
Originally Posted by
Metatrader7
Main cause - it's stupid to sell good EA, it is smart to sell bad EAs. It is also smart to share ideas in forums if you need a second opinion, input and development. Otherwise best ideas are kept quiet. For me forums were great to get free indicators and scripts, but not more then that
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Yes it's possible to develop a good one. But they aren't publicly available yet.
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My conclusion after running so many forward tests and few ultimately unsuccessful live test (with- $300 lost) that available EAs are:
1. stupid and their logic is too primitive, unable to adapt.
2. those that do perform profitable on demo forward tests, still fail in live markets because of life execution errors. the profit margin versus risk is too small, DD 40%. For instance on demo Thunder and Fap shows +20%/month over 4 moth actual demo on ECN, but this gets wiped out easily dew execution. Inverted risk reward, making them totally impractical, unstable.
3. Entire MT4 platform is buggy to begin with and realistically only good for manual trade, not to mention broker is given direct control over your EA. Just this fact alone making it obsolete option, but you can run same code on a different platform like Pro Station.
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Overall EA opportunity is over hyped by internet marketers who earn from selling EAs, not from running them in real markets. Some of the marketers are real elaborate and masquerade real well as "professional traders", but they are not currency traders, they are click bank or E-bay professional traders and or coders sometimes.
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In reality EA biz is in its infancy and as with market indicators and systems it follows the same motto: "keep the best, sell the rest".
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I remember 10-15 years ago it was a book selling boom
on trading, now it turned into EA selling boom. It will take few years for dust to settle.
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Beware of MT4 Stats and account statements in MT accessible with investor password. These are being repeatedly hacked and faked lately. In reality the only tests you can trust are your own market tests. Always run your own demo tests first before committing any money.
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Some traders use EAs as one of more elaborate market indicators in their manual setups. Some turn them on and off or run in combination with money management EA. In any case they use them as tools after months of tests and market observations. Some have a good grip on optimization and trust that, but only as another tool.
So it all boils down to your personal trading style
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I know you were promised EA will run out of the box, but that's widely an unsubstantiated claim. Run your own tests and get your refund