Here are some statistics to see if certain patterns have some interest. And if yes, we can then improve the searches (best SL, TP).
Forex patterns & probabilities
Here are some statistics to see if certain patterns have some interest. And if yes, we can then improve the searches (best SL, TP).
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar (up/down ?) after a "cross" signal (open=close).
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 52/48 - 1185/1096
H4 - 45/55 - 145/176
D1 - 70/30 - 16/7
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 50/50 - 1182/1185
H4 - 50/50 - 168/168
D1 - 46/54 - 11/13
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 49/51 - 1171/1211
H4 - 47/53 - 158/178
D1 - 50/50 - 12/12
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar after a cross with an upper wick at least twice bigger than the lower wick.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 54/46 - 258/219
H4 - 48/52 - 37/40
D1 - 80/20 - 4/1
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 46/57 - 227/267
H4 - 50/50 - 39/39
D1 - 20/80 - 1/4
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 43/57 - 216/282
H4 - 47/53 - 37/42
D1 - 40/60 - 2/3
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
The opposite.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 51/49 - 203/198
H4 - 45/55 - 30/36
D1 - 67/33 - 4/2
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 52/48- 213/198
H4 - 49/51 - 34/36
D1 - 43/57 - 3/4
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 53/47 - 220/195
H4 - 37/63 - 25/42
D1 - 43/57 - 3/4
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Gap : current bar when open is higher than at least 10 pips over the previous high.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 48/52 - 30/33
H4 - 32/68 - 15/32
D1 - 53/47 - 9/8
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 48/52 - 30/33
H4 - 62/38 - 29/18
D1 - 35/65 - 6/11
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 45/55 - 29/36
H4 - 57/43 - 27/20
D1 - 35/65 - 6/11
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Gap : current bar when open is lower than at least 10 pips under the previous low.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 61/39 - 33/21
H4 - 55/45 - 28/23
D1 - 53/47 - 73/27
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 49/50 - 29/30
H4 - 41/59 - 21/30
D1 - 60/40 - 9/6
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 47/53 - 28/31
H4 - 42/58 - 21/29
D1 - 60/40 - 9/6
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar after an inside bar (lower high and higher low).
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 51/49 - 3502/3388
H4 - 49/51 - 1132/1166
D1 - 53/47 - 151/135
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 50/50 - 3542/3554
H4 - 47/53 - 1119/1244
D1 - 42/58 - 121/165
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 51/49 - 3555/3603
H4 - 46/54 - 1092/1274
D1 - 43/57 - 123/164
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar after a double inside bar.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 49/51 - 263/271
H4 - 51/49 - 154/150
D1 - 50/50 - 9/9
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 55/45 - 300/248
H4 - 44/56 - 135/175
D1 - 56/44 - 10/8
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 50/50 - 278/280
H4 - 39/61 - 124/190
D1- 50/50 - 9/9
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar after an outside bar (higher high and lower low).
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 51/49 - 2194/2073
H4 - 53/47 - 877/781
D1 - 54/46 - 141/122
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 50/50 - 2183/2191
H4 - 46/54 - 772/897
D1 - 39/61 - 104/162
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 49/51 - 2160/2247
H4 - 47/53 - 793/872
D1 - 39/61 - 105/161
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
Next bar after a double outside bar.
With EURUSD on the last 8 years.
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN bars
H1 - 55/45 - 113/92
H4 - 54/46 - 65/56
D1 - 78/22 - 7/2
On the 5 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 47/53 - 100/111
H4 - 44/56 - 54/69
D1 - 22/78 - 2/7
On the 10 bars after the signal :
Timeframe - %UP/%DOWN - UP/DOWN movements
H1 - 44/56 - 95/119
H4 - 52/48 - 64/59
D1 - 44/56 - 4/5
Trading forex risk disclaimer. Exclusive EAs in the Elite section.
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