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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis by FxGrow

  1. #161
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 28th Sept, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EURGBP - the appropriate breakout of the triangle up

    On September 21 was a break below the triangle. However already the first support on 0.7200 mobilized bulls to buy and on next day there was a return to inside the triangle. Using the situation that on chart is formation fakey (false breakout) the bulls were attempted broke above the triangle. It was successful. Upward movement has been stopped at 0.7400 and currently the price is moving between the triangle and resistance. If break above the level 0.7400 will be successful the next target of upward movement is 0.7480. However, if bulls show the weakness the price should return to inside the triangle again.




    Wider view, interval W1
    Since 2009 EURGBP moves in a downtrend. In this time price has fallen from 0.9800 to 0.6940. Currently rebound is in progress and move up abolished only 23.6% of the last downward movement. Level 0.7650 could be tested which is 38.2% fibo. Earlier, the bulls will have to deal with some resistance: 0.7480, 0.7550, 0.7590. The strongest of the indicated resistance will be 0.7550, which marks the downward trendline.




    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 28th Sept, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDJPY – fake triangle breakout

    Last Friday the price broke above upper arm of the triangle and investors expected further upward movement that are consistent with the long-term trend in USDJPY. That's not happened, and even the first week resistance had stopped upward move and activate downward rebound. On Friday, the bulls tried to rebound from the upper limit of the triangle (at the chart it would confirm the successfully breakout). However today bears have taken control and USDJPY moved back to the center of the triangle reaching the level of 120.00.

    A similar situation occurred today on EURGBP, where such a false breakout resulted in a proper breakout in the opposite direction. It is not excluded that same exact scenario will be seen on USDJPY. Currently, we should observe in which direction the proper breakout will go. If above, the next resistances are at 121.20 and 122.00. If below, the next supports are at levels: 119.10, 118.50, 116.20.




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    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 03rd Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    AUDUSD tests the upper limit of the downward channel

    Today there was a test of the upper limit of the downward channel. Since October 12 the channel is forming, when an attack on the resistance level of 0.7370 has failed. At the moment there should be some attempts to keep the price near level 0.7200. And next an approach to break above the upper limit of the channel. If that attack succeeds the near resistances will be located at levels 0.7290, 0.7370. If the bulls show a weakness, price will move toward the lower limit of the downward channel. The next supports can be found at levels: 0.7110, 0.7070, 0.7030, 0.6940.




    Wider view, time-frame W1

    At weekly intervals price also moves in a downward channel. Price is "stuck" to the upper limit. On AUDUSD we see a valid downward trend and only break above the level of 0.8100 will give a real chance to reverse current momentum. Now a movement towards the YTD lows at 0.6900 are more likely.



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    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 03rd Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDJPY - correction may be already finished

    Previous analysis of October 26 proved to be extremely profitable. In one day, the price reached the indicated level, giving a profit of over 800 pips. In analysis entitled "correction uptrend rally" I wrote: "Currently falls should reach at least around 120.00 - 120.30, there is a basic fibo level 38.2%."

    After reaching the indicated retracement, price began upward movement, which tested October high. At the moment everything depends on constans breaking the resistance at 121.45. If it succeeds, USDJPY will return to the main trend and the upward movement will be continued. The next targets will be at the levels: 122.00, 123.00, 124.50, 125.20. Alternatively, if there were declines and the price went down below 120.00, targets for bears would be the levels of 119.60, 119.15, 118.20.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EURGBP moves towards 0.6940

    In the previous analysis, I wrote: "If support at 0.7200 has been permanently broken the goal of falls will be the level of 0.6940. Along the way supply will have to deal with supports: 0.7165, 0.7090, 0.7035". And so it happened since February 2015 EURGBP moves in consolidation between the levels 0.7480 - 0.6940. After testing the upper limit of this consolidation in mid-October now falls should reach to the lower limit. The nearest support is at 0.7040. If there was a rebound it should be stopped at the level of 0.7165. There is a downward trend line and the nearest major resistance.

    Time-frame H4:



    Time-frame D1:




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    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EURUSD 3-months low

    Since October 15 the price moves in a dynamic downward trend. In the less than three weeks EURUSD made a downward movement over 600 pips. After breaking below the support at level 0.1080 price returned to this level. That move only confirmed that the indicated level has now become resistance and downward movement continues. Currently there is only a matter of time, when support will be tested at level 1.0810.

    Because the current downward movement hasn't been corrected yet, so it is very likely that price will rebound there. Rebound will be able to reach 1.1080, which is a significant resistance and will be strengthened by 38.2% fibo level. If the downward movement will break below indicated support, next declines targets are on levels: 1.0715, 1.0660, 1.0520, 1.0460.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 05th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    AUDCAD - double top caused declines

    In October there was an attempt of break above resistance at 0.9510. It succeeded twice, but each time dynamic downward movement followed. Finally a double top formation appeared and caused declines. Since the beginning of November there is a retracement, which reached 50% fibo level of the last downward movement. In the nearest future price may persist between the levels 0.9290 - 0.9490. If the resistance at 0.9490 will be broken, target of upward movement will be 0.9580. If level 0.9290 will be broken, target of downward movement will be at 0.9250.




    Wider view, time-frame W1

    Since almost 2 years AUDCAD moves in a downward channel. In August there was a test of lower limit of that channel and rebound. That movement has reached to the mid-channel. If there will be a strong upward movement, then it will aim 0.9750 which is the upper limit of the downward channel and resistance. If the falls will return, their first target will be at the level 0.9160, and after break below the next one at 0.9070 - which is a lower limit of the downward channel.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 05th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDTRY attempt to keep above uptrend line

    A lot of volatility as a result of the political turmoil in the currency pairs with the Turkish lira. On Sunday, the party supported by currently president won the elections, at the end it was not certain. As a result of this uncertainty on USDTRY Monday's session began with a gap of 900 pips down. This resulted with braking below the uptrend line. Price is already 2,000 pips below the September's high. However, the situation is still open. Recent declines can be considered only as a correction if the price returns to upward movement. The first task for the bulls is closing the gap from Monday and break above the level of 2.9600.

    In the case of falls continuation and break below trend line, supports are on levels 2.8060 and 2.7550 which is a November's minimum. Breakout of indicated resistance will signal the start of a larger correction, and maybe even the trend change.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 06th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBPJPY on October's trendline

    Analysis from October 28 was wery profitable. I wrote: "Today's demand is testing resistance at 184.50. If break above will be successful next resistances are on levels 186.00, 187.50. Move higher than 187.50 may be difficult and there is little chance that this will happen soon". Indeed price reached 187.68 and rebounded. Downward movement was dynamic.

    Falls stopped below support on uptrend line which can be determined at the October lows. The line was tested for the third time and this time It can be broken. The first target of falls will be the level 184.50. If the downward movement will proceed its main target is the level of 180.50, and before there are: 183.90 182.50. Alternatively, if rebound occurs price once again will move towards 187.50.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 06th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBPUSD - macro data caused six-months low

    Yesterday dovish Bank Of England caused a breach of channel's low in which the price moved. Today's US non farm payrolls and employment data confirmed falls and after that GBPUSD break below first important support at 1.5100. Unemployment has fallen to 5%, which was one of the task of the FED. At this moment probability of the first rate hike in the US in December increased. The first level, which may cause rebound is 1.4980. Next support is 1.4800 and the next one is low of 2015 at 1.4560.

    When we take a look at weekly interval, the situation is even more serious. Since the beginning of the year upward movement took form of flag, which suggests a continuation of previous trend. If price couldn't get back inside the flag, this year's lows will be under pressure of sellers. Upward movement, which took place from the beginning of the year, got the form of flag, which promises a continuation of the previous trend. If price cannot quickly get back inside the flag, then this year lows will find themselves under sellers pressure.

    Time-frame D1



    Time-frame W1



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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