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Thread: Forex Analysis by LiteForex

  1. #61

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    AUD/USD: pair in correction

    Current trend
    The pair is in correction after a significant fall of the begging of the year.
    The pair was supported by today’s data on Trade Balance from China that came out better than expectations and slightly calmed worries on the market regarding the Chinese economy.
    At the same time, the pair remains under pressure amid strengthening US Dollar, falling commodities’ prices and still continuing crisis on the Chinese stock market.
    Tomorrow attention needs to be paid to data on the Australian labour market for December. The Unemployment Rate is expected to increase from 5.8% to 5.9%.

    Support and resistance
    A breakout of the level of 0.7070 (ЕМА200 on the hourly chart, ЕМА50 on the 4-hour chart) would send the pair towards 0.7100 (December lows), 0.7145 (ЕМА200, ЕМА144 on the 4-hour chart), 0.7200 (upper border of a descending channel on the 4-hour chart).
    On the 4-hour chart, OsMA and Stochastic signal purchases, and start turning up on the daily chart as well.
    Support levels: 0.6980, 0.6910.
    Resistance levels: 0.7070, 0.7100, 0.7145, 0.7200, 0.7290.

    Trading tips
    Pending sell orders can be placed at the level of 0.6970 with targets at 0.6910, 0.6880, 0.6810 and stop-loss at 0.7010.
    Pending buy orders can be placed at the level of 0.7080 with targets at 0.7110, 0.7145, 0.7200, 0.7300 and stop-loss at 0.7030.

  2. #62

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    EUR/USD: general review

    Current trend
    The EUR/USD pair continues strengthening.
    Today, data on the labour market is due to be published in the US. Continuing Jobless Claims are expected to fall to 2.215 million that could support the US Dollar.
    Also today, Fed’s Bullard speech is due regarding perspectives for the American economy. Experts do not expect interest rates to be mentions in the speech, thus strong reaction on the market is unlikely.

    Support and resistance
    In the short-term, the pair is expected to grow to its resistance at the level of 1.0965 where it is going to reverse down.
    Support levels: 1.0714.
    Resistance levels: 1.0965.

    Trading tips
    Open short positions from the level of 1.0965 with the target at 1.0825 and stop-loss at 1.1000.

  3. #63

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    AUD/USD: general review

    Current trend
    Yesterday the pair significantly strengthened amid falling US Dollar that was pressured after the publication of poor data on Jobless Claims in the US. At the same time, despite increased Home Loans in Australia, that usually supports the AUD the pair is falling today.
    Today extra attention needs to be paid to data on Retail Sales in the US. According to forecasts, the index will fall to 0.0% that might pressure the USD.

    Support and resistance
    On the daily chart, the pair is trading near the lower MA of Bollinger Bands. Moving averages with 50, 100 and 144 periods remain above the price and directed down indicating a downward trend in the pair. MACD histogram is in the negative zone and its volumes are slowly growing.
    Support levels: 0.6935, 0.6910, 0.6880, 0.6830, 0.6800.
    Resistance levels: 0.6983, 0.7015, 0.7068, 0.7135, 0.7194.

    Trading tips
    Open short positions after the price consolidation below the level of 0.6860 with the target at 0.6800 and stop-loss at 0.6890.
    Long positions can be opened form the level of 0.6935 with the target at 0.7000 and stop-loss at 0.6900.

  4. #64
    Junior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2016
    Posts
    1

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    very goood

  5. #65

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    EUR/USD: pair is growing

    Current trend
    In the end of last week, the pair strengthened.
    The Euro was supported on Friday by poor macroeconomic statistics from the US, where Retail Sales for December fell by 0.1%, while economists predicted a zero change. Retail Sales excluding Autos shrank by 0.1%, against a forecasted growth of 0.2%. In addition, Industrial Production data showed a decline of 0.4%, instead of a predicted growth of 0.2%. December, thus, was the third consecutive month of the decline of the index.

    Support and resistance
    Bollinger Bands on the daily chart is moving horizontally, while the price range tends to narrow. MACD is slowly growing and giving a very weak buy signal. Stochastic is turning horizontally as it significantly moved away from the overbought zone.
    The indicators recommend waiting for clearer trading signals.
    Support levels: 1.0900 (local low), 1.0867, 1.0795 (7 January low), 1.0762, 1.0710 (5 January low), 1.0673, 1.0638, 1.0600.
    Resistance levels: 1.0946 (local high), 1.1000 (psychologically important level), 1.1059 (15 December high), 1.1100, 1.1153.

    Trading tips
    Long positions can be opened after the price reverse near the level of 1.0867 (with the appropriate indicators signals) with the target at 1.1000 and stop-loss at 1.0800. Validity – 2-3 days.
    Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 1.0867 with the target at 1.0710 and stop-loss at 1.0940. Validity – 2-3 days.

  6. #66

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    EUR/USD: general analysis

    Current trend
    The EUR/USD pair is trading below the key resistance level of 1.1000. The European currency remains under pressure from a range of fundamental factors.
    France’s economy is facing difficulties and needs additional monetary support of about 2 billion euros, according to a preliminary estimate. Unemployment rate, which is more than 10%, and domestic security are seen as the key issues for the French government. At the same time, the President stated the current situation will not affect tax rate and amount of social benefits.
    Today, attention needs to be paid to Consumer Price Index data, released in Germany. If the indicator comes in below 0.3%, ECB might have to introduce additional stimulus measures that will add pressure on the European currency.

    Support and resistance
    Support level: 1.0825.
    Resistance level: 1.1000.

    Trading tips
    Long positions can be opened from the level of 1.1000 with the target at 1.1140 and stop-loss at 1.0950.
    Short-term short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 1.0850 with the target at 1.0800.

  7. #67

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    XAU/USD: general review

    Current trend
    The price of gold remains below the level of 1097.66 where it was trading on high volumes last Friday.
    According to forecasts, production of gold is declining due to the absence of new fields that could lead in the long-term to increase in the price. In 2016, its output could shrink by 3%. In addition, the price is supported by instability in the Middle East and continuing fall in oil prices.
    At the same time, the price remains under pressure due to a likeliness of monetary policy tightening in the US that strengthens the Dollar.

    Support and resistance
    Support levels: 1071.17.
    Resistance levels: 1097.66.

    Trading tips
    Long positions can be opened from the level of 1097.66 with the target at 1112.47 and stop-loss at 1090.00.

  8. #68

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    XAG/USD: technical analysis

    XAG/USD, D1
    On the daily chart, the pair is moving along the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below the EMA50, EMA100 and EMA144 that are directed down. MACD histogram is in the negative zone and its volumes are barely changing. DI lines are moving up, while ADX is horizontal.

    XAG/USD, H4
    On the 4-hour chart, the pair is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains below the EMA100 and EMA144, but above the EMA50, all directed horizontally. MACD histogram is in the positive zone and its volumes are very low. DI lines are moving down, while ADX is horizontal.

    Key levels
    Support levels: 14.00, 13.85, 13.67.
    Resistance levels: 14.15, 14.39, 14.75, 14.99, 15.28, 15.51, 16.15, 16.34.

    Trading tips
    Pending sell orders can be placed at the level of 14.15 with targets at 14.00, 13.85 and stop-loss at 14.30. Validity – 1-2 days.
    Pending buy orders can be placed at the level of 13.85 with the target at 14.25 and stop-loss at 13.67. Validity – 1-2 days.

  9. #69

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    USD/CAD: pair growth and oil prices fall

    Current trend
    The Bank of Canada holds its monetary policy meeting today. As BoC Governor Stephen Poloz has repeatedly stated, the Regulator aims at keeping loose monetary policy and considers a possibility of a rate cut to -0.5%.
    The Canadian currency is declining against the US Dollar amid a sharp fall in oil prices. On Tuesday, the International Energy Agency reported oil supply might increase by 1.5 barrels per day in next six month. Moreover, oil prices are under pressure due to unfavorable conditions in global stock markets, China's stock market crash in particular.
    In the given situation, the Bank of Canada might choose to wait on the sidelines and keep its interest rate on hold at 0.5% that, however, is unlikely to strengthen the national currency.

    Support and resistance
    Since the beginning of the year, USD/CAD pair has grown by more than 800 points.
    OsMA and Stochastic on all timeframes, from 4-hour to monthly, recommend long positions. Any decline in the pair should be seen as a short-term correction.
    Support levels: 1.4575, 1.4565, 1.4500, 1.4450, 1.4400.
    Resistance levels: 1.4700.

    Trading tips
    Buy Stop orders can be placed at the level of 1.4710 with targets at 1.4800, 1.4900 and stop-loss at 1.4670.
    Sell Stop orders can be placed at the level of 1.4550 with targets at 1.4450, 1.4400 and stop-loss at 1.4580.

  10. #70

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    EUR/USD: general review

    Current trend
    Yesterday the pair fell amid growing anxiety on the market due to declining oil prices. In addition, the Euro remained under pressure prior to the ECB Interest Rates Decision that is due later today. The decision could significantly affect dynamics in the pair.
    At the same time, the pair was supported by data on the Consumer Price Index from the US that came out worse than expectations. In December, the index fell by 0.1%.

    Support and resistance
    On the daily chart, the pair is trading along the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. Moving averages with 50, 100 and 144 periods remain above the price and directed horizontally. MACD histogram is near the zero line and its volumes are very low. DI lines are moving in opposite directions, while ADX is horizontal.
    Support levels: 1.0863, 1.0770 (middle MA of Bollinger Bands), 1.0613, 1.0525 (beginning of December 2015 lows).
    Resistance levels: 1.0900, 1.0915, 1.0945, 1.0995, 1.1057 (middle of December 2015 highs).

    Trading tips
    Long positions can be opened from the level of 1.0915 with targets at 1.0945, 1.0995 and stop-loss at 1.0900. Validity – 1-2 days.
    Short positions can be opened from the level of 1.0863 with targets at 1.0802, 1.0770 and stop-loss at 1.0890. Validity – 1-2 days.

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