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Thread: Adamant Finance - Technical analysis

  1. #1
    Junior Member Adamant Finance's Avatar
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    Default Adamant Finance - Technical analysis

    Technical Outlook July 15, 2016


    EURUSD




    EUR/USD was in a sharp rally yesterday and moved from the MA55 to the upper side of the channel according to our expectations. It was a good opportunity to earn some 600-700 points. Today the upside tendency still actual. However, last week’s high is not broken through. There is still a probability of decline.

    The Weekly chart shows the downtrend as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD resumed downside tendency according to classic technical analysis.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the uptrend here as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. I expect the downtrend to resume. It is better avoid long trades as the upside momentum is already done.


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD resumed its growth. The MPC took a decision to leave current interest rate on the same level and to treat its’ cut during the next meeting. There was a short momentum.

    The Weekly chart shows the downtrend as the price is below the MA55. First ascending correction goes on as the Monetary Policy Committee has taken a decision to postpone the rate cut.

    There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better avoid trading today as the price is above the MA-channel range.


    AUDUSD




    AUD/USD traded in a small range and rebounded from the MA55. It was a good opportunity to earn 400 points according to our recommendations. Today in the morning, the Currency pair tries to break the range upwards although we expected new highs yesterday. It is probable, that today AUD/USD aims 0,78000.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly as the price is above the MA55. The breakthrough of the trendline is probably done. We expect further growth aiming 0,78000.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the uptrend here as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. You may try long trades from current levels placing stops at 0,76300.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF overcame control level at 0,98200. However, the Currency pair did not go back to it. The price made about 500 points after the breakthrough of the level. Finally, it confirmed the downtrend.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. This upside tendency is still weak and requires confirmation.

    As for the Hourly chart, we may see the downtrend here as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com



    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 15, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    Gold resumed its decline since yesterday’s morning when we had mentioned that it was too late to open short trades. This time your sells could be successful. However, such situations are rare. XAU/USD’s decline was influenced by the results of the MPC meetings. The decision to postpone the rate cut was unexpected by the market as Mark Carney underlined the possibility of monetary easing during the summer.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAU/USD forms a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. The short trades are risky today as it is Friday. However, you may try sells from the MA55.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    XAG/USD continues to trade in flat. We advise to avoid trading. The breakthrough of the triangle is probable today. However, we do not expect a momentum. The price may slide down to this week’s lows.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We still expect the probability of price growth towards resistance at 25,00.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the neutral trend here as the MA-channel looks no direction and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading silver today.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

  2. #2
    Junior Member Adamant Finance's Avatar
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    Technical Outlook July 15, 2016


    EURUSD




    EUR/USD was in a sharp rally yesterday and moved from the MA55 to the upper side of the channel according to our expectations. It was a good opportunity to earn some 600-700 points. Today the upside tendency still actual. However, last week’s high is not broken through. There is still a probability of decline.

    The Weekly chart shows the downtrend as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD resumed downside tendency according to classic technical analysis.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the uptrend here as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. I expect the downtrend to resume. It is better avoid long trades as the upside momentum is already done.


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD resumed its growth. The MPC took a decision to leave current interest rate on the same level and to treat its’ cut during the next meeting. There was a short momentum.

    The Weekly chart shows the downtrend as the price is below the MA55. First ascending correction goes on as the Monetary Policy Committee has taken a decision to postpone the rate cut.

    There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better avoid trading today as the price is above the MA-channel range.


    AUDUSD




    AUD/USD traded in a small range and rebounded from the MA55. It was a good opportunity to earn 400 points according to our recommendations. Today in the morning, the Currency pair tries to break the range upwards although we expected new highs yesterday. It is probable, that today AUD/USD aims 0,78000.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly as the price is above the MA55. The breakthrough of the trendline is probably done. We expect further growth aiming 0,78000.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the uptrend here as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. You may try long trades from current levels placing stops at 0,76300.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF overcame control level at 0,98200. However, the Currency pair did not go back to it. The price made about 500 points after the breakthrough of the level. Finally, it confirmed the downtrend.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. This upside tendency is still weak and requires confirmation.

    As for the Hourly chart, we may see the downtrend here as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com



    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 15, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    Gold resumed its decline since yesterday’s morning when we had mentioned that it was too late to open short trades. This time your sells could be successful. However, such situations are rare. XAU/USD’s decline was influenced by the results of the MPC meetings. The decision to postpone the rate cut was unexpected by the market as Mark Carney underlined the possibility of monetary easing during the summer.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAU/USD forms a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. The short trades are risky today as it is Friday. However, you may try sells from the MA55.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    XAG/USD continues to trade in flat. We advise to avoid trading. The breakthrough of the triangle is probable today. However, we do not expect a momentum. The price may slide down to this week’s lows.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We still expect the probability of price growth towards resistance at 25,00.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the neutral trend here as the MA-channel looks no direction and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading silver today.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

  3. #3
    Junior Member Adamant Finance's Avatar
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    Technical Outlook July 18, 2016


    EURUSD




    EUR/USD declined on Friday in the last trading hours. We did no recommendations as we did not hope this may happen on Friday. However, we expect the EUR/USD may continue to decline this week after Friday’s fluctuations. EUR/USD shows the downtrend and you may try short trades.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD prepares to make another downside momentum. We expect this to happen during the week.

    There is the downside tendency on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55 area.


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD growth was limited as it was nothing more than a simple correction. However, you could take some profit from it. The volatility is still high and we have to work in such conditions. The MA-channel is wide. Today there will be no important data from the United Kingdom. We expect moderate fluctuations during the next 24 hours.

    The Weekly chart shows the downtrend as the price is below the MA55. The upside correction has come to the end.

    There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55. It is better avoid trading as the situations is not clear. Today’s dynamics may “repair” technical indicators.


    AUDUSD




    We have seen a rebound back on Friday. All trades were closed by stops. This sharp jump off told us that the market is not ready to go on upwards. In addition, during American session AUD/USD had a sharp decline. We expect negative dynamics this week.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD declined in the final minutes on Friday and closed below the trendline, indicating the probable change in trend this week.

    However, on the Hourly chart we may state the downtrend as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short positions from the MA55 area.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF resumed its growth. All short trades were unsuccessful. It is probable that the Currency pair continues to grow, although we still have no confirmation from technical indicators. There is no important data today and USD/CHF may show moderate fluctuations. However, technical indicators may change their positions.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The upside tendency is still weak and requires confirmation.

    As for the Hourly chart, we may see here the neutral trend as the MA-channel looks no direction and the price is above the MA55. It is better to avoid trading today.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com



    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 18, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    XAU/USD did not new lows of the week on Friday and traded in a range, which was formed on Thursday. However, all short trades according to our recommendations were successful. The price declined from the MA55. Today we expect the range to develop as there are no reasons for the situation to change.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAU/USD made a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline and may continue to decline.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. There is no reason to open trades as XAU/USD will probably fluctuate in the short range.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    Silver slides down to the lows of the last week according to our expectations. XAG/USD continued to decline today on the morning and the minimum of the last week was broken through. This tells us the market is ready to continue such a dynamics which may result in a good trend.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD growth to a new resistance at 25,00 is postponed.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We do not give any recommendations for today.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

  4. #4
    Junior Member Adamant Finance's Avatar
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    Technical Outlook July 19, 2016


    EURUSD




    EUR/USD traded in a narrow range yesterday. There was no important data. Today the situation is the same. You may try short trades from the MA55. Today we expect important data from the Eurozone (ZEW). We advise to pay attention to US Building Permits data.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD prepares to another downside momentum. We expect it to happen this week.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as well as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55 area.


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD did a correctional growth according to our expectations. Technical indicators changed their positions and we may state the downtrend. Today we advise to pay attention to the GB CPI y/y data. This statistics may result in further downside tendency.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. It is probable that the upside correction is already done.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55 area.


    AUDUSD




    There were two good opportunities to open short positions from the MA55 area. AUD/USD went down sharply today in the morning. You could take about 1000 points of profit on this movement. Another ascending trendline is broken through. The downside tendency is confirmed. We expect new lows to be reached in the nearest future.

    There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. EUR/USD declined in the final minutes of Friday’s session and closed last week below the trendline. We expect the decline to resume this week.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. It is too late to enter short positions today as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF traded in a narrow range yesterday according to our expectations. Technical indicators show the uptrend and they already confirm the upside dynamics. We expect an upside momentum today.

    There is the upside trend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. This tendency is still weak and requires confirmation.

    There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. You may try long trades from the MA55 area.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com



    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 19, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    XAU/USD traded in a narrow range according to our expectations. There was no important data yesterday to influence fluctuations. Today we recommend paying attention to some important statistics. XAU/USD price is within a triangle and there is a probability of breakthrough during the day. We advise to prepare for short trades.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAU/USD made a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline and may resume the downside tendency.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is no trend here as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55. We expect further downside moves. However, there is still no clear tendency on the chart. We recommend placing short trades orders below the lows in the 1322,00 area.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    Silver also forms a triangle. There is a probability of downside breakthrough. Yesterday price made new lows showing the ability to further decline. Today’s stats will determine XAG/USD fluctuations.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Growth towards a new resistance at 25,00 is still postponed.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from 19.80, placing stops at 20,00.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

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    Technical Outlook July 20, 2016


    EURUSD




    All short positions from the MA55 area were successful. EUR/USD was under pressure yesterday due to the ZEW economic sentiment data and strong US stats. Greenback has got a significant support. You could take about 700 points of profit. Today we expect correction and there is the probability of downside tendency to develop.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD is ready to another downside momentum. We expect this to happen during the week.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the 1,1030/40 area.


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD declined on British data although the figures were rather good. Inflation data has no influence on the decisions of the Monetary Policy Committee. There are other issues to overcome. That is why, markets did not pay attention to 0,5% CPI y/y growth. The greenback has got some strong support after yesterday’s US data. GBP/USD was not close to the MA55 and there was no opportunity to open short trades. We advise to pay attention to the Labor Market data in the United Kingdom today.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55.An upside correction is probably done.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try sells from the 1,3160 area.


    AUDUSD




    AUD/USD declined yesterday. However, during American session there was a correction. Today we expect the correction to continue. We also think that the decline may resume during European or American session.

    There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD declined in the last several minutes on Friday and closed the week below the trendline. It indicates a probable decline during the current week.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the 0,7525 area.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF has done 500 points way upwards. We expect that the Currency pair growth resumes today or tomorrow. The target is at the upper trendline on the Hourly chart. Greenback has got a significant support from investors this week.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The upside tendency is still weak and requires confirmation.

    The Hourly chart shows the uptrend as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55 area.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com



    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 20, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    XAU/USD continues to form a triangle. This pattern may testify a consolidation. We recommended short positions. However, those trades failed to open as there was no breakthrough of the triangle. No there is a neutral trend in a range.

    The Weekly chart shows the uptrend as the price is above the MA55. XAU/USD made a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline and may continue to decline.

    There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We expect downside tendency, although the trend is still not determined. You may place short orders in the 1323,00 area.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    XAG/USD reached the short order level. However, there was no downside moves. The price was within the Monday’s range. We think that there is a long trades accumulation in this area. They may provoke an upside momentum in the nearest future. The situation is unclear.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD growth to a new resistance at 25,00 is postponed.

    There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We expect the downside tendency to develop. However, if you place an order here, you will trade against the trend. We recommend placing long orders to the 20,10 area.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

  6. #6
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    Technical Outlook July 20, 2016


    EURUSD




    EUR/USD did an upside correction yesterday according to our expectations. The trades that we recommended failed to open as the price did not reach the acceptable levels for short positions. Today is a very important day for EUR/USD as the ECB meeting takes place. There is a probability that further stimulation measure will be accepted. In this case, EUR/USD will be under pressure.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD is going to make another downside momentum. This may happen during the week.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as well as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try short positions from the 1,1040/50 area


    GBPUSD




    GBP/USD did some growth yesterday because of strong Labor market data in GB. Short positions, that we have recommended, were unsuccessful. However, you had an opportunity to close them at breakeven. Today we advise to pay attention to the Retail Sales data. If this statistics is weak, the downside tendency may resume.

    There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. AN upside correction is probably done.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as well as the MA-channel goes downwards although the price is still above the MA55. You may try short orders from the trendline on the Hourly chart (1,3220/40 area). We recommend placing stops above the trendline.


    AUDUSD




    AUD/USD continued to go down towards the trendline on the Hourly chart. Hort positions failed to open as the price did not get the orders. Today we expect some “fight” near the trendline. AUD/USD may break it through or not. Technical indicators show the probability of breakthrough on the Hourly chart.

    There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD declined and closed the last week below the trendline in the final minutes of Friday. The downside tendency may continue this week.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. You may try sort trades from the MA55.


    USDCHF




    USD/CHF tried to reach the upper trendline on the Hourly chart. Those attempts failed. There was no opportunity to enter the market as the price did not decline to the MA55. The price is currently close to the lower trendline. We expect a rebound from it.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The uptrend is still weak and requires confirmation.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the uptrend here as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. You may try long trades from the trendline, placing stops below this line.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com




    Gold/Silver Technical Outlook July 21, 2016


    GOLD (XAUUSD)




    XAU/USD left the horizontal range. The trade was done at 1323,00 and you may move your stops at breakeven level. You may also try to fix some of your trades and hold short positions until 1307,00. We expect some significant rebound here.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We have seen a fake breakthrough of the descending trendline. The downside tendency may resume.

    There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. It is too late to open short trades today. You may hold your yesterday’s positions if you had an opportunity to enter.


    SILVER (XAGUSD)




    We expected, that Silver may breakthrough the upper side of the triangle. However, it failed to do this and we advise to stay of the market for the moment. The situation is clear at present.

    There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD growth to the resistance at 25,00 is postponed.

    As for the Hourly chart, there is the downtrend here as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid short trades at the moment as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.


    Official site: http://www.adamantfinance.com

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