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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis by FxGrow

  1. #181
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 16th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDCAD - near 11-years high

    In analysis of October 27 I pointed levels where price goes. I wrote: "Nearest target of upward movement there are two levels of 1.3215 and 1.3350. After its break above uptrend may continue". Today the price reached level 1.3350 which is 1,5 month high. If bulls will continue upward movement next resistances are at levels: 1.3430, 1.3470. The second level is at 11-years high. Alternatively if there was a rebound the next supports are at levels: 1.3300, 1.3230, 1.3180.

    In the long term USDCAD moves in an uptrend since 2011, for this reason more likely is a new high than serious downward movement.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EURUSD - new week, new low

    Last week EURUSD achieved low at level 1.0674 and price rebounded. Traders expected stronger rebound, but that didn't happen. Rebound stopped after two days at level 0.0820 which was the nearest resistance. Since the beginning of the week supply strengthened the bearish pressure and support at level 1.0700 was broken. New 7-months low was established. Nearest weak support is level 1.0570. Strong support which can stop falls for a longer time is at level 1.0480. Test of that level is only a matter of time.

    Since a month EURUSD moves only in one direction and for the last two weeks there is a small volatility. Nearest macro data which may result in a higher volatility is: today's consumer inflation and tomorrow's FOMC minutes.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    AUDCHF - trend reversal or only correction?

    Today AUDCHF reached to 3-months high and also to a resistance. That level made reaction of the price many times this year. If that resistance (price range: 0.7225 - 0.7280) will be break above, next targets of that upward movement are at levels 0.7480, 0.7700. Alternatively if there will be a rebound, nearest support is at 0.7050 (uptrend line from last months) and next supports are at levels: 0.7000, 0.6890, 0.6720, 0.6600.




    Wider view, time-frame D1

    Since 2012 AUDCHF moves in downward trend. Strong price drop was at January 15. After further rebound falls were continued in downward channel. In August the price reached a new low and since that moment new upward movement has begun. Upper limit of downward channel was break above and AUDCHF has a chance for a new upward wave. Next resistances at daily time-frame are covering fibo levels. Only break above level 0.7700 give a chance that current movement is a new trend.




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    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EURJPY - on support and half-year lows

    On Monday EURJPY reached to a six months low. That level 131.00 is also a strong support. After a failed attempt of break below it there was a rebound which at this moment isn't very successful. If price will rebound harder next resistances are at levels: 133.20, 135.20, 136.50. However if current support will be break below next targets for a demand are at levels: 128.80, 126.70.



    Wider view, time-frame W1

    From the beginning of 2015 EURJPY falls. There is a high probability that in a long term it is a new downward trend. Because of the fact that in years 2012 - 2014 price moved in uptrend and after first wave of falls and reaching fibo 38,2% downtrend wasn't end. Soon there can be a new lows and supports for them are at levels: 127.00, 120.00, 117.50.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBPPLN - above 6.0000, highest since 2006

    In Poland today there was important political event. Prime Minister of the new government Beata Szydło gave expose. Very nervously was at PLN where high were established before that event. Finally, nothing alarming has been said. For example: Reduction of the CIT tax (corporate) to 15% and support for small and medium businesses, nothing about credits in CHF and "development, development, development".
    After expose there was a slight decline on GBPPLN but in the longer term it moves upward. The correction that took place in August and September was fibo 61.8% of the previous 3-month upward movement. Uptrend can be continued and the next important resistance is much higher at level 6.3500. Alternatively, if current break above 6.0000 will be a fakey (false breakout) and price will return below that level there will be a plenty of supports to break. Nearby: 5.9750, 5.9100, 5.8700.

    Time-frame D1



    Time-frame Monthly



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBPJPY - on resistance and highest since August 2015

    In previous analysis of November 6 I pointed trend line and support which should cause rebound. I wrote: "The trend line was tested for the third time and this time It can be broken. The first target of falls will be the level 184.50". Indeed price reached 184.28 and dynamically rebounded. GBPJPY back to uptrend.

    Currently price reached to 3-months high and rebounded. The result was an unsuccessful attempt to break through resistance. If decline will be deeper next supports are at levels: 188.00, 187.40, 186.50. At the beginning of November at GBPJPY was a correction to fibo 50% of earlier upward movement. While uptrend line wasn't break below there is more likely back to uptrend. And if it will be and break above level 188.30 will be successful next targets for demand are at levels: 189.60, 191.30, 195.20.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    NZDUSD - dynamic rebound from 0.6430

    On Monday NZDUSD broke below support at 0.6500. It seemed that declines may be deeper. However already first support at 0.6430 caused rebound. Currently dollar strengthenes at all of the battlefronts and this wave begun after FOMC minutes which were published on Wednesday. Fundamentally there are no reasons to rebound, because first hike of interest rate may - but do not have to - be during December FED meeting. Therefore this upward movement must be treated as correction as long as last high at 0.6880 is not broke above.

    Next resistances which may cause declines are at levels: 0.6574, 0.6630, 0.6710. Alternatively if there will be rebound nearest supports are at levels: 0.6500, 0.6430.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    AUDCAD - new upward wave or triple top pattern

    Previous analysis of November 12 gave a profit more than 100 pips. I wrote: "AUDCAD may test 0.9490. After break above this level target for the demand is at 0.9580, but fast break above is unlikely. If price rebounds, next supports will be located at: 0.9440, 0.9370". So it happened, price after reaching 0.9580 level rebounded and correction lasted a one week. Correction ended 8 pips below level pointed in analysis at 0.9432.
    Today upward movement reached 0.9600 level. Triple top pattern may complicate breaking above this resistance If it succeeds next target for demand are at levels: 0.9630, 0.9740. A little higher that 0.9740 there is a downtrend line and that level certainly will make rebound and return to main trend which is downtrend. However if there was rebound right now nearest supports are at levels: 0.9490, 0.9440.




    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDCHF - highest since 2015

    Dollar continues its uptrend rally on most of the currency pairs. Interesting situation can be seen at USDCHF, where price reached level in which was last time in the January 2015. Then it was finished by dramatically drop from 1.0230 to 0.7810. Since a month there is a dynamic upward movement without any bigger correction. Currently price reached to resistance and that level should bring declines or maybe even a deeper correction. Strong support levels are at 1.0000, 0.9900, 0.9500.



    Wider view, time-frame monthly

    Long-term perspective depends on what level USDCHF will end this month. Since 5 years there wasn't end of the month above 1.0000. If demand will end this month at current levels it will be more likely that upward movement will be continued in the next month. The next strong resistance are at levels: 1.0700, 1.1280.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 23rd Nov, 2015
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    USDJPY - resistance at level 123.20 is a trouble for demand

    Since mid-October USDJPY moves in uptrend. This isn't a vertical upward movement, but higher highs and higher lows shows that trend is continue. Since two weeks demand has a problem with break above level at 123.20. Two times such attempt ended as fakey. Positive for the bulls is the fact that declines have stopped already at fibo 38.2% therefore bears do not have yet a lot to say.

    If resistance at 123.20 will be break above next targets for bulls are at levels: 124.50, 125.20 and 125.85 which is this year's high. After leaving on a new high strong resistance is at level 135.15 which is high from 2002 year. If there was correction, nearest supports are at levels: 122.23, 122.00, 121.45.



    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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