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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #111
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Rally from 1.2208 and 1.2252 stalled at 1.2398 yesterday, ahead of reversal. Break below 1.2290, trendline support, and 1.2252 confirms 1.2468 as a key lower top, with scope for retest of key near-term supports1.2208 and 1.2162. Upside attempts should be capped by 1.2295.

    Res: 1.2295, 1.2318, 1.2343, 1.2398
    Sup: 1.2208, 1.2162, 1.2110, 1.2075




    GBP/USD

    Broke above 1.5031, 61.8% retracement of the 1.5523/1.4230 fall, to reach a fresh high of 1.5127 yesterday, ahead of reversal. This is so far seen corrective, while 1.5015 support holds, for fresh push higher, to target 1.5127/49. yesterday/06 May high. Loss of 1.5015, however, to risk deeper correction and open key 1.4854 support.

    Res: 1.5127, 1.5149, 1.5174, 1.5188
    Sup: 1.5044, 1.5015, 1.4973, 1.4914




    USD/JPY

    Breaks lower through a 7 month rising trendline at 88.95 to confirm potential for further weakness. Negative hourly studies confirm bear structure and 87.96 marks the next downside target, though oversold conditions suggest correction. 89.05 offer immediate resistance, ahead of 89.50/76, break of which is required to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 89.05, 89.50, 89.76, 89.97
    Sup: 88.95, 88.14, 87.96, 87.36




    USD/CHF

    Last week bear flag triggered a fresh weakness that has broken under 1.0924, 10 May low, and 1.0841, 04 May low to reach 1.0815 low so far. Risk is now seen for test of 1.0728/1.0698, 03 May/ 27 Apr lows, while 1.0937 caps.

    Res: 1.0894, 1.0937, 1.0958, 1.0981
    Sup: 1.0815, 1.0728, 1.0698, 1.0674


  2. #112
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    Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Rally from 1.2208 and 1.2252 stalled at 1.2398, ahead of reversal. Loss of 1.2290, trendline support, and 1.2252, confirms 1.2468 as a key lower top. Yesterday’s brief break below 1.2162 found temporary foothold at 1.2151, ahead of bounce. 1.2295 now caps for fresh push lower to target 1.2110.

    Res: 1.2252, 1.2295, 1.2318, 1.2343
    Sup: 1.2151, 1.2110, 1.2075, 1.2045




    GBP/USD
    Past two days trading action saw a break above the resistance of a daily rising wedge formation. This has failed to lead to continuation with an hourly head and shoulders formation developing instead. Break below the neckline at 1.5010 to trigger fresh weakness towards 1.4960, while lift above 1.5127 is required to resume recovery.

    Res: 1.5105, 1.5127, 1.5149, 1.5174
    Sup: 1.5010, 1.4973, 1.4960, 1.4914




    USD/JPY

    Breaks lower through a 7 month rising trendline at 88.95, to confirm potential for further weakness. Negative hourly studies confirm bear structure and 87.96 marks the next downside target, with 88.28 seen so far. 88.91/89.05 zone offer immediate resistance, ahead of 89.50/76, break of which is required to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 88.91, 89.05, 89.50, 89.76
    Sup: 88.28, 87.96, 87.36, 87.00




    USD/CHF

    Attempted below the 50% retracement of 0.9916/1.1730 upleg at 1.0823, to reach 1.0800 thus far and attract further losses towards 1.072803 May low, next. Regaining 1.0903/37 now needed to neutralize the immediate bear tone.

    Res: 1.0880, 1.0903, 1.0937, 1.0958
    Sup: 1.0800, 1.0728, 1.0698, 1.0674


  3. #113
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Rally from 1.2208 and 1.2252 stalled at 1.2398, ahead of reversal. Loss of 1.2290, trendline support, and 1.2252, confirms 1.2468 as a key lower top. Yesterday’s brief break below 1.2162 found temporary foothold at 1.2151, ahead of bounce. 1.2295 now caps for fresh push lower to target 1.2110.

    Res: 1.2304, 1.2318, 1.2343, 1.2360
    Sup: 1.2204, 1.2151, 1.2110, 1.2075




    GBP/USD

    Past two days trading action saw a break above the resistance of a daily rising wedge formation. This has failed to lead to continuation with an hourly head and shoulders formation developing instead. Today’s break below the neckline at 1.5010 has triggered fresh weakness to test 1.4960 so far, with next levels seen at 1.4854/01. Only regain of 1.5127 improves.

    Res: 1.5105, 1.5127, 1.5149, 1.5174
    Sup: 1.4960, 1.4914, 1.4855, 1.4801




    USD/JPY
    Breaks lower through a 7 month rising trendline at 88.95, to confirm potential for further weakness. Negative hourly studies confirm bear structure and 87.96 marks the next downside target, with 88.28 seen so far. 88.91/89.05 zone offer immediate resistance, ahead of 89.50/76, break of which is required to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 88.91, 89.05, 89.50, 89.76
    Sup: 88.28, 87.96, 87.36, 87.00




    USD/CHF

    Attempted below the 50% retracement of 0.9916/1.1730 upleg at 1.0823, to reach 1.0787 thus far and attract further losses towards 1.0728, 03 May low, next. Regaining 1.0903/37 now needed to neutralize the immediate bear tone.

    Res: 1.0854, 1.0880, 1.0903, 1.0937
    Sup: 1.0787, 1.0728, 1.0698, 1.0674


  4. #114
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery phase off 1.2151, 29 June low, stalled at 1.2304 yesterday near 61.8% retracement of 1.2398 to 1.2151 decline. A retest on 1.2151 is anticipated, ahead of an eventual break lower towards 1.2110/1.2045. 1.2305 offers initial resistance, ahead 1.2345, trendline resistance.

    Res: 1.2304, 1.2318, 1.2343, 1.2360
    Sup: 1.2192, 1.2151, 1.2110, 1.2075




    GBP/USD

    Breaks through 1.4917, trendline support off 1.4344, 08 Jun low. This now increases the probability of a push below key 1.4854 support, confirming a false break higher out of a daily wedge. Under 1.4854 to expose 1.4801.

    Res: 1.4974, 1.5034, 1.5072, 1.5105
    Sup: 1.4854, 1.4801, 1.4740, 1.4690




    USD/JPY

    Break below seven week triangle and a trendline support drawn off 84.80, Nov 2009 spike low, now signal further weakness. Market approaches 87.96, annual low and potential break here to pivot 87.36 next. Short term, attempt at 84.80 is not ruled out. 88.77 should cap above.

    Res: 88.77, 88.91, 89.05, 89.50
    Sup: 87.96, 87.36, 87.00, 86.60




    USD/CHF

    The latest break below 1.0728, 03 May low, risks further decline, with 1.0698 now under pressure. Break below here opens the path to 1.0609, 61.8% retracement of the 0.9916/1.1730 ascend. Regain of 1.0854 is needed to firm the near-term outlook.

    Res: 1.0765, 1.0787, 1.0854, 1.0880
    Sup: 1.0698, 1.0675, 1.0654, 1.0609


  5. #115
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Yesterday’s rally cleared key 1.2398 and 1.2468 resistances to complete a continuation that signaled further recovery off 1.1875, 7 Jun yearly low. Lift above 1.2468 has dented 1.2525, opening way for possible test of 1.2671. Downside, 1.2396 offers initial support, while loss of 1.2304 risks fresh weakness.

    Res: 1.2539, 1.2561, 1.2599, 1.2671
    Sup: 1.2462, 1.2432, 1.2396, 1.2304




    GBP/USD

    Yesterday's break over 1.5127 negates the earlier wedge formation and brings the upside back in focus. Scope is now seen for fresh gains towards extension through 1.5200 to possible test of 1.5301, 38.2% retracement of 1.7041/1.4230 decline. 1.5127/1.5075 underpins the advance.

    Res: 1.5225, 1.5265, 1.5301, 1.5320
    Sup: 1.5148, 1.5127, 1.5105, 1.5075





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative structure, with break below key medium-term trendline, triggering fresh losses to 86.96 yesterday, ahead of a corrective bounce. Lower top is now required for retest of 86.96, break of which to expose 84.82/83.30 near-term. Break above 88.56/77 would delay immediate bears.

    Res: 88.22, 88.56, 88.77, 88.91
    Sup: 86.96, 86.60, 86.15, 85.86




    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower towards key supports at 1.0503 and 1.0435, where basing is possible. A lower top near 1.0710 is now favored before down. Over a lower ceiling at 1.0749/65 needed to point immediately higher.

    Res: 1.0654, 1.0687, 1.0749, 1.0765
    Sup: 1.0577, 1.0557, 1.0528, 1.0503


  6. #116
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extends the latest upleg from 1.2151 higher low, with yesterday’s lower rejection at 1.2477 and today’s clearance of 1.2610, last Friday’s low, now focusing 1.2671, 21 May high. Break here is required to resume recovery and expose 1.2704, trendline off 1.5140 and 1.2738 next. Downside, 1.2477 offers initial support, ahead of 1.2396, break of which may delay.

    Res: 1.2671, 1.2704, 1.2738, 1.2760
    Sup: 1.2562, 1.2508, 1.2477, 1.2432




    GBP/USD

    Yesterday's failure to break over 1.5228 triggered immediate pullback. This is currently approaching 1.5080, break of which will open 1.5000, channel support. Holding above the latter, however, keeps an upside attempt at 1.5228/1.5304 in play.

    Res: 1.5162, 1.5210, 1.5228, 1.5265
    Sup: 1.5080, 1.5041, 1.5000, 1.4974




    USD/JPY

    A bear flag is forming for the next leg lower and below 86.96 to test 86.15, 01 Dec 2009 low. Earlier long-term trendline break continues to focus 84.84/83.30 further out. Above, 88.05 offers immediate resistance and break here would delay.

    Res: 87.32, 87.66, 88.05, 88.22
    Sup: 86.96, 86.60, 86.15, 85.86




    USD/CHF

    Has completed a 3 day bear flag as the market continues to trend lower towards key supports at 1.0503 and 1.0435. Lower highs at 1.0655/75 are expected to cap, while break above 1.0695 signals possible basing.

    Res: 1.0655, 1.0675, 1.0695, 1.0749
    Sup: 1.0561, 1.0528, 1.0503, 1.0435


  7. #117
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Break above triangle, seen last week, and yesterday’s break above 1.2610, sustain recovery for the latest attempt at key 1.2671 resistance. Clear break here opens 1.2738/60 next. Downside, immediate support stands at 1.2620, while potential break below 1.2552 risks fresh near-term bears.

    Res: 1.2686, 1.2704, 1.2738, 1.2760
    Sup: 1.2619, 1.2585, 1.2552, 1.2508




    GBP/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.5228 has triggered reversal that found support at 1.5080 yesterday, ahead of fresh strength. Market now consolidated just under 1.5228, break of which is required for final push towards 1.5301, 38.2% retracement of 1.7044/1.4230.

    Res: 1.5239, 1.5265, 1.5301, 1.5345
    Sup: 1.5155, 1.5080, 1.5041, 1.5000




    USD/JPY

    Dipped to 87.01 yesterday, just above 86.96, 01 Jul annual low. A corrective bounce is now being seen following the breach at 87.66. Potential is now for an extension to 88.77/91, before fresh downleg, and below 86.96 to expose 86.15.

    Res: 88.45, 88.56, 88.77, 88.91
    Sup: 87.62, 87.34, 86.96, 86.60




    USD/CHF

    Has completed a 3 day bear flag as the market continues to trend lower towards key support at 1.0435. Market reached 1.0480, ahead of minor correction, with 1.0561 expected to cap. However, break above here may signal basing and open stronger correction.

    Res: 1.0561, 1.0599, 1.0637, 1.0655
    Sup: 1.0480, 1.0435, 1.0400, 1.0365


  8. #118
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Attempts to sustain break above key 1.2671 resistance, with 1.2695 seen so far, just ahead of 1.2701, trendline resistance off 1.5140. Break here is needed to open 1.2738/60 area next. Immediate support stands at 1.2620, while potential break below 1.2552 risks fresh near-term bears.


    Res: 1.2701, 1.2738, 1.2760, 1.2803
    Sup: 1.2619, 1.2585, 1.2552, 1.2508




    GBP/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.5228 has triggered reversal that found support at 1.5080 yesterday, ahead of fresh strength. Market now consolidated just under 1.5228, break of which is required for final push towards 1.5301, 38.2% retracement of 1.7044/1.4230. Initial support stands at 1.5080, and loss here to sideline near-term bulls.

    Res: 1.5239, 1.5265, 1.5301, 1.5345
    Sup: 1.5120, 1.5080, 1.5041, 1.5000




    USD/JPY

    Dipped to 87.01 yesterday, just above 86.96, 01 Jul annual low. A corrective bounce is now being seen following the breach at 87.66. Potential is now for an extension to 88.77/91, before fresh downleg, and below 86.96 to expose 86.15. Above 88.91, however, to allow a stronger correction.

    Res: 88.77, 88.91, 89.05, 89.50
    Sup: 87.99, 87.62, 87.34, 86.96




    USD/CHF

    Has completed a 3 day bear flag as the market continues to trend lower towards key support at 1.0435. Market reached 1.0480, ahead of minor correction to 1.0561. Fresh weakness now approached 1.0480, break of which exposes 1.0435, possibly 1.0365 on a break. Upside regain of minimum 1.0561 is needed to delay bears.

    Res: 1.0561, 1.0599, 1.0637, 1.0655
    Sup: 1.0480, 1.0435, 1.0400, 1.0365


  9. #119
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    The latest upleg off 1.2479, 06 July higher low, stalled at 1.2721 last Friday, ahead of reversal. Market is now approaching 1.2552, break of which would attract test of key 1.2479. Loss here would trigger fresh weakness and suggest a key lower top is in place. Upside, regain of 1.2648 is needed to improve and turn focus back to 1.2621/38.

    Res: 1.2648, 1.2682, 1.2721, 1.2738
    Sup: 1.2552, 1.2508, 1.2479, 1.2432




    GBP/USD

    Last weeks break under multi-week trend channel support hints at the end of the corrective phase off 1.4230. Further weakness under the 1.4854, 38.2% retracement of 1.4230/1.5239 upleg, would increase the probability of a lower high at 1.5239 and open 1.4730/1.4609 next.

    Res: 1.5079, 1.5100, 1.5126, 1.5204
    Sup: 1.4937, 1.4871, 1.4854, 1.4800




    USD/JPY

    Recovery phase off 86.96/87.01 base now approaching 89.19/21, trendline resistance / 38.2% retracement of 92.87/86.96 decline. Break here would open 89.50 next. Break below support at 88.56/25 is needed to suggest a key lower top in place.

    Res: 89.21, 89.50, 89.78, 89.98
    Sup: 88.56, 88.25, 87.99, 87.62




    USD/CHF

    Has extended recent bear phase to reach 1.0480 so far, just above key 1.0433, 01 Apr low. Recent consolidation could suggest a basing and the latest break above 1.0600 now looks for test of 1.0695. Downside, loss of 1.0526 risks a return back to 1.0480.

    Res: 1.0655, 1.0675, 1.0695, 1.0749
    Sup: 1.0540, 1.0526, 1.0480, 1.0433


  10. #120
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:20 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Reversal off 1.2721, dented 1.2552 today, ahead of possible attempt at key 1.2479, 06 July higher low. Break here would suggest a lower top and open fresh weakness towards 1.2396/69, 28 Jun high/61.8% retracement of 1.2150/1.2721, to attract a retest of 1.2192/50 near-term. Upside, regain of 1.2648 is required to ease immediate bear pressure and bring test of 1.2721/38 back in play.

    Res: 1.2608, 1.2648, 1.2682, 1.2721
    Sup: 1.2549, 1.2503, 1.2479, 1.2432




    GBP/USD

    Last weeks break under multi-week trend channel support signaled possible end of the corrective phase off 1.4230, with 1.4947 seen today, ahead of bounce. This is now attempting through 1.5079, break of which would ease immediate bear pressure and open way towards 1.5126, 61.8% retracement of 1.5239/1.4947 downleg, with break higher to confirm higher low and open 1.5204/39. Early upside rejection, however, brings 1.4871/54 in focus instead.

    Res: 1.5100, 1.5126, 1.5204, 1.5239
    Sup: 1.4947, 1.4937, 1.4871, 1.4854




    USD/JPY

    Recovery phase off 86.96/87.01 base approached 89.19/21, trendline resistance / 38.2% retracement of 92.87/86.96 decline, ahead of pullback. The first support at 88.56 has been tripped and further weakness focuses 88.25, break of which would suggest a lower top in place, and possible return to 86.96. Holding above 88.25, however, would keep immediate bulls in play for retest of 89.21/50.

    Res: 89.14, 89.21, 89.50, 89.78
    Sup: 88.25, 87.99, 87.62, 87.34




    USD/CHF

    Has extended recent bear phase to reach 1.0480 so far, just above key 1.0433, 01 Apr low. Recent consolidation could suggest a basing and the latest break above 1.0600 now looks for test of 1.0695, with 1.0675 seen so far. Downside, 1.0550/26 area offers support, and break below the latter would risk return back to 1.0480.

    Res: 1.0675, 1.0695, 1.0749, 1.0765
    Sup: 1.0550, 1.0540, 1.0526, 1.0480


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