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  1. #2131
    Senior Member IFX Gertrude's Avatar
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    Jun 2012


    Australia Inflation Gains 0.4% In Q1

    Consumer prices in Australia were up 0.4 percent on quarter in the first quarter of 2018, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday.

    That was shy of expectations for 0.5 percent and down from 0.6 percent in the three months prior.

    On a yearly basis, inflation advanced 1.9 percent - unchanged from Q4 but beneath forecasts for 2.0 percent.

    The Reserve Bank of Australia's weighted median was up 0.5 percent on quarter and 1.9 percent on year, while the trimmed mean added 0.5 percent on quarter and 1.8 percent on year.

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  2. #2132
    Senior Member IFX Gertrude's Avatar
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    Jun 2012


    Odds of Fourth Interest Rate Hike in 2018 Surges to Almost 50 Percent

    Chances of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year four times rose to almost 50 percent on the CME's FedWatch tracking tool, indicating that the market is finally coming around to the idea that the central bank will be raising interest at a faster pace than initially expected.

    While some big forecasting Wall Street firms for months have been forecasting that the Fed will step up the pace of its monetary policy tightening, traders had been expecting three moves this year. The first increase has been approved in March, plus two more, potentially in June and September.

    But fed fund futures market on Monday gave almost a 50 percent chance that the U.S. central bank would move one more time in December.

    The CME's FedWatch tool, considered to be a reliable gauge of Federal Open Market Committee's actions, indicated 48.2 percent change of four rate hikes in early trade. The shift towards a more aggressive Fed came as the 10-year Treasury note yield hovered around 3 percent, which bond analysts have estimated would be a psychologically important level.

    The odds had had been just 33 percent a month ago and less than 40 percent as of late last week.

    In their latest forecast in March, FOMC members still indicated that there would be three increases in the funds rate this year. But with increasing indications of inflations accelerating and as the market starts to price in more moves, the committee could start to set its target higher.

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