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Thread: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

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    19 December 2013: FED Justified Hopes Of Investors, Indices Break New Records

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    Yesterday, the stock market of the United States of America finished the trading session on a positive note, due to the announced decision of the FED to start gradual turning of the program of quantitative easing in January, 2014. Note that following the results of the meeting of the Committee on the open market, the key interest rate remained at the former level of 0-0.25%. Representatives of the FED also noted that it will remain in this range even after the unemployment rate falls below the level of 6.5%.

    As for the volume of initial reduction of repayment of securities, it was decided to cut the current QE program by $10 billion, to $75 billion, considering the improvement of the situation on the labor market of the USA. Besides, FRS declared that measures for reduction of volume of the repayment of bonds will be taken further if the economy continues to be develop steadily.

    It also should be noted that during the meeting the improved economic forecasts were also announced. So, growth rates of the economy will make (in the current year) 2.2-2.3%, inflation and unemployment rates will be at the level of 0.9-1% and 7-7.1% respectively. Meanwhile, country gross domestic product in 2014, most likely, will increase by 2.8-3.2% whereas inflation will make 1.4-1.6%, and the unemployment rate will be reduced to 6.3-6.6%.

    Following the results of the trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index got stronger by 1.84% and was closed on a level of 16167.97 points, S&P 500 went into plus by 1.66% to the level of 1810.65 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 1.15% to the level of 4070.06 points.

    Futures for Oil this morning are decreasing by 0.20% on Brent and 0.09% on WTI. Brent is traded on a level of 109.40$ per barrel, and WTI is on the price of 97.97$ per barrel. Gold yesterday started to increase in price after the announcement of the decision of the FED, but very quickly lost its strength and returned back to its usual levels. This morning, Gold is decreasing by 1.17% and is traded on the price of 1221.21$ per troy ounce, Silver is down by 2.47% at a price of 19.56$ per troy ounce.

    Its also was an interesting day in the currency market, where increased volatility in all major currency pairs was observed. The decision originally weakened the US Dollar, however interest in the currency was returned quickly during Bernanke’s press conference, who practically promised that each meeting next year will actually go with program reduction on 10 billion Dollars, and by the end of 2014 QE3 will be completely reduced. One more interesting moment that the majority of officials are waiting for, is an increase in the interest rate, expected to happen in 2015. All these nuances defined the belief of investors in a bright future, however, it is better not to take everything mentioned so seriously, and it is worth dividing into two. This morning, the EUR/USD is on a level of 1.36790.

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    20 December 2013: The Statistics Didn't Confirm That The Decision Of FED Was Justified

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    On Thursday, the American market finished the trading session with a small decrease due to the published macroeconomic statistical data. Deterioration of data on numbers of new houses and requests for unemployment benefits cast a shadow on the recent improvement of the economic forecasts of the FED, and provoked derogation of the S&P 500 index from historical maxima.

    The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits unexpectedly jumped to a maximum for the last 9 months to the level of 379 thousand, from 369 thousand previously, and sales of houses in the secondary market decreased by 4.3% to 4.90 million, which was much worse than average forecasts.

    As a result, following the results of the trading session, the indicator of "blue chips" the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed with an increase of 0.07% at the level of 16179.08 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went down by 0.06% to the level of 1809.60 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.29% to the level of 4058.13 points.

    The trading session in Asia is also not developing in a positive direction. Indices of the region bargain mainly in negative territory. The main negative continues to arrive from China, and the situation in the liquidity market remains. Yesterday, the national Bank of China carried out dot injections of liquidity on the market, however, it practically had no affect on interbank rates.

    The cost of Gold fell to the minimum level for the last three years, due to the decision of the FED to reduce the program of repayment of bonds in January next year. Analysts of Goldman Sachs Group estimate that further depreciation of this precious metal should not be excluded. They believe that by the end of next year, the cost of Gold will fall to 1050.00$ per troy ounce. It should be noted that experts submitted these forecasts a month ago.

    Yesterday, Gold reached the minimum level since the 3rd of August 2013, at 1188.68$ per troy ounce. This morning, the metal is adding just 0.09%, and is traded on the price of 1194.61$. Silver is up by 0.16% at the price of 19.22$ per troy ounce.

    Oil prices are also down, Brent is losing 0.33% traded at the level of 109.93$ per barrel. WTI is down by 0.25% on a level of 98.79$ per barrel.

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    markets are going to slow in the coming week due to festivals, some considerable movement will be very less till then...

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    Quote Originally Posted by vic84 View Post
    markets are going to slow in the coming week due to festivals, some considerable movement will be very less till then...
    Dear vic84,

    MAYZUS is pleased to provide its clients with specialized Technical Analysis Reports on leading trading instruments, such as currencies, commodities and stocks. Our Technical Analysis are powered by Trading Central - the leading independent investment research company with an award-winning methodology.

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    03 January 2014: First trading day of the new year has not really been positive

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    Investors are just starting to return back from holiday, and the volumes on the markets are gradually increasing. The first trading day in the new year has not been as positive as the last trading days of 2013.

    As a result, Dow Jones industrial average lost 0.82% and reached a level of 16441.35 points. S&P 500 decreased by 0.89% up to the level of 1831.98 points, and Nasdaq Composite weakened by 0.80%, reaching a level of 4143.07 points.

    The situation in the commodities market is quite different. Oil prices lost a bit in value and are traded this morning with Brent adding 0.02% and WTI loosing 0.17%, reaching prices of 107.63$ and 95.43$ accordingly.

    Prices of precious metals in comparison are adding in value, Gold is up by 0.67%, and traded on the level of 1233.42$ per troy ounce. Silver managed to overcome the level of 20.00$ per troy ounce, this morning bargaining next to the level of 20.13$ per troy ounce.

    Participants of the market started to be interested again in the American Dollar, due to the fact that the American economy is showing steady growth. ISM index in the manufacturing sphere decreased in December up to 57 points from 57.3, analytics were predicting even more of a steep fall. This data and the profit fixing factor helped the Dollar to strengthen its positions, and pushed the EUR/USD to the area of 1.3670, and the GBP/USD to 1.6440.

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    Just joined the forum and this will be one of my daily reads.

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    Quote Originally Posted by FX_Pizza View Post
    Just joined the forum and this will be one of my daily reads.
    Dear FX_Pizza,

    With MAYZUS you will receive services at their best. Your investments will be secured and protected, and you will feel continued growth in reaching your aim: success. Join us now, and walk the way to success by our side, with us!

    MAYZUS stands for trust, flexibility, stability, safety, success and growth.

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    06 January 2014: Certain Nervousness Is Observed In The Markets

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    Development of the main stock markets in the world has been quite different. Key stock indices of the USA showed multi-directional dynamics, whilst trading on the European and Asian platforms has been taking place in positive territory.

    On Friday, no important macroeconomic statistical data was published except for data on Oil stocks for the week, which were reduced by 7.007 million barrels, whereas a decrease of 2.975 million barrels was predicted.

    As a result of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips of Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.17% to the level of 16469.99 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.03% and reached the level of 1831.37 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus for 0.27% and was closed at the level of 4131.91 points.

    An interesting development in the market that can be mentioned is that on Friday, prices of Gold reached a two-week maximum against expectations of a possible increase in demand for ingots and coins. Meanwhile, prices of Platinum grew to the maximum value since November. As a result, prices of Gold raised to the maximum level since the 18th of December, up to 1239.60$ per troy ounce, and this morning Gold is traded on a price of 1238.79$ per troy ounce. At the same time, futures for Platinum reached the maximum value since the 20th of November at the price of 1418.00$ per troy ounce, traded this morning on a level of 1402.98$.

    Today, published by HSBC bank, was the index of business activity for December, which fell in the services sector of China from 52.5 points to 50.9 - the minimum value for almost 2 years. Before the 1st of January, industrial PMI of China, counted by national bureau of statistics, decreased from 51.4 to 51.00 points. This afternoon, indices of business activity of France, Germany and the Eurozone, are going to published. No significant changes are expected.

    This year also promises to be rather positive for the American economy, and even despite the recent decrease in the ISM index in the manufacturing industry, all data still confirms proceeding restoration. This week will help people to be convinced of the continued development of similar tendencies, as a lot of statistical data will be published - data on business activity in the services sector, data on the labor market, and also the protocol of the last meeting of the FOMC, which will reflect the view of the monetary authorities on the economic prospects of the country.

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    07 January 2014: Statistics From The US Didn't Inspire Investors

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    The trading session at the European stock exchanges began today in the red zone, however, yesterday indices showed rather flat dynamics. The index of the London stock exchange (FTSE100) was closed on a level of 6730.73 points. The index of the Parisian stock exchange (CAC40) decreased by 0.47% and reached a level of 4227.54 points, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange lost 0.08%, and was closed at the level of 9428.00 points. At the present time, the FTSE100 is decreasing by 0.15%, CAC40 by 0.22%, and DAX by 0.04%.

    The main American indicators were closed yesterday also in the red zone, pushed down by the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere, which, in December, reached the level of 53, at average expectations of 54.5. Meanwhile, the orders in the manufacturing industry for November increased by 1.8%, while analysts on average predicted an increase of 1.7%.

    As a result of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips of Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0.27% to the level of 16425.1 points. The index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 became 0.25% easier and reached 1826.77 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.44% and was closed at the level of 4113.68 points.

    The statistical calendar is not too rich today. Unemployment rate in Germany for December is going to be published, the level of 6.9%, as previously predicted, is again projected. Also the consumer price index of the Eurozone for December will be presented a bit later. In the evening, data on trade balance of goods and services for November in the US will be published, a negative balance of $40 billion is expected.

    At the present moment, the EUR/USD currency pair bargains next to the level of 1.3625. Prices of Oil are slightly up, with Brent increasing by 0.54% traded on a level of 106.99$ per barrel, and WTI up by 0.35% at 93.90$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are flat, traded at the prices of 1238.35$ and 20.06$ accordingly.

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    08 January 2014: Investors Waiting For The Protocol Of Last FOMC Meeting

    DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
    By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


    Yesterday’s trading session was a victory for the "bulls". In Europe, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, CAC 40, grew by 0.83%, as well as the German DAX, and the index of the London stock exchange FTSE 100 added 0.37%. In the meantime in the US, the Dow Jones indicator increased by 0.64% up to the level of 16530.94 points, the S&P 500 rose by 0.61% and reached the level of 1837.88 points, and Nasdaq gained 0.96% and reached the level of 4153.18 points.

    This morning, the American futures bargain in a weak plus, the futures contract on S&P 500 adds 0.12%. Almost all the main indicators of the Asian-Pacific Region are also trading in the green zone, for example, Japanese Nikkei 225 adds 1.93% and the Hong Kong Hang Seng increases by .18%.

    Today it is necessary to pay special attention to the publication of the protocol of the last meeting of FOMC. This event is quite interesting to observe, due to the fact that at the last meeting, the representatives of the Committee decided on the long-awaited beginning of the turning of the QE3, however, having designated only symbolical reduction of stimulation. Thus, details of adoption of such a decision can be quite interesting and exciting for the market. If investors will see high motivation of the monetary authorities, and also readiness for further more considerable turning, it could increase demand for the American Dollar. Such an outcome is spoken of highly by many factors - the recent aggressive speech of Plosser and also Bernanke's comments that there is an opportunity of reduction of the program at each meeting.

    However, there is a small probability that the members of the FOMC were taking this decision without significant willingness, especially, remembering that the managing director of the FED of Boston, Rozengren, acted against it, referring to a very high unemployment rate and to low a rate of inflation.

    As for the EUR/USD currency pair, besides the minutes of the FOMC, has other factors of pressure. Deflationary tendencies in the Eurozone are causing more and more fears in the monetary authorities of E-17, as they obviously point to a lack of final consumption. In spite of the fact that the current economic situation in some peripheral countries starts being corrected, Italy and France considerably slows down the development. In this plan, it will be interesting to look at Mario Draghi's press-conference right after the meeting of the European Central Bank, planned for Thursday. Whether there will be hints on a deflation, and ways of fight against it, remains a riddle.

    The influence from it we will be able to see on Thursday, but today the EUR/USD will move under the influence of the publication of the report on industrial orders of Germany, and also results of the FOMC protocol. If the protocol appears to be more positive than expected, it could send the pair to the area of 1.3550.

    Brent is up by 0.29% on a level of 107.30$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.51% and traded on a price of 94.32$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are losing 0.28% and 0.88% accordingly, bargaining next to the levels of 1226.06$ and 19.61$ per troy ounce.

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