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Thread: Technical analysis by ChartSecret

  1. #51

    Default 600 Pips Flag at Crude Oil

    A Flag pattern at the Crude Oil indicates the high likelihood of continuation of the bullish trend at the Oil. The Flag is a strong continuation pattern that leads to a breakout upwards in a high probability. It can also be confirmed using the exact 23.6 Fibonacci Retracement that also indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.

    These signs show that the Oil is about to break upwards and continue the uptrend - in high probability.
    Attached Images Attached Images Technical analysis by ChartSecret-oil-flag-pattern-06-12-09-jpg 

  2. #52

    Default Bearish Megaphone at USD\CAD

    A Megaphone at 4-hour chart may signal the bearish breakout and a beginning of a downtrend at the USD\CAD. Price has finish 4 touches at the trend lines of the Megaphone and it is expected to create a partial rotation, reverse and break the support trendline. Megaphone is based on the 1.0400 Support level which is a strong psychological level - once the megaphone is broken we could expect this level to break as well.

    Source:
    Decemer 8th: Bearish Megaphone at USD\CAD | ChartSecret.com
    Attached Images Attached Images Technical analysis by ChartSecret-usdcad-megaphone-bearish-08-12-09-jpg 

  3. #53

    Default December 12th: USD\JPY Descending Channel

    USD\JPY is in a strong descending channel at the daily chart. The channel was tested for 7 times and is considered a very reliable pattern.

    Trading:
    Traders can take trades on the Resistance trendlines, after candlesticks confirm the entry. A target for this trade is the support trend line.

    Short trade can be signaled when price breaks the channel downwards, or pulls back to the broken trendline.

    Read more FOREX analysis:
    ChartSecret.com | Trading Chart Patterns for Profits
    Attached Images Attached Images Technical analysis by ChartSecret-usdjpy-channel-12-12-09-jpg 

  4. #54

    Default USDCHF 200-Pips Channel

    A strong channel pattern has appeared at USD\CHF at 4-hour chart. IT is a strong bullish channel that leads to continuation of the bullish pattern.
    Long trade will be signaled at touch of support, Short trade at breakout downwards.

    Source:
    December 20th: USDCHF Ascending Channel | ChartSecret.com
    Attached Images Attached Images Technical analysis by ChartSecret-usdchf-channel-20-12-09-jpg 

  5. #55

    Default

    The main support 1.0410 stood strong against continuous attempts from the pair to bearishly reverse, where it rebounded and completed forming the bullish technical pattern that comes inline with the bullish pattern, shown yesterday, where the pair achieved more bullish movement. We expect an overall bullish direction over an intraday direction, which will start with the breach of the mentioned neckline to head towards main targets that start 1.0565 then 1.0650. It is vital that 1.0410 areas remain intact, which are vital factors in achieving the awaited bullish direction.
    The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.0350 and the key resistance at 1.0650.
    The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.1870 remains intact with targets at 1.0000.
    [Written by ecPulse.com]

    "P&F USDCAD1440 Box Size 225X3 or(5.38%) HI/LO
    Data 1.6054 - 0.9058 ~ 94 Month ~ 2856 Day
    Database 2038 records 1.0391 (Last Close)
    2002-04-26 00~00
    2010-02-19 00~00
    (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    1.6200|~225||_____________________________________ ___|-0.91%|78.85%
    1.5975|~45O||x____________________________________ ___|0.49%|76.36%
    1.5750|~675||x_o__________________________________ ___|1.89%|73.88%
    1.5525|~9OO||x_o__________________________________ ___|3.3%|71.4%
    1.5300|~1125|x_o__________________________________ ___|4.7%|68.91%
    1.5075|~135O|__o__________________________________ ___|6.1%|66.43%
    1.4850|~1575|__o__________________________________ ___|7.5%|63.94%
    1.4625|~18OO|__o__________________________________ ___|8.9%|61.46%
    1.4400|~2O25|__o__________________________________ ___|10.3%|58.98%
    1.4175|~225O|__o_x________________________________ ___|11.7%|56.49%
    1.3950|~2475|__o_x_o_x____________________________ ___|13.11%|54.01%
    1.3725|~27OO|__o_x_o_x_o__________________________ ___|14.51%|51.52%
    1.3500|~2925|__o___o_x_o__________________________ ___|15.91%|49.04%
    1.3275|~315O|______o_x_o__________________________ ___|17.31%|46.56%
    1.3050|~3375|______o_x_o_____________________x____ ___|18.71%|44.07%
    1.2825|~36OO|______o___o_________x___x___x___x_o__ ___|20.11%|41.59%
    1.2600|~3825|__________o_x_______x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o__ ___|21.51%|39.1%
    1.2375|~4O5O|__________o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o__ ___|22.92%|36.62%
    1.2150|~4275|__________o_x_o_____x_o_x_o___o_x_o__ ___|24.32%|34.14%
    1.1925|~45OO|__________o___o_____x_o_x_____o___o__ ___|25.72%|31.65%
    1.1700|~4725|______________o_x___x_o_x_________o_x ___|27.12%|29.17%
    1.1475|~495O|______________o_x_o_x_o___________o_x _o_|28.52%|26.68%
    1.1250|~5175|______________o_x_o_x_____________o_x _o_|29.92%|24.2%
    1.1025|~54OO|______________o___o_x_____________o_x _o_|31.33%|21.72%
    1.0800|~5625|__________________o_x_____________o__ _o_|32.73%|19.23%
    1.0575|~585O|__________________o_x________________ _o_|34.13%|16.75%
    1.0350|~6O75|__________________o_x________________ _o_|35.53%|14.26%
    1.0125|~63OO|__________________o_x________________ ___|36.93%|11.78%
    0.9900|~6525|__________________o_x________________ ___|38.33%|9.3%
    0.9675|~675O|__________________o_x________________ ___|39.73%|6.81%
    0.9450|~6975|__________________o_x________________ ___|41.14%|4.33%
    0.9225|~72OO|__________________o__________________ ___|42.54%|1.84%
    0.9000|~7425|_____________________________________ ___|43.94%|-0.64%
    Column|~765O|4_1136_5_9_3_7_3_1116_6_6_3_3_4_5_104 _6_|
    Count




    BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  6. #56

    Default

    Chart: AUDUSD

    AUDUSD was unable to maintain prices above 0.9200. That area now acts as resistance and we look for potential follow through lower if risk aversion continues. The strong swoon in commodities, especially gold is also worth nothing today. There are a cluster of support points in the 0.9085 to 0.9035 area that are the next major focus. A failure of those could lead to a test of the 200-day SMA now down below 0.8800.

    "P&F AUDUSD1440 Box Size 150X3 or(5.97%) HI/LO
    Data 0.9849 - 0.5228 ~ 92 Month ~ 2810 Day
    Database 2000 records 0.91526 (Last Close)
    2002-07-09 00~00
    2010-03-19 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    0.9750|~15O||____________________________________| 1.01%|86.5%
    0.9600|~3OO||_____________Xo_____________________| 2.53%|83.63%
    0.9450|~45O||___________x_Xo_____________________| 4.05%|80.76%
    0.9300|~6OO||_________x_XoXo________________x_X__| 5.57%|77.89%
    0.9150|~75O||_________XoXoXo________________XoXoX| 7.1%|75.02%
    0.9000|~9OO||_________XoXo_o________________XoXoX| 8.62%|72.15%
    0.8850|~1O5O|_______X_XoX__o________________Xo_oX| 10.14%|69.28%
    0.8700|~12OO|_______XoXoX__o________________X__o_| 11.67%|66.41%
    0.8550|~135O|_______xoXo___o________________X____| 13.19%|63.54%
    0.8400|~15OO|_______xoX____oX_______________x____| 14.71%|60.67%
    0.8250|~165O|_______Xox____oXo____________X_X____| 16.24%|57.8%
    0.8100|~18OO|_______XoX____oXo____________XoX____| 17.76%|54.93%
    0.7950|~195O|_X___X_XoX____o_o____________XoX____| 19.28%|52.07%
    0.7800|~21OO|_Xo__Xoxo_______o____________Xo_____| 20.8%|49.2%
    0.7650|~225O|_Xo__xoX________o____________X______| 22.33%|46.33%
    0.7500|~24OO|_Xo__Xox________o____________X______| 23.85%|43.46%
    0.7350|~255O|_xoX_XoX________o____________x______| 25.37%|40.59%
    0.7200|~27OO|_xoxoXoX________o__X_____X___X______| 26.9%|37.72%
    0.7050|~285O|_XoXoXo_________oX_XoX___xo__x______| 28.42%|34.85%
    0.6900|~3OOO|_xo_o___________oXoXoXoX_Xo__X______| 29.94%|31.98%
    0.6750|~315O|_X______________oXoXoXoXoXoX_X______| 31.47%|29.11%
    0.6600|~33OO|_X______________oXoXo_oXoxoXoX______| 32.99%|26.24%
    0.6450|~345O|_x______________o_o___oXoXoXoX______| 34.51%|23.37%
    0.6300|~36OO|_x____________________oXoXo_o_______| 36.03%|20.5%
    0.6150|~375O|_x____________________o_o___________| 37.56%|17.64%
    0.6000|~39OO|_X__________________________________| 39.08%|14.77%
    0.5850|~4O5O|_X__________________________________| 40.6%|11.9%
    0.5700|~42OO|_x__________________________________| 42.13%|9.03%
    0.5550|~435O|oX__________________________________| 43.65%|6.16%
    0.5400|~45OO|oX__________________________________| 45.17%|3.29%
    0.5250|~465O|o___________________________________| 46.7%|0.42%
    0.5100|~48OO|____________________________________| 48.22%|-2.45%
    Column|||||||317337617156341314454365576331313343|
    Count||||||||_8_____2_O____2_3____________3_O____|




    BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  7. #57

    Default

    AUDUSD Outlook

    The AUDUSD made a significant bullish momentum, break above the broadening formation, confirms the bullish continuation scenario after RBA raised the rate at 4.25% as expected. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 0.9326 - 0.9404 area. Immediate support at 0.9250. Break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing the upper line of the broadening formation. A movement back inside the formation should lead us into no trading zone as direction would become unclear.

    "P&F AUDUSD1440 Box Size 150X3 or(5.98%) HI/LO
    Data 0.9784 - 0.5276 ~ 93 Month ~ 2812 Day
    Database 2000 records 0.92673 (Last Close)
    2002-07-26 00~00
    2010-04-07 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    0.9900|~15O||___________________________________|-1.19%|87.64%
    0.9750|~3OO||____________X______________________|0 .35%|84.8%
    0.9600|~45O||____________Xo_____________________|1 .88%|81.96%
    0.9450|~6OO||__________X_Xo_____________________|3 .41%|79.11%
    0.9300|~75O||________X_XoXo________________X_X__|4 .95%|76.27%
    0.9150|~9OO||________XoXoXo________________XoXoX|6 .48%|73.43%
    0.9000|~1O5O|________XoXo_o________________XoXoX|8 .01%|70.58%
    0.8850|~12OO|______X_XoX__o________________Xo_oX|9 .55%|67.74%
    0.8700|~135O|______XoXoX__o________________X__o_|1 1.08%|64.9%
    0.8550|~15OO|______XoXo___o________________X____|1 2.61%|62.05%
    0.8400|~165O|______XoX____oX_______________X____|1 4.15%|59.21%
    0.8250|~18OO|______XoX____oXo____________X_X____|1 5.68%|56.37%
    0.8100|~195O|______XoX____oXo____________XoX____|1 7.21%|53.53%
    0.7950|~21OO|X___X_XoX____o_o____________XoX____|1 8.74%|50.68%
    0.7800|~225O|Xo__XoXo_______o____________Xo_____|2 0.28%|47.84%
    0.7650|~24OO|Xo__XoX________o____________X______|2 1.81%|45%
    0.7500|~255O|Xo__XoX________o____________X______|2 3.34%|42.15%
    0.7350|~27OO|XoX_XoX________o____________X______|2 4.88%|39.31%
    0.7200|~285O|XoXoXoX________o__X_____X___X______|2 6.41%|36.47%
    0.7050|~3OOO|XoXoXo_________oX_XoX___Xo__X______|2 7.94%|33.62%
    0.6900|~315O|Xo_o___________oXoXoXoX_Xo__X______|2 9.48%|30.78%
    0.6750|~33OO|X______________oXoXoXoXoXoX_X______|3 1.01%|27.94%
    0.6600|~345O|X______________oXoXo_oXoXoXoX______|3 2.54%|25.09%
    0.6450|~36OO|X______________o_o___oXoXoXoX______|3 4.08%|22.25%
    0.6300|~375O|X____________________oXoXo_o_______|3 5.61%|19.41%
    0.6150|~39OO|X____________________o_o___________|3 7.14%|16.57%
    0.6000|~4O5O|X__________________________________|3 8.68%|13.72%
    0.5850|~42OO|X__________________________________|4 0.21%|10.88%
    0.5700|~435O|X__________________________________|4 1.74%|8.04%
    0.5550|~45OO|X__________________________________|4 3.27%|5.19%
    0.5400|~465O|X__________________________________|4 4.81%|2.35%
    0.5250|~48OO|___________________________________|4 6.34%|-0.49%
    Column|~495O|17337617156351314454365576331313343|
    Count|~51OO||8_____2_O____2_3____________3_O____|




    BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  8. #58

    Default

    The underlying MT direction is bearish while the daily bias is bearish. Therefore the main risk is lower. Ensure that key resistances levels hold. Note key support levels that would suggest continuation of the bearish move. Consider confirming this with a bearish set up pattern in price or important that you consider either bullish or bearish set up patterns in indicators or lower time frame charts to support S&R breaks.

    "P&F USDCAD15 Box Size 10X4 or(0.39%) HI/LO
    Data 1.0302 - 0.9977 ~ 1 Month ~ 29.05 Day
    Database 2000 records 0.99813 (Last Close)
    2010-03-16 08~45
    2010-04-14 10~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    1.0300|~1O|||___________X___________________|0.02% |3.24%
    1.0290|~2O|||___________Xo__________________|0.12% |3.14%
    1.0280|~3O|||_________X_Xo__________________|0.21% |3.04%
    1.0270|~4O|||_________XoXo__________________|0.31% |2.94%
    1.0260|~5O|||_________XoXo__________________|0.41% |2.84%
    1.0250|~6O|||_________XoXo__________________|0.5%| 2.74%
    1.0240|~7O|||_____X___XoXo__________________|0.6%| 2.64%
    1.0230|~8O|||_____Xo__XoXo__________________|0.7%| 2.54%
    1.0220|~9O|||_____XoX_XoXoX_________________|0.8%| 2.44%
    1.0210|~1OO||_____XoXoXoXoXoX_______________|0.89% |2.34%
    1.0200|~11O||_____XoXoXoXoXoXo______________|0.99% |2.24%
    1.0190|~12O||_____XoXoXoXoXoXoX_____________|1.09% |2.13%
    1.0180|~13O||o__X_XoXoXoXo_oXoXo____________|1.18% |2.03%
    1.0170|~14O||o__XoXo_oXo___oXoXo____________|1.28% |1.93%
    1.0160|~15O||o__XoX__o_____o_oXo____________|1.38% |1.83%
    1.0150|~16O||o__XoX__________oX4____________|1.48% |1.73%
    1.0140|~17O||o__XoX__________oXo____________|1.57% |1.63%
    1.0130|~18O||oX_XoX__________o_o____________|1.67% |1.53%
    1.0120|~19O||oXoXoX____________oX___________|1.77% |1.43%
    1.0110|~2OO||oXoXoX____________oXo__________|1.86% |1.33%
    1.0100|~21O||oXoXoX____________oXoX_________|1.96% |1.23%
    1.0090|~22O||oXo_oX____________oXoXo________|2.06% |1.13%
    1.0080|~23O||oX__oX____________oXoXoX___X___|2.15% |1.03%
    1.0070|~24O||o___o_____________o_oXoXoX_Xo__|2.25% |0.93%
    1.0060|~25O||____________________oXoXoXoXoX_|2.35% |0.83%
    1.0050|~26O||____________________oXoXoXoXoXo|2.45% |0.73%
    1.0040|~27O||____________________oXoXoXoXoXo|2.54% |0.63%
    1.0030|~28O||____________________oXoXo_oXoXo|2.64% |0.53%
    1.0020|~29O||____________________oXoX__o_oXo|2.74% |0.43%
    1.0010|~3OO||____________________oXoX____o_o|2.83% |0.33%
    1.0000|~31O||____________________oXo_______o|2.93% |0.23%
    0.9990|~32O||____________________oX________o|3.03% |0.13%
    0.9980|~33O||____________________o__________|3.13% |0.03%
    0.9970|~34O||_______________________________|3.22% |-0.07%
    Column|||||||1649117561111465861511185456757|
    Count||||||||2___17___2132_____2_42O________|




    BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  9. #59

    Default

    Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy Limit at 1.044; Target: 1.084 ; Stop: 1.028.
    =================================================

    Since the middle of May, the USD/CAD has been trading in a bullish trend. Recently, the prices rebounded at its upper Fibonacci Fan and could recover at its Fan around 1.0645 (50.0). Now it seems that the USD could start a pull back. Important is a breakthrough of the 61.8 Fan. Also the crossing Stoch indicator through the signal line from below may indicate a further bullish trend.

    "P&F USDCAD1440 Box Size 200X3 or(4.79%) HI/LO
    Data 1.5995 - 0.9056 ~ 92 Month ~ 2812 Day
    Database 2000 records 1.06469 (Last Close)
    2002-09-13 00~00
    2010-05-26 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"




    BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  10. #60

    Default

    AUD/USD Weekly Outlook
    AUD/USD dropped sharply to as low as 0.8315 last week. The break of 0.8549 support suggests that corrective rise from 0.8066 is finished with three waves up to 0.8858, just ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9380 to 0.8066 at 0.8878. While some recovery might be seen initially this week, we'd expect upside to be limited well below 0.8858 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.8315 will target a test on 0.8066 support next.
    The text is written by ActionForex.

    "P&F AUDUSD10080 Box Size 20X3 or(8.21%) HI/LO
    Data 0.9849 - 0.4773 ~ 252 Month ~ 7686 Day
    Database 1099 records 0.84138 (Last Close)
    1989-06-11 00~00
    2010-06-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

    0.9800|~2OO||______________________________x_+____ ___________________|0.5%|105.32%
    0.9600|~4OO||______________________________x_o_+__ _________+_________|2.53%|101.13%
    0.9400|~6OO||______________________________x_o___+ _________x_+_______|4.56%|96.94%
    0.9200|~8OO||__________________________x___x_o____ _+_______x_o_x_____|6.59%|92.75%
    0.9000|~1OOO|__________________________x_o_x_o____ ___+_____x_o_x_o___|8.62%|88.56%
    0.8800|~12OO|______________________x___x_o_x_o____ _____+___x_o_x_o_x_|10.65%|84.37%
    0.8600|~14OO|__+___________________x_o_x_o___o____ _______+_x_o___o_x_|12.68%|80.18%
    0.8400|~16OO|__x_+_________________x_o_x_____o____ _________x_____o_x_|14.71%|75.99%
    0.8200|~18OO|__x_o_x_______________x_o_x_____o____ _________x_____o___|16.74%|71.8%
    0.8000|~2OOO|__x_o_x_o_____x_______x_o_x_____o____ _________x_________|18.77%|67.61%
    0.7800|~22OO|__x_o_x_o_+___x_o_x___x_o_______o____ _________x_________|20.8%|63.42%
    0.7600|~24OO|o_x_o_x_o___+_x_o_x_o_x_________o____ _________x_________|22.83%|59.23%
    0.7400|~26OO|o___o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_x_________o____ _________x_______+_|24.87%|55.04%
    0.7200|~28OO|____o_x_o_____x_o_x_o___________o_x__ _____x___x_____+___|26.9%|50.85%
    0.7000|~3OOO|____o_x_o_____x_o_x_____________o_x_o _x___x_o_x___+_____|28.93%|46.66%
    0.6800|~32OO|____o_x_o_____x_o_______________o_x_o _x_o_x_o_x_+_______|30.96%|42.47%
    0.6600|~34OO|____o___o_x___x_________________o_x_o _x_o_x_o_x_________|32.99%|38.28%
    0.6400|~36OO|________o_x_o_x_______________+_o___o _x_o_x_o___________|35.02%|34.09%
    0.6200|~38OO|________o_x_o_x_____________+_______o ___o_+_____________|37.05%|29.9%
    0.6000|~4OOO|________o_x_o_x___________+__________ ___+_______________|39.08%|25.71%
    0.5800|~42OO|________o_x_o_x_________+____________ ___________________|41.11%|21.52%
    0.5600|~44OO|________o___o_x_______+______________ ___________________|43.14%|17.33%
    0.5400|~46OO|____________o_x_____+________________ ___________________|45.17%|13.14%
    0.5200|~48OO|____________o_x___+__________________ ___________________|47.2%|8.95%
    0.5000|~5OOO|____________o_x_+____________________ ___________________|49.23%|4.76%
    0.4800|~52OO|____________o_+______________________ ___________________|51.26%|0.57%
    0.4600|~54OO|____________+________________________ ___________________|53.29%|-3.62%
    Column|||||||2_5_9_8_1_5_9_1_6_5_3_8_5_7_3_6_1_4_5 _4_4_5_4_1_4_3_5_3_|
    Count||||||||________3_____6_________________7____ _________5_________|



    BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

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