EUR/CHF review
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  1. #1

    Default EUR/CHF review

    EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook
    EUR/CHF dropped further to as low as 1.4557 last week and met mentioned 1.4577 key support level. However, the cross the rebounded strongly on SNB intervention and before settling at 1.4667. Initial bias remains neutral this week and we'd expect some more sideway consolidations in near term. The range of the consolidation is not defined yet and another rise to above 1.4820 cannot be ruled out. But we'd expect strong resistance ahead of 1.5 psychological level to limit any rebound attempt.
    In the bigger picture, with EUR/CHF still staying well below 55 weeks EMA, fall from 1.5880 is likely still in progress. The test of 1.4577 key support is already done but near term downside should be limited on risk of further intervention from SNB. We'd expect some choppy sideway consolidations below 1.5 psychological level first before down trend finally resume for a test of 1.4315 low. Sustained trading above 1.5 psychological level is needed to invalidate this bearish view.
    In the long term picture, the corrective three wave structure of the rise from 1.4391 to 1.6827 is arguing that fall from 1.6827 is resumption of long term down trend from 1.8234. EUR/CHF's failure to take out 55 weeks EMA suggests that whole fall from 1.6827 is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.4577 support will affirm this case and bring another low below 1.4315 to resume the long term down trend.[Written by]

    "P&F EURCHF1440 Box Size 80X4 or(2.05%) CLOSE
    Data 1.6796 - 1.4418 ~ 92 Month ~ 2809 Day
    Database 2000 records 1.4661 (Last Close)
    2002-06-03 00~00
    2010-02-10 00~00
    (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    1.6800|~8O|||_____________________________________ ___|-0.02%|16.52%
    1.6720|~16O||________________X____________________ ___|0.45%|15.97%
    1.6640|~24O||______________X_XoX__________________ ___|0.93%|15.41%
    1.6560|~32O||______________XoXoXo_________________ ___|1.41%|14.86%
    1.6480|~4OO||______________XoXoXo_________________ ___|1.88%|14.3%
    1.6400|~48O||______________XoXoXo_________________ ___|2.36%|13.75%
    1.6320|~56O||______________XoXoXoX_X______________ ___|2.83%|13.19%
    1.6240|~64O||____________X_Xo_o_oXoXo_____________ ___|3.31%|12.64%
    1.6160|~72O||____________XoX____oXoXo_____________ ___|3.79%|12.08%
    1.6080|~8OO||____________XoX____oXoXo_____________ ___|4.26%|11.53%
    1.6000|~88O||____________XoX____oXo_o_____________ ___|4.74%|10.97%
    1.5920|~96O||____________Xo_____oX__o_____________ ___|5.22%|10.42%
    1.5840|~1O4O|____________X______oX__o____X________ ___|5.69%|9.86%
    1.5760|~112O|____X_____X_X______oX__o____Xo_______ ___|6.17%|9.31%
    1.5680|~12OO|__X_Xo____XoX______oX__o____Xo_______ ___|6.64%|8.75%
    1.5600|~128O|__XoXo__X_XoX______oX__o____Xo_______ ___|7.12%|8.2%
    1.5520|~136O|__XoXoX_XoXoX______oX__o____Xo_______ ___|7.6%|7.64%
    1.5440|~144O|__XoXoXoXoXo_______o___o__X_Xo_______ ___|8.07%|7.09%
    1.5360|~152O|__Xo_oXoXoX____________o__XoXo______X ___|8.55%|6.53%
    1.5280|~16OO|__X__oXoXo_____________o__XoXo______X oX_|9.03%|5.98%
    1.5200|~168O|__X__oXoX______________o__XoXo______X oXo|9.5%|5.42%
    1.5120|~176O|__X__oXoX______________o__Xo_oX_X_X_X oXo|9.98%|4.87%
    1.5040|~184O|__X__o_o_______________oX_X__oXoXoXoX oXo|10.45%|4.31%
    1.4960|~192O|__X____________________oXoX__oXoXoXoX o_o|10.93%|3.76%
    1.4880|~2OOO|__X____________________oXoX__oXoXoXoX __o|11.41%|3.2%
    1.4800|~2O8O|__X____________________oXoX__oXoXo_oX __o|11.88%|2.65%
    1.4720|~216O|X_X____________________oXo___o_oX__oX __o|12.36%|2.09%
    1.4640|~224O|_oX____________________oX______o___oX __o|12.84%|1.54%
    1.4560|~232O|_oX____________________oX__________o_ ___|13.31%|0.98%
    1.4480|~24OO|_oX____________________oX____________ ___|13.79%|0.43%
    1.4400|~248O|_o_____________________o_____________ ___|14.27%|-0.12%
    Column|~256O|1414596674641495665114428494915664471 548|
    Count||||||||__6_________O______51__4_____4______O ___|

    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  2. #2


    EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook
    Despite dipping to 1.4294 briefly, there was no follow through selling and EUR/CHF recovered back into familiar range. Outlook is turned neutral again and more choppy sideway trading might be seen. On the downside, break of 1.4294 will argue that rebound from 1.4143 is completed at 1.4465 already and turn bias to the downside for this support first. On the upside, above 1.4386 will suggest that stronger recovery might be seen. But after all, we'd continue to expect strong resistance near to 1.4557 support turned resistance to limit upside and bring fall resumption sooner or later.

    "P&F EURCHF1440 Box Size 100X3 or(1.94%) HI/LO
    Data 1.6827 - 1.4144 ~ 92 Month ~ 2811 Day
    Database 2000 records 1.43556 (Last Close)
    2002-08-16 00~00
    2010-04-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
    BJF Trading Group chart"

    1.6800|~1OO||____________X________________________ _|0.16%|18.78%
    1.6700|~2OO||____________XoX______________________ _|0.75%|18.07%
    1.6600|~3OO||__________X_XoXo_____________________ _|1.35%|17.36%
    1.6500|~4OO||__________XoXoXo_____________________ _|1.94%|16.66%
    1.6400|~5OO||__________XoXoXo_____________________ _|2.54%|15.95%
    1.6300|~6OO||__________XoXo_o__X_X________________ _|3.13%|15.24%
    1.6200|~7OO||__________Xo___oX_XoXo_______________ _|3.73%|14.54%
    1.6100|~8OO||__________X____oXoXoXo_______________ _|4.32%|13.83%
    1.6000|~9OO||__________X____oXoXo_o_______________ _|4.91%|13.12%
    1.5900|~1OOO|__________X____o_oX__o_______________ _|5.51%|12.42%
    1.5800|~11OO|X_X_____X_X______oX__o________X______ _|6.1%|11.71%
    1.5700|~12OO|XoXo____XoX______oX__o________Xo_____ _|6.7%|11%
    1.5600|~13OO|XoXo__X_XoX______oX__o________Xo_____ _|7.29%|10.29%
    1.5500|~14OO|Xo_oX_XoXo_______oX__oX_____X_Xo_____ _|7.89%|9.59%
    1.5400|~15OO|X__oXoXoX________o___oXo____XoXo____X _|8.48%|8.88%
    1.5300|~16OO|X__oXoXo_____________oXo____XoXo____X o|9.07%|8.17%
    1.5200|~17OO|X__oXoX______________oXo____Xo_o____X o|9.67%|7.47%
    1.5100|~18OO|X__o_o_______________o_o__X_X__oX_X_X o|10.26%|6.76%
    1.5000|~19OO|X______________________o__XoX__oXoXoX o|10.86%|6.05%
    1.4900|~2OOO|X______________________oX_XoX__oXoXoX o|11.45%|5.35%
    1.4800|~21OO|X______________________oXoXo___o_oXoX o|12.05%|4.64%
    1.4700|~22OO|X______________________oXoX______o_oX o|12.64%|3.93%
    1.4600|~23OO|X______________________oXo_________o_ o|13.23%|3.22%
    1.4500|~24OO|_______________________oX____________ o|13.83%|2.52%
    1.4400|~25OO|_______________________o_____________ o|14.42%|1.81%
    1.4300|~26OO|_____________________________________ o|15.02%|1.1%
    1.4200|~27OO|_____________________________________ o|15.61%|0.4%
    1.4100|~28OO|_____________________________________ _|16.21%|-0.31%
    Column|||||||1337445353146548389331415353736134458 1|
    Count||||||||3_________1__________2_1_______O_____ 2|

    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

  3. #3


    A look at the CHF, its historical use as a safe haven currency.
    P&F =>>> Chf\Jpy & Jpy\Chf; Usd\Chf; Gbp\Chf; Eur\Chf and Chf Index.

    BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.
    BJF Trading Group|FOREX MetaTrader Expert Advisors

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EUR/CHF review