Technical analysis of EUR/AUD dated 26.03.2013
EUR/AUD during the recent weeks by breaking and crossing the ascending trend line (with 4 bottom prices) has experienced a strong descending trend and could record the bottom price of 1.22556. Right now in daily and weekly time frames, the price is under 5-day moving average that shows the strong descending trend and warns about more descending. As it is obvious in the picture below, the price is in descending channel and could touch the supportive edge of this channel. In 4H time frame, the formation of candles with small body and hammer candlestick pattern (shows stoppage of descending and indecision market) shows that most of the sellers use this supportive level for analyzing their trades.
Stoch indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area and warns about price reformation according to the next cycle ( also it confirms hammer candlestick pattern). according to the selling pressure and strong descending trend in this currency pair, this signal does not have a high validity. If the bottom price of 1.22556 breaks, the price has the potential of reaching to the supportive range which is shown in the picture below. One of the important warning to end the descending trend and starting of the price reformation is formation of a bottom price and breaking of the descending channel in daily time frame.