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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #151
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Friday’s break lower from the four day consolidation has extended weakness off 1.3332, 06 Aug peak, to reach 1.2663 so far. Next target stands at 1.2605, 50% retracement of 1.1875/1.3332 upleg, while 1.2770/1.2830 zone caps for now.

    Res: 1.2728, 1.2770, 1.2830, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2663, 1.2605, 1.2565, 1.2522




    GBP/USD

    Near-term price action shows a falling trend channel, seen on a four hour chart. Scope is now seen for a rise to 1.5645 channel upper boundary, ahead of fresh weakness. Break here, however, may trigger strength towards 1.5700, key near term resistance.

    Res: 1.5645, 1.5689, 1.5700, 1.5714
    Sup: 1.5460, 1.5440, 1.5350, 1.5335




    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, with current consolidation within a tightening band likely to precede the next leg lower to 84.00/83.25. Initial support stands at 85.18, ahead of consolidation floor at 84.90/72. Only break above 85.90/86.36 zone would turn focus higher.

    Res: 81.81, 85.90, 86.36, 86.65
    Sup: 85.18, 84.90, 84.72, 84.00




    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower as recovery phase off 1.0256, 19 Aug low, has possibly marked a lower top at Friday’s 1.0391 high, for the next leg lower through 1.0257 to 1.0182, 15 Jan low. Clearance of 1.0391 and 1.0466 is needed to turn the focus higher.

    Res: 1.0393, 1.0430, 1.0465, 1.0505
    Sup: 1.0286, 1.0257, 1.2031, 1.0182


  2. #152
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trend lower, extending weakness off 1.3332, 06 Aug peak, approaching 1.2605, 50% retracement of 1.1875/1.3332 upleg. Break here to open way towards 1.2522, 13 July low, next. Upside, 1.2683/1.2728 expected to cap.

    Res: 1.2664, 1.2683, 1.2728, 1.2770
    Sup: 1.2605, 1.2565, 1.2522, 1.2480




    GBP/USD

    Break below 1.5470, 15 July previous high, now further weakens the structure, with 1.5350/35 seen as next target. Oversold hourly conditions, however, suggest correction, with higher low into 1.55 area expected to precede fresh weakness.

    Res: 1.5515, 1.5550, 1.5575, 1.5620
    Sup: 1.5350, 1.5335, 1.5296, 1.5280





    USD/JPY

    Today’s break under 84.73, yearly low, confirms bears, with 84.00 now in focus. Below here to open first key support at 83.51, 02 June 1995 low. Upside, 84.73 now reverted to initial resistance.

    Res: 84.73, 85.05, 85.42, 85.90
    Sup: 84.00, 83.51, 83.25, 82.30





    USD/CHF

    Recovery from 1.0256, 19 Aug low, seeks a lower top under 1.0465, via a 3-legged upswing, before the next downleg. Short-term risk remains set at this year's interim low of 1.0130 while break above 1.0465 needed to firm outlook.


    Res: 1.0455, 1.0465, 1.0505, 1.0535
    Sup: 1.0393, 1.0362, 1.0302, 1.0286


  3. #153
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Yesterday’s break through 1.2605 Fibonacci level, has extended decline from 1.3332, to reach 1.2586 thus far. Current consolidation is forming negative continuation and break below 1.2615/1.2586 to trigger fresh weakness towards 1.2522, 13 July low. 1.2717/28 zone expected to cap.

    Res: 1.2695, 1.2717, 1.2728, 1.2770
    Sup: 1.2615, 1.2586, 1.2565, 1.2522





    GBP/USD

    Attempts to hold below 200 days moving average, confirming negative hourly structure.
    Scope is seen for a continuation of the recent weakness, initially towards 1.5323, 38.2% retracement of 1.4230/1.5997 upleg. Upside, 1.5500 zone caps for now and potential break here would delay short-term bears.

    Res: 1.5448, 1.5500, 1.5515, 1.5550
    Sup: 1.5371, 1.5350, 1.5335, 1.5296






    USD/JPY

    Yesterday’s break below 84.73 support confirmed a bear configuration, to extend decline to 83.58 so far, ahead of corrective activity that precedes a fresh push lower towards key trendline support at 83.25. Above, 84.50/90 area offers initial resistance, and possible break higher to delay immediate bears.

    Res: 84.73, 84.87, 85.05, 85.42
    Sup: 83.86, 83.51, 83.25, 82.30





    USD/CHF

    Left a lower top at 1.0449 yesterday, just below key pivotal resistance at 1.0465, ahead of sharp decline. This maintains the negative outlook, and a favors break under 1.0256, 19 Aug low, to focus 1.0182, 15 Jan low, next. Key support/target stands at 1.0130, yearly low.

    Res: 1.0335, 1.0380, 1.0400, 1.0449
    Sup: 1.0256, 1.0230, 1.0182, 1.0130


  4. #154
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:10 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Consolidates within 1.2586/1.2725 range, with short-term bears still in play. While holding below 1.2730, focus remains on 1.2586, break of which opens 1.2522, 13 July low next. Sustained break above 1.2730, however, would delay and allow stronger recovery towards 1.2831, 20 Aug high.

    Res: 1.2725, 1.2770, 1.2831, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2608, 1.2586, 1.2565, 1.2522





    GBP/USD

    Attempts to hold below 200 days moving average, confirming negative hourly structure.
    Scope is seen for a continuation of the recent weakness, initially towards 1.5323, 38.2% retracement of 1.4230/1.5997 upleg. Upside, 1.5500 zone caps for now and potential break here would delay short-term bears.

    Res: 1.5463, 1.5500, 1.5515, 1.5550
    Sup: 1.5371, 1.5350, 1.5335, 1.5296





    USD/JPY

    Yesterday’s break below 84.73 support confirmed a bear configuration, to extend decline to 83.58 so far, ahead of corrective activity that precedes a fresh push lower towards key trendline support at 83.25. Above, 84.50/90 area offers initial resistance, and possible break higher to delay immediate bears.

    Res: 84.73, 84.87, 85.05, 85.42
    Sup: 83.86, 83.51, 83.25, 82.30





    USD/CHF

    Left a lower top at 1.0449 yesterday, just below key pivotal resistance at 1.0465, ahead of sharp decline. This maintains the negative outlook, with today’s break below 1.0256, 19 Aug low, now looking for test of 1.0182, 15 Jan low. Key support/target stands at 1.0130, yearly low.

    Res: 1.0335, 1.0380, 1.0400, 1.0449
    Sup: 1.0230, 1.0182, 1.0162, 1.0130


  5. #155
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Correction off 1.2586, 24 Aug fresh low, has tripped 1.2725 resistance today, reaching 1.2744. Near term outlook, however, remains negative, with scope for break below 1.2608/1.2586 to test 1.2522. Upside, 1.2770 caps for now, and possible break here to attract 1.2831, 20 Aug high.

    Res: 1.2770, 1.2831, 1.2880, 1.2903
    Sup: 1.2649, 1.2608, 1.2586, 1.2522





    GBP/USD

    Attempts to complete a third phase higher in a corrective structure from 1.5371, 24 Aug low. Earlier daily false break higher out of a rising channel dominates for an eventual return to weakness. Only regain of 1.5670/1.5700 zone would return to strength.

    Res: 1.5617, 1.5670, 1.5687, 1.5700
    Sup: 1.5482, 1.5460, 1.5425, 1.5400





    USD/JPY

    Completed a multiday bear configuration to extend the underlying downtrend. 83.58 has been reached so far, ahead of the current corrective bounce which should precede a fresh push lower to test key trendline support at 83.25.

    Res: 84.87, 85.11, 85.42, 85.68
    Sup: 84.50, 84.04, 83.58, 83.25





    USD/CHF

    Probes lower to breach previous 1.0257 low, following reversal after an upside failure ahead of key 1.0463, 19 Aug lower high. Risk is set at 1.0230, ahead of this year's interim low at 1.0130. Immediate resistance now stands at 1.0327/35.

    Res: 1.0327, 1.0335, 1.0380, 1.0400
    Sup: 1.0230, 1.0182, 1.0162, 1.0130



  6. #156
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:10 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extended correction from 1.2586, to reach 1.2763 yesterday, just ahead of 1.2770 resistance. However, while 1.2770/90 holds, the latest upleg is seen corrective for fresh weakness to test 1.2586, possibly 1.2522 on a break. Lift above 1.2790 delays and opens 1.2831 instead.

    Res: 1.2770, 1.2790, 1.2831, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2690, 1.2665, 1.2651, 1.2608





    GBP/USD

    Bounce off 1.5371, 24 Aug low, stalled at 1.5596 yesterday, just under 1.5610, 38.2% retracement of 1.5997/1.5371 decline, ahead of fresh weakness. Higher low above 1.5438 is required to resume recovery and clearance of 1.5596/1.5610 to open 1.5700 zone for test. Loss of 1.5438, however would signal a continuation of the short term weakness and focus 1.5371.

    Res: 1.5573, 1.5596, 1.5610, 1.5617
    Sup: 1.5482, 1.5460, 1.5438, 1.5400





    USD/JPY

    Completed a multiday bear configuration to extend the underlying downtrend. 83.58 has been reached so far, ahead of the current corrective bounce which should precede a fresh push lower to test key trendline support at 83.25. Break above 84.89, however, may extend recovery.

    Res: 84.89, 85.11, 85.42, 85.68
    Sup: 84.26, 84.04, 83.58, 83.25





    USD/CHF

    Extends decline after breaking below 1.0256/46 support zone, with 1.0220 seen so far. Market now focuses 1.1.0182, 15 Jan low, break of which will open way for test of key 1.0130 level, 11 Jan year to day low. Upside, lower ceiling at 1.0317/35 is expected to cap.

    Res: 1.0287, 1.0317, 1.0335, 1.0380
    Sup: 1.0220, 1.0182, 1.0162, 1.0130


  7. #157
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Remains in a near term corrective mode off 1.2586, 24 Aug low. Break above 1.2730 resistance has so far reached 1.2763. Underlying bear trend is still intact, as 1.2776 Fibonacci level holds, and fresh weakness towards 1.2586/22 would be likely scenario. Break above 1.2776/90 risks stronger recovery and focuses 1.2831/1.2900 zone.

    Res: 1.2770, 1.2790, 1.2831, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2690, 1.2665, 1.2651, 1.2608





    GBP/USD

    Bounce off 1.5371, 24 Aug low, stalled at 1.5596 yesterday, just under 1.5610, 38.2% retracement of 1.5997/1.5371 decline, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 1.5438 would confirm a lower top and continuation of the short term weakness, to focus 1.5371.
    Higher low above 1.5438 is required to resume recovery and clearance of 1.5596/1.5610to open 1.5700 zone for test.

    Res: 1.5573, 1.5596, 1.5610, 1.5617
    Sup: 1.5465, 1.5438, 1.5400, 1.5371





    USD/JPY

    Completed a multiday bear configuration to extend the underlying downtrend. 83.58 has been reached so far, ahead of the current corrective bounce which should precede a fresh push lower to test key trendline support at 83.25. Today’s break above 84.73/92 resistance zone may extend the recovery phase, though, only above 85.90 improves the outlook.

    Res: 85.11, 85.42, 85.68, 85.90
    Sup: 84.26, 84.04, 83.58, 83.25





    USD/CHF

    Extends decline after breaking below 1.0256/46 support zone, with 1.0220 seen so far. Market now focuses 1.0182, 15 Jan low, break of which will open way for test of key 1.0130 level, 11 Jan year to day low. Upside, lower ceiling at 1.0317/35 is expected to cap.

    Res: 1.0287, 1.0317, 1.0335, 1.0380
    Sup: 1.0220, 1.0182, 1.0162, 1.0130


  8. #158
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery off 1.2586, 24 Aug low, attempts to form a bearish wedge pattern, with 1.2778/91 expected to cap for fresh weakness. Loss of 1.2675/65 will bring bears back in play and expose 1.2608/1.2586 next. Break above 1.2791, however, will signal further recovery and open 1.2831/1.2900 instead.

    Res: 1.2778, 1.2791, 1.2831, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2675, 1.2665, 1.2651, 1.2608





    GBP/USD

    Remains within a corrective phase off 1.5371, with further strength looking to test 1.5610, 38.2% retracement of the 1.5997/1.5371 fall. Potential break higher will open 1.5672/89 next, otherwise, return to 1.5441/1.5371 would be likely scenario.

    Res: 1.5573, 1.5596, 1.5610, 1.5617
    Sup: 1.5497, 1.5465, 1.5441, 1.5400





    USD/JPY

    Reverses lower after testing the 86.00 area. While 86.39/46 caps, scope is seen for a near-term pullback to test former 6-week falling wedge turned to support near 85.00. Swing low is sought near there on encouraging daily studies.

    Res: 85.46, 85.97, 86.24, 86.39
    Sup: 84.84, 84.57, 84.37, 84.26





    USD/CHF

    Immediate downside risk hinges on 1.0335, 25 Aug lower high, as down-swings from 1.0625, 12 Aug high, extend. Break below 1.0220 low exposes risk towards this year's low at 1.0130 amid positive divergent daily studies.

    Res: 1.0325, 1.0335, 1.0380, 1.0400
    Sup: 1.0259, 1.0220, 1.0182, 1.0130


  9. #159
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    Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:20 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery off 1.2586, 24 Aug low, unfolds a bearish wedge pattern, with 1.2791/31 expected to cap. Downside break below 1.2675/65 will bring bears back in play and expose 1.2608/1.2586 next. Break above 1.2831, however, will signal further recovery exposing 1.2900 zone.

    Res: 1.2778, 1.2791, 1.2831, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2665, 1.2651, 1.2608, 1.2586





    GBP/USD

    Remains within a corrective phase off 1.5371, with further strength looking to test 1.5610, 38.2% retracement of the 1.5997/1.5371 fall. Potential break higher will open 1.5672/89 next, otherwise, return to 1.5441/1.5371 would be likely scenario.

    Res: 1.5573, 1.5596, 1.5610, 1.5617
    Sup: 1.5497, 1.5465, 1.5441, 1.5400





    USD/JPY

    Today’s upside failure at 85.89 was followed by sharp reversal, to retrace nearly 61.8% of the latest 83.58/85.89 upleg, reaching 84.54 so far. Loss of 84.46, 38.2% and 84.26, last Friday’s low, would extend weakness towards 83.58, yearly low. Only regain of 85.19 would delay bears and possibly open 85.89 for retest.

    Res: 85.19, 85.46, 85.89, 86.24
    Sup: 84.46, 84.37, 84.26, 84.04





    USD/CHF

    Immediate downside risk hinges on 1.0335, 25 Aug lower high, as down-swings from 1.0625, 12 Aug high, extend. Break below 1.0220 low exposes risk towards this year's low at 1.0130 amid positive divergent daily studies.

    Res: 1.0305, 1.0325, 1.0335, 1.0380
    Sup: 1.0236, 1.0220, 1.0182, 1.0130


  10. #160
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Corrective phase off 1.2586 stalled at 1.2778, followed by reversal. Market retraced over 61.8% of 1.2586/1.2778 upleg, reaching 1.2624 today, ahead of fresh strength. This now keeps near-term bulls alive, though break above 1.2778 is required to resume recovery. Otherwise, lower top and fresh weakness towards 1.2624/1.2586 would be likely scenario, as short-term outlook remains negative.

    Res: 1.2745, 1.2778, 1.2833, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2624, 1.2608, 1.2586, 1.2522





    GBP/USD

    The latest break below 1.5371 marks completion of the corrective phase from 1.5371, with the desired bounce failing to gain traction. Immediate risk is seen for an extension lower, with focus on 1.5125 near-term.

    Res: 1.5472, 1.5533, 1.5573, 1.5596
    Sup: 1.5335, 1.5322, 1.5296, 1.5250





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, following yesterday’s failure of the recovery attempt from 83.58. Reversal off 85.89 has so far reached 84.04, opening way for retest of 83.58, yearly low, and 83.51, Jun 1995 low. Corrective attempts are seen limited by 84.50/82 zone for now.

    Res: 84.53, 84.82, 85.19, 85.46
    Sup: 84.04, 83.89, 83.58, 83.51





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower after breaking below 1.0220, 27 Aug low, now threatening the yearly low at 1.0130. Break here would risk an extension towards 1.0025, 02 Dec 2009 high, possibly 0.9960, 03 Dec 2009 low. Upside, only regain of 1.0301 improves.


    Res: 1.0224, 1.0250, 1.0275, 1.0307
    Sup: 1.0162, 1.0130, 1.0027, 0.9980


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