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Thread: Forex news from InstaForex

  1. #91
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    European Economics Preview: BoE Inflation Report Due

    Quarterly Inflation Report and claimant count from the U.K. and final inflation figures from the euro area are the major statistical events due on Wednesday.
    At 3.00 am ET, Spain's final GDP figures are due from the statistical office INE. In the meantime, Turkish consumer confidence data is due.
    The Office for National Statistics is set to release U.K. labor market statistics at 4.30 am ET. The number of people claiming jobseekers allowances is forecast to rise 21,000 in October. The claimant count rate is seen at 5.1 percent, up from 5 percent in September.
    Half an hour later, Eurostat is slated to release final inflation data for October. Eurozone annual inflation is seen at 3 percent, in line with flash estimate.
    The Bank of England is set to publish quarterly Inflation Report at 5.30 am ET. The report provides clear picture about the assessment of future inflation and growth. The bank is expected downgrade its growth outlook.

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    Europe Must Implement Agreed Fiscal Reforms: Luxembourg's Asselborn

    European countries must implement the measures agreed at the October summit to resolve the debt crisis, Luxembourg Foreign Minister Jean Asselborn said Thursday.
    In an interview to Deutschlandfunk radio, he also said that the euro rescue fund need to be strengthened.
    Meanwhile, the minister rejected the idea of amending EU treaties, saying that this will not be helpful in Europe's efforts to contain the crisis.

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    Research: Eur/gbp - Trading Strategy, Trigger Points, and Support and Resistance Levels

    RBS has given the following trading strategy, trigger points, and support and resistance levels:
    TRADING STRATEGY: (from Tuesday) Short here target 0.8473 onto 0.8356 stop at 0.8640.
    TRIGGER POINTS:
    0.8536 - Two previous significant lows strong support level
    0.8555 - The low of the cloud on the weekly chart watch for a close beneath here into week end.
    0.8356 - The Feb low and overall objective from this range break
    SUPPORT LEVELS: 0.8536, 0.8499
    RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.8617, 0.8706
    -Very little in this cross - that has begun quite a distinct ranging period; capped around 0.8600 and supported at the 150% projection of a previous range at 0.8518. The short term trend is still bearish and predominantly the market is struggling to make a higher high. I (analyst) prefer shorts over longs and would add to these positions on the breaking of 0.8518

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    Euro Drops To 4-day Low Against Yen

    Extending its early Asian session's downtrend, the European currency reached a 4-day low of 103.50 against the yen around 3:00 am ET Monday. The euro-yen pair is presently worth 103.55 and a move below the 103.40 support could set its lowest mark in 6-weeks.

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    Opec to Decide to Cut Output at It Dec Meeting As Global Oil Demand Is Likely to Decline-Iraq Oil Minister

    Iraq's Oil Minister Adbul-Kareem Luaibisaid on Tuesday that he expects OPEC to cut output at itsDecmeeting on falling global oil demand. He said that oil will likely continue trade between a range of $100 and $120 and added that the range was reasonable

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    European Economics Preview: BoE Minutes Due

    The minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting from the Bank of England and flash Purchasing Managers' survey from France, Germany and Eurozone are the major reports due on Wednesday.
    The French statistical office Insee is scheduled to issue business confidence survey results at 2.45 am ET. Business sentiment is seen at 95, down from 97 in October.
    Flash French Purchasing Managers' survey results are due at 3.00 am ET. The manufacturing PMI is seen at 48 in November compared to 48.5 in October. At the same time, the services PMI is forecast to rise to 45 from 44.6.
    Half an hour later, Markit Economics is slated to issue Flash German PMI. The manufacturing PMI is expected to drop to 48.5 and services PMI to fall to 50.
    At 4.00 am ET, Flash Eurozone PMI data is due. The manufacturing PMI is seen at 46.5 compared to 47.1 in the prior month. Likewise, the services PMI is forecast to ease to 46 from 46.4.
    The Bank of England is set to issue the minutes of the monetary policy meeting held on November 10. Policy makers have maintained the size of quantitative easing intact at GBP 275 billion and its record low interest rate.
    Eurostat is scheduled to issue Eurozone industrial new orders for September at 5.00 am ET. Economists forecast new orders to fall 2.7 percent month-on-month in September after rising 1.4 percent in August.

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    Euro Steady After Germany's Q3 GDP Report

    Following the release of Germany's final third quarter gross domestic product report at 2.00 am ET, the European currency held steady against its major rivals. As of 2:01 am ET, the euro was trading at 1.3374 against the US dollar, 0.8602 against the pound, 103.10 against the yen and 1.2290 against the Swiss franc.

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    Dollar Rises Against Most Majors On Eurozone Worries

    The U.S. dollar strengthened against most major currencies in Asian trading on Friday as traders bought safe haven assets amid lingering worries about the financial crisis in the euro zone and its impact on the global economy.
    Risk aversion aggravated yesterday after Fitch downgraded Portugal to BB+ with a negative outlook and German Chancellor Angela Merkel said euro bonds were "not needed and not appropriate."
    German reluctance to backstop the debt of its floundering neighbors has raised concerns that borrowing costs will continue to rise.
    Meanwhile, Moody's Investors Service on Thursday downgraded Hungary's government bond rating by one notch to 'Ba1', below investment grade. It also maintained a negative outlook, citing heightened uncertainty regarding the ability of the nation to meet its medium-term fiscal targets.
    The U.S. dollar rose to 0.9686 against the Australian dollar and 1.0493 against the Canadian dollar. The next upside target level for the greenback is seen at 0.967 against the aussie and 1.066 against the loonie.
    Against the euro, the dollar climbed to a fresh multi-week high of 1.3305. On the upside, 1.315 is seen as the next target level for the dollar.
    The dollar jumped to a 1-week high of 0.9225 against the Swiss franc and a fresh 7-week high of 1.5455 against the pound. If the dollar gains further, it may target 1.540 against the pound and 0.924 against the franc.
    The US dollar strengthened to a 2-day high of 77.55 against the Japanese yen. The next upside target level for the dollar-yen pair is seen at 78.0.
    The yen declined after Japan's finance minister Jun Azumi reiterated today that the nation will again take steps if there are speculative movements in the foreign exchange market.
    "We conducted a large-scale intervention on Oct. 31 and at this moment there is no sign that (the dollar) has become bottomless. We are carefully watching the market," Jun Azumi was quoted as saying at a regular press conference.
    "If there are speculative moves that we can't overlook, we will take steps without hesitation," Azumi said.
    But the greenback showed choppy trading against the NZ dollar, moving between 0.7405 and 0.7425.
    Investors now focus on the European session, in which German import price index for October, French consumer confidence for November and the Bank of England's housing equity withdrawal for the second quarter are scheduled for release.
    There are no major economic reports due in the New York session.

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    Moody's Says Debt Crisis Threatens EU Bond Ratings

    Moody's Investor Service on Monday issued a warning to the European Union sovereigns that the severity of the euro area debt crisis has put their government bond ratings at risk.
    The continued rapid escalation of the euro area sovereign and banking credit crisis is threatening the credit standing of all European sovereigns, Moody's said in a statement.
    In the absence of policy measures that stabilize market conditions over the short term, or those conditions stabilizing for any other reason, credit risk will continue to rise, the agency said.
    While Moody's central scenario remains that the euro area will be preserved without further widespread defaults, even this 'positive' scenario carries very negative rating implications in the interim period. The rating agency also noted that the political impetus to implement an effective resolution plan may only emerge after a series of shocks.
    In Moody's view, the probability of multiple defaults by euro area countries is no longer negligible. A series of defaults would significantly increase the likelihood of one or more members not simply defaulting, but also leaving the euro area.
    The rating agency said that the euro area is approaching a junction, leading either to closer integration or greater fragmentation.

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    S&P May Revise French Rating Outlook To 'Negative': Report

    Standard and Poor's may downgrade the outlook on France's triple A rating to 'negative' within the next ten days, French daily La Tribune reported Monday.
    The report comes as Fitch Ratings revised down the outlook on the U.S. credit rating to 'negative' on Monday, affirming the triple A sovereign rating.
    Yesterday, Moody's Investor Service issued a warning to the European Union sovereigns that the severity of the euro area debt crisis has put their government bond ratings at risk.

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