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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #161
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trade within a shallow corrective channel, following the latest 1.2920/1.2588 downleg. Recent lower tops at 1.2778 and 1.2741 should now cap for an eventual break under 1.2631/24 to trigger a drop through 1.2586 to 1.2522 next.

    Res: 1.2741, 1.2778, 1.2833, 1.2880
    Sup: 1.2631, 1.2624, 1.2608, 1.2586





    GBP/USD

    Yesterday’s break belwo1.5371 support extended losses to 1.5325, with hourly structure now favoring the formation of a shallow retrace, towards 1.5441, 27 August low. However, break above 1.5441/75 will warn of fresh recovery phase.

    Res: 1.5441, 1.5475, 1.5533, 1.5573
    Sup: 1.5335, 1.5322, 1.5296, 1.5250





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, recovery off 83.58 failed at 85.89. Fresh weakness has so far reached 83.81, confirming a lower ceiling at 85.59. Break under 83.81/58 opens 83.10/82.30 next, while 84.59/82 caps for now.

    Res: 84.59, 84.82, 85.19, 85.46
    Sup: 83.81, 83.58, 83.51, 83.10





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower, targeting a major bear flag trendline at 1.0065, drawn off Mar 2008 low. Break here would signal significant medium to longer-term weakness, with immediate target standing at 0.9916, 2009 low, posted 26 Nov. Only regain of 1.0307 would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.0224, 1.0250, 1.0275, 1.0307
    Sup: 1.0130, 1.0100, 1.0065, 0.9980


  2. #162
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:45 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Remains in recovery mode off 1.2586/1.2625, 24/31 Aug lows. Yesterday’s breach at 1.2741/78 resistance zone has so far seen 1.2855, with slight ease expected to precede fresh gains to test 1.2870, 38% retracement of 1.3332/1.2586 downleg. However, while 1.2870/1.2931 zone holds, the latest rally is seen corrective. Only break above the latter would signal stronger recovery.

    Res: 1.2855, 1.2870, 1.2903, 1.2931
    Sup: 1.2741, 1.2725, 1.2693, 1.2660





    GBP/USD

    Near-term structure off yesterday's 1.5336 low suggests scope for a further swing higher towards 1.5500 area, where a lower high may form. Reversal below 1.5336, however, opens up 1.5125, 21 Jul low. Reclaim of 1.5596, 26 Aug low improves.

    Res: 1.5458, 1.5495, 1.5543, 1.5573
    Sup: 1.5335, 1.5296, 1.5250, 1.5235





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, recovery off 83.58 failed at 85.89. Fresh weakness has so far reached 83.81, confirming a lower ceiling at 85.59. Break under 83.81/58 opens 83.10/82.30 next, while 84.59/82 caps for now.

    Res: 84.67, 84.82, 85.19, 85.46
    Sup: 83.90, 83.66, 83.51, 83.10





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower, targeting a major bear flag trendline at 1.0065, drawn off Mar 2008 low. Break here would signal significant medium to longer-term weakness, with immediate target standing at 0.9916, 2009 low, posted 26 Nov. Only regain of 1.0307 would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.0186, 1.0224, 1.0250, 1.0261
    Sup: 1.0065, 1.0027, 0.9980, 0.9960


  3. #163
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:45 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Remains in recovery mode off 1.2586/1.2625, 24/31 Aug lows. Yesterday’s breach at 1.2741/78 resistance zone has so far seen 1.2855, with slight ease expected to precede fresh gains to test 1.2870, 38% retracement of 1.3332/1.2586 downleg. However, while 1.2870/1.2931 zone holds, the latest rally is seen corrective. Only break above the latter would signal stronger recovery.

    Res: 1.2855, 1.2870, 1.2903, 1.2931
    Sup: 1.2775, 1.2741, 1.2725, 1.2693





    GBP/USD

    Recovery attempt off yesterday's 1.5336 low reached 1.5490 today, ahead of fresh weakness. 1.5349 was seen so far, confirming the lower top at 1.5490, and possible break through 1.5336/25 to open 1.5125, 21 July low, next.

    Res: 1.5458, 1.5495, 1.5543, 1.5573
    Sup: 1.5336, 1.5325, 1.5296, 1.5250





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, as recovery off 83.58 failed at 85.89. Fresh weakness has so far reached 83.81, confirming a lower ceiling at 85.59. Break under 83.81/58 opens 83.10/82.30 next, while lift above 84.59/82 may seek a lower top under 85.89.

    Res: 84.67, 84.82, 85.19, 85.46
    Sup: 83.90, 83.66, 83.51, 83.10





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower, targeting a major bear flag trendline at 1.0065, drawn off Mar 2008 low. Break here would signal significant medium to longer-term weakness, with immediate target standing at 0.9916, 2009 low, posted 26 Nov. Only regain of 1.0307 would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.0186, 1.0224, 1.0250, 1.0261
    Sup: 1.0065, 1.0027, 0.9980, 0.9960


  4. #164
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery off 1.25861.2625, 24/31 Aug lows has reached 1.2855, just below off 1.2870, 38.2% retracement of 1.3332/.2586. To resume recovery, break above 1.2931 is required, while loss of 1.2740 would signal bear resumption.

    Res: 1.2855, 1.2870, 1.2903, 1.2931
    Sup: 1.2775, 1.2741, 1.2725, 1.2693




    GBP/USD

    The recent recovery from the 1.5325, 31 Aug low has tested the 23.6% retracement of the 1.5997/1.5325 downleg, at 1.5483. Although a further recovery phase may be possible a lower high remains sought for a fresh push lower and retest of 1.5325.

    Res: 1.5458, 1.5495, 1.5543, 1.5573
    Sup: 1.5350, 1.5336, 1.5325, 1.5296





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, as recovery off 83.58 failed at 85.89. Fresh weakness has so far reached 83.81, confirming a lower ceiling at 85.59. Break under 83.81/58 opens 83.10/82.30 next, while lift above 84.59/82 may seek a lower top under 85.89.

    Res: 84.67, 84.82, 85.19, 85.46
    Sup: 83.90, 83.66, 83.51, 83.10





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trend lower, targeting a major bear flag trendline at 1.0065, drawn off Mar 2008 low. Break here would signal significant medium to longer-term weakness, with immediate target standing at 0.9916, 2009 low, posted 26 Nov. Only regain of 1.0307 would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.0156, 1.0186, 1.0224, 1.0250
    Sup: 1.0093, 1.0065, 1.0027, 0.9980


  5. #165
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:20 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Corrective attempt 1.2586/1.2625, 24/31 Aug lows, stalled at 1.2916 yesterday, just below key resistance area at 1.2920/31. This may signal a completion of the corrective phase, with break below 1.2775 to open 1.2741 first, ahead of 1.2700. Upside, regain of 1.2875 1.2871 firms the tone, but sustained break above 1.2931 resumes the recovery.

    Res: 1.2875, 1.2893, 1.2916, 1.2931
    Sup: 1.2775, 1.2741, 1.2728, 1.2700





    GBP/USD

    Yesterday’s failure to break above 1.5490 triggered immediate pullback, turning the focus lower. 1.5344 has been reached so far, just above 1.5325, key near-term support. Break here to fresh weakness towards 1.5250/40 zone, though, correction higher may precede the downmove. Only above 1.5490 improve the near-term outlook.


    Res: 1.5465, 1.5490, 1.5543, 1.5573
    Sup: 1.5344, 1.5336, 1.5325, 1.5296





    USD/JPY

    Returns to the negative tone, following an upside rejection at 85.21 on 03 Sep and today’s fresh attempt at the recent consolidation floor at 83.66/51. Potential break here to open the next phase lower and target 81.88, May 1995 low, short-term. Only regain of 84.65 would provide a near-term relief.

    Res: 84.52, 84.65, 85.00, 85.19
    Sup: 83.66, 83.51, 83.10, 82.30





    USD/CHF

    Last Friday’s upside rejection at 1.0237 confirms weakness, with market currently pressuring key longer-term bear flag support at 1.0065. Break here will suggest a significant medium-term weakness, with initial targets standing at 0.9980/16. Upside remains capped by 1.0141/86.

    Res: 1.0141, 1.0186, 1.0224, 1.0237
    Sup: 1.0065, 1.0027, 1.0000, 0.9980


  6. #166
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to further retrace the latest upleg from 1.2586, following an upside rejection at 1.2916 on 06 Sep. Market so far reached 1.2675, just above the trendline drawn off 1.2586, currently at 1.2672. Break here will open 1.2625/1.2586 for retest, with potential break here to resume underlying bear trend and expose 1.2522/1.2480, July lows. Upside, 1.2775, 02 Sep low, is expected to cap for now.

    Res: 1.2732, 1.2775, 1.2840, 1.2875
    Sup: 1.2672, 1.2625, 1.2586, 1.2522





    GBP/USD

    Yesterday’s break below the recent range floor has reached 1.5295, ahead of fresh strength. This is currently testing 1.5490, 06 Sep previous low, also channel resistance, break of which is required to neutralize short-term bears and open way towards 1.5596/1.5617, 26/23 Aug previous highs. Failure to break higher, however, will return to weakness.

    Res: 1.5492, 1.5543, 1.5573, 1.5596
    Sup: 1.5414, 1.5344, 1.5336, 1.5325





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone, following an upside rejection at 85.21 on 03 Sep and break below the recent consolidation floor at 83.66/51. This now signals the phase lower and targets 81.88, May 1995 low, short-term. Today’s high at 83.86 offers immediate cap.

    Res: 83.86, 84.05, 84.27, 84.52
    Sup: 83.33, 82.30, 81.88, 81.30





    USD/CHF

    Is currently attempting to break through key long-term bear flag support at 1.0065, as last Friday’s upside rejection confirms weakness. Break below 1.0065 would signal significant medium-term weakness, targeting 0 .9980/16 initially. Yesterday’s high at 1.0145 should now limit the upside.

    Res: 1.0124, 1.0145, 1.0186, 1.0237
    Sup: 1.0059, 1.0027, 1.0000, 0.9980


  7. #167
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Remains weak off 1.2916, key lower top, posted 06 Sep with the loss of trendline support confirming the underlying bear structure. Initial targets lie at 1.2625 and 1.2586. Only regain of 1.2765/75 would delay weakness.

    Res: 1.2765, 1.2775, 1.2840, 1.2875
    Sup: 1.2658, 1.2643, 1.2625, 1.2586





    GBP/USD

    Price has been largely confined to a falling hourly channel over the past couple of weeks. Sustained break below yesterday's low at 1.5375 would open a test of 1.5295/70, 07 Sep low/channel support, while break above 1.5476 would delay short-term weakness.

    Res: 1.5476, 1.5492, 1.5532, 1.5543
    Sup: 1.5358, 1.5344, 1.5336, 1.5325





    USD/JPY

    Remains in a near-term corrective mode off 83.33, 08 Sep year-to-day low, following prior downleg from 85.21 03 Sep rejection high. Break below 83.60, trendline support, will resume the underlying bear move for 82.98 next, while 84.28/47 limits the upside..

    Res: 84.28, 84.47, 84.82, 85.00
    Sup:83.79, 83.60, 83.51, 83.33





    USD/CHF

    Attempts to break through the upper border of the recent 1.0059/1.0236 band, with renewed attempt on 1.0223, overnight’s rejection high, underway. Sustained break above 1.0236 will signal resumption of recovery and expose 1.0310 first. Failure under 1.0236, however, would risk lower top, ahead of fresh weakness and open 1.0100/1.0059, possibly 0.9960 on a break.


    Res: 1.0223, 1.0237, 1.0261, 1.0275
    Sup: 1.0099, 1.0059, 1.0027, 1.0000


  8. #168
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Broke above 1.2765/75, the recent consolidation ceiling and 1.2815, trendline resistance, to extend recovery and focus 1.2920/31, key near-term resistance zone. Clear break here is needed to confirm a higher low at 1.2586 and resume short- term uptrend from 1.1875. Otherwise, lower top under 1.2931 and fresh attempt at 1.2625/1.2586 would be the likely scenario.

    Res: 1.2865, 1.2875, 1.2920, 1.2931
    Sup: 1.2775, 1.2765, 1.2745, 1.2701





    GBP/USD
    Maintains positive near-term structure off 1.5295, 07 Sep low, with market currently attempting through 1.5477/90 resistance zone, en-route to 1.5532, key near-term resistance. Break here is required to resume recovery and expose 1.5596/1.5617, 26/23 Aug highs. Failure under 1.5532, however, risks lower top and fresh weakness, and below 1.5343 to open 1.5295 for retest.

    Res: 1.5492, 1.5532, 1.5596, 1.5617
    Sup: 1.5402, 1.5375, 1.5343, 1.5295





    USD/JPY

    Recovery off 83.33, year-to-day low, seeks a lower top, likely under 84.47/62, for the next leg lower to 83.33/82.98. Above 84.50/65, delays bears for further recovery 84.95/85.21. However, underlying trend remains firmly negative.

    Res: 84.47, 84.62, 84.82, 85.00
    Sup: 83.79, 83.51, 83.33, 82.98





    USD/CHF

    Last Friday’s rejection at 1.0276, just below 38.2% retracement of 1.0625/1.0063 downleg, confirmed the underlying bear structure. Market looks for a final push through 1.0060 support, to open way for fresh bear phase, with 0.9980/60 seen first. Upside, regain of 1.0236/76 is needed to easy the immediate bear pressure.


    Res: 1.0205, 1.0237, 1.0276, 1.0310
    Sup: 1.0099, 1.0059, 1.0027, 0.9980


  9. #169
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extends recovery off 1.2643 higher low, to attempt at 1.2920, the upper boundary of the recent 1.2624/1.2920 range. Break higher is required to resume the near-term recovery and focus 1.2960/1.3049, Fibonacci levels, otherwise, the recent structure remains negative for test of 1.2643/24.

    Res: 1.2920, 1.2931, 1.2960, 1.3000
    Sup: 1.2843, 1.2823, 1.2792, 1.2775





    GBP/USD

    Continues to trade within an hourly falling channel, with scope set for retest of channel support, currently near 1.5250. Multi-week structure also suggests the end of a complex corrective phase off 1.3500. Regain of 1.5486, however, would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.5464, 1.5492, 1.5532, 1.5596
    Sup: 1.5343, 1.5295, 1.5250, 1.5235





    USD/JPY

    Corrective phase off 83.33 stalled at 84.37 yesterday, with reversal followed. Channel loss triggered a drop to breach 83.25, trendline drawn off 83.58, 24 Aug low. This now opens 81.88, May 1995 low short-term, with initial targets at 82.98/30. Upside, 83.73/83 now caps while 84.37 becomes key near-term resistance.

    Res: 83.83, 84.17, 84.47, 84.62
    Sup: 82.98, 82.30, 81.88, 81.50





    USD/CHF

    Rejection at 1.0276, near 38.2% of 1.0630/1.0060 decline, confirmed the underlying bear structure. Loss of critical support at 1.0065/60, multi year bear continuation pivot, would project a significant weakness longer-term, with 0.9916 seen first. Upside, 1.0071 caps for now.

    Res: 1.0071, 1.0097, 1.0132, 1.0170
    Sup: 0.9980, 0.9960, 0.9949, 0.9916


  10. #170
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:50 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Remains in a near-term uptrend from 1.2643, with today’s attempt to retest 1.2920 upper range limit, running out of steam at 1.2908, ahead of shallow correction.
    Clearance of 1.2920/31 resistance zone is needed to resume recovery and focus 1.2960/1.3049, Fibonacci levels, otherwise, the recent structure remains negative for test of lower range limits at 1.2643/24.

    Res: 1.2908, 1.2920, 1.2931, 1.2960
    Sup: 1.2823, 1.2792, 1.2765, 1.2745





    GBP/USD

    Continues to trade within an hourly falling channel, with scope set for retest of channel support, currently near 1.5250. Multi-week structure also suggests the end of a complex corrective phase off 1.3500. Regain of 1.5486, however, would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.5464, 1.5492, 1.5532, 1.5596
    Sup: 1.5343, 1.5295, 1.5250, 1.5235





    USD/JPY

    Yesterday’s upside rejection at 84.37 has triggered fresh weakness. Channel loss triggered a drop to breach 83.25, trendline drawn off 83.58, 24 Aug low. This now opens 82.98/30, with extension to 81.88, May 1995 low seen short-term. Upside, 83.73/83 now caps while 84.37 becomes key near-term resistance.

    Res: 83.83, 84.17, 84.47, 84.62
    Sup: 82.98, 82.30, 81.88, 81.50





    USD/CHF

    Rejection at 1.0276, near 38.2% of 1.0630/1.0060 decline, confirmed the underlying bear structure. Loss of critical support at 1.0065/60, multi year bear continuation pivot, would project a significant weakness longer-term, with 0.9916 seen first. Upside, 1.0071 caps for now.

    Res: 1.0071, 1.0097, 1.0132, 1.0170
    Sup: 0.9980, 0.9960, 0.9949, 0.9916



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