the pair did reach 0.9950. Now just 50 points separate it from the landmark 1.0000.


    The forecast for the coming week.
    Summarizing opinions of several dozen analysts from leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts made on the basis of different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be proposed :
    • just one (!) analyst predicts that EUR/USD will rise to 1.1200. All the others (the experts, the indicators and graphical analysis) believe the pair will drop to support around 1.0800. With this, according to graphical analysis on H4, the pair will first fall to support at 1.0955, rebound to 1.1055 and only then move downwards hitting the bottom at 1.0600. It won't settle there but rather try to make it to around 1.0800;
    • graphical analysis and the experts predict some fluctuations for GBP/USD within a 1.5440-1.5470 range at the beginning of the week. Then the pair should go down under bearish pressure. Graphical analysis on H4 suggests that the main support will be 1.5315 while 33% of the analysts insist that the fall will be bigger and the weekly bottom will be at 1.5250;
    • indicators on H4 and D1 maintain neutrality regarding USD/JPY. As for the shorter timeframes, they predict a slight drop to 120.00, a key level for the pair for the past 11 weeks. Graphical analysis on H4 agrees with this. According to 70% of the experts, the pivot point will be 121.50 again, and generally the pattern of the previous week is expected to repeat. At the same time, a quarter of the experts believe that the pair will not give up attempts to get closer to 122.00;
    • the forecast for USD/CHF is still upwards. Although the experts and indicators on H1 and H4 don't rule out that the pair may take a breather within 0.9810-0.9900, the ultimate target remains 1.0000-1.0100. As for a longer-term monthly forecast, 25% of the analysts and graphical analysis on D1 warn that on reaching 1.0000, the bulls may become weaker and the pair will roll back to 0.9500.



    Roman Butko, NordFX

  2. #722
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  3. #723
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  4. #724
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    NordFX provided wide range Trading Platform with effective tools for the most convenient and profitable forex trading.



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  6. #726
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    Forex Forecast for 9-13 November 2015

    For starters, a few words about last week’s forecast:
    • by the end of the week, EUR/USD was supposed to get fixed around 1.0800. Graphical analysis on H4 elaborated that at first, the pair would reach the bottom at 1.0600 and then make every effort to go up to 1.0800. This happened for the most part – EUR/USD was moving down towards the target all week long and on Friday, following the news from the USA, first dropped to 1.0700, then tried to return to the target level and finished the week at 1.0740;
    • GBP/USD was predicted to experience some fluctuations within 1.5440-1.5470 at the beginning of the week, after which the pair was supposed to go down. A third of the experts set the weekly bottom at 1.5250. This scenario can be viewed as fulfilled, except for the fact that statistics from Europe and the USA, supported by ECB President Mario Draghi’s speech, gave such a boost to the bears that they pushed the pair down by yet another 200 points – to 1.5025;
    • almost all agreed that the pivot point for USD/JPY would be at 121.50 again. It was also said that the pair would continue to try and reach 122.00 at least. All was going according to plan until the release of data from the USA on Friday, after which the pair not only reached the target but also speedily soared up, settling only around 123.20;
    • the forecast for USD/CHF was only upward movement. The end target was set at 1.0000-1.0100, right in the middle of which the pair stopped Friday night. Thus, the forecast can be considered 100% correct straight out.


    Forecast for the upcoming week.
    Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on various methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested :
    • while most indicators in their forecasts for EUR/USD insist on its further fall, the majority of the experts and graphical analysis on H1 tend to believe that the pair will take a breather and move in a sideways channel of 1.0650-1.0850. At the same time, 15% of the analysts reckon that the pair will manage to break through resistance at 1.0900 and even reach 1.1000;
    • there’s a similar pattern for GBP/USD. Its sideways trend will be limited by support at 1.4950, resistance at 1.5220 and by a 1.5000 pivot point. Even if most experts talk about a bullish trend, 10% of them believe that the pair may briefly come down to 1.4850;
    • as for USD/JPY, of the main interest are the indications of graphical analysis. According to its forecast on H1, the pair may first rise to 123.50-124.00 (50% of the experts) and then go down abruptly. Graphical analysis on H4, 60% of the analysts and the indicators on D1 predict a 121.70-122.00 pivot point and support at 121.00. As for a forecast till the end of the year, both experts and graphical analysis on D1 name 125.30 as the ultimate target;
    • graphical analysis on D1 doesn’t rule out that USD/CHF will try to move up towards its 1.0210 high, where it was before Black Thursday, 15 January, and then drop down sharply. The analysts are unanimous that the pair has already reached its target for the near future and now will just be oscillating around the 1.0000 landmark. The main support will be 0.9950, the next – 0.9845. The closest resistance will be 1.0100, with the next at 1.0210.



    Roman Butko, NordFX

  7. #727
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  8. #728
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  9. #729
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  10. #730
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