Technical analysis of EUR/AUD dated 12.07.2013
EUR/AUD since 03.04.2013 was in strong and consistent uptrend with small price reformations. Buyers during this uptrend were successful in achieving the highest price of 1.44025, And with reaching to the resistance levels made of 2 top prices ( in 2011) have tested these levels and were not able to reach to higher levels so the price has stopped from more ascending. As it is obvious in the picture below, between the bottom price of 1.16020 and top price of 1.44025 , there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that with completion of the D point , there is a warning for stopping of uptrend and changing price direction.
According to the type of formed candles like Hanging Man and Engulfing candlestick patterns in green color area warns about Vulnerability of uptrend and formation of a top price and decreasing of the price. Stoch indicator in weekly time frame is in saturation buy area and with the next cycle warns about the potential of changing price direction during the next weeks. Currently the first warning for decreasing of price is breaking of the supportive level of 1.42299. Generally until the D point in weekly time frame is preserved, there is a potential for price reformation and descending.