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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #211
    sabrinathomas
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    EUR/USD (09/11/2010)- The EUR/USD has broken the 1.4000 level and has been trading below it since yesterday. As long as the price is below this level, a short position is preferred. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3887 and with a high of 1.4085. Today, German Final CPI is expected to remain at 0.1%.

  2. #212
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:45 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extends recent downtrend from 1.4280 after yesterday’s break through trendline support at 1.3796 posted fresh monthly low at 1.3733, also 27 Oct higher low. Further weakness remains favored, with clearance of key near-term support at 1.3696 to risk fresh extension lower and target 1.3500 short-term. Yesterday’s lower top at 1.3972 is expected to cap corrective attempts, to keep immediate bears in play.

    Res: 1.3836, 1.3876, 1.3914, 1.3952
    Sup: 1.3733, 1.3696, 1.3680, 1.3636






    GBP/USD
    Yesterday’s failure at 1.6180 has triggered fresh weakness, with break below 1.6000 to open way for further correction and target 1.5898, 61.8% of 1.5651/1.6297 ascend, then 1.5876, 29 Oct low, and 1.5795, trendline support. Only break above 1.6180 would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.6041, 1.6071, 1.6143, 1.6165
    Sup: 1.5951, 1.5898, 1.5876, 1.5795





    USD/JPY
    Found the footstep at 80.52 yesterday, ahead of sharp rally. Break above 81.46/59 resistance zone is now attempting at 81.97, near-term range ceiling, break of which is needed to signal further recovery and open 82.34/40, 12 Oct high/38.2% of 85.92/80.24 decline. Downside, loss of 81.05 to turn focus back to 80.52/.24.

    Res: 81.97, 82.13, 82.34, 82.40
    Sup: 81.46, 81.05, 80.52, 80.24





    USD/CHF
    Pullback from 0.9680, found support at 0.9585, ahead of fresh strength. Break through 0.9680/93 resistance has so far reached 0.9726, just ahead of 0.9735, break of which is needed to resume recovery, otherwise, lower top and fresh weakness towards 0.9585 and 0.9546 would be favored.


    Res: 0.9726, 0.9735, 0.9768, 0.9800
    Sup: 0.9675, 0.9626, 0.9604, 0.9585


  3. #213
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:25 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Break below 1.3696 support suggests fresh weakness, as corrective attempt off yesterday’s one month low of 1.3670 remain so far capped by 1.3820. Below 1.3670, immediate target lies at 1.3636, with possible extension to 1.3362, 38.2%, seen near-term. However, further correction is not ruled out, as hourly studies approach oversold zone, though lower top under 1.3972 is likely.

    Res: 1.3823, 1.3854, 1.3876, 1.3914
    Sup: 1.3714, 1.3670, 1.3636, 1.3620






    GBP/USD
    Reversal from 1.6180 found temporary support at 1.5950 yesterday, followed by a bounce. This is seen corrective, while 1.6180 caps, and only break here to resume the uptrend. Rejection below the latter would signal a lower top and fresh weakness.

    Res: 1.6183, 1.6211, 1.6234, 1.6259
    Sup: 1.6067, 1.6015, 1.5951, 1.5898






    USD/JPY
    Yesterday’s break above rising channel off 80.24 suggests further gains, with 82.78 seen so far. Break here would open 83.07 and then 83.73, 50%/61.8% of 85.89/80.24 downleg.
    82.00/81.95 offer initial support, while break of 81.50 would delay.

    Res: 82.78, 83.07, 83.83, 83.98
    Sup: 81.95, 81.50, 81.25, 81.05






    USD/CHF
    Continues to further retrace the recent 0.9969/0.9546 downleg, as 0.9585 higher low supports the advance, with 0.9765, 50% retracement seen so far. Gains above 0.9765 to expose 0.9806, 61.8% next, where a lower top is expected to form, ahead of fresh weakness. Clearance of 0.9806/20, however, would focus 0.9969.


    Res: 0.9765, 0.9806, 0.9820, 0.9903
    Sup: 0.9668, 0.9626, 0.9604, 0.9585


  4. #214
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Fall from 1.4280 has so far retraced over 38.2% of 1.2643/1.4280 upleg at 1.3572, just above 1.3553, 55 day MA, where a temporary support was found. Bounce higher is for now limited by 1.3748/75 and break here to signal fresh recovery. However, further consolidation within 1.3572/1.3775 is not ruled out, ahead of renewed weakness, as short term outlook remains bearish. Downside loss of 1.3572 would open 1.3388/64.

    Res: 1.3685, 1.3748, 1.3775, 1.3823
    Sup: 1.3592, 1.3572, 1.3553, 1.3505




    GBP/USD
    Recovery off 1.5951 remains intact while 1.5985 higher low holds. However, break through 1.6178/83 lower ceiling is required to signal fresh gains and open 1.6297/1.6311, 04 Nov high/trendline resistance. Loss of 1.5985 delays immediate bulls, while below 1.5951 would allow for stronger correction and expose 1.5897, 61.8% of 1.5651/1.6297 upleg.

    Res: 1.6153, 1.6183, 1.6297, 1.6311
    Sup: 1.6025, 1.5985, 1.5951, 1.5897




    USD/JPY
    Extends recovery from 80.52, after reversal from 82.79 left a higher low at 81.64, with fresh strength now approaching 83.08, 50% retracement of 85.92/80.24 decline. Near term studies remain supportive and break above the latter to focus 83.74/97, 61.8%/05 Oct high. Downside, 81.64 offers key near term support and expected to contain corrective dips.

    Res: 83.08, 83.74, 83.97, 84.08
    Sup: 82.32, 81.97, 81.64, 81.50




    USD/CHF
    Broke above 0.9822, 03 Nov previous high, to extend recovery off 0.9546 to 0.9861, retracing nearly 76.4% of 0.9969/0.9546 decline. Hourly studies are still supportive and further stretch into 0.9900 zone is likely if 0.9868/80, 76.4%/60 day MA is cleared. Downside, 0.9668/55 is expected to hold dips.


    Res: 0.9868, 0.9880, 0.9903, 0.9969
    Sup: 0.9761, 0.9721, 0.9668, 0.9655


  5. #215
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has further extended weakness off 1.4280 peak, to probe 50% retracement of 1.2643/1.4280 upleg, reaching 1.3446 so far. Break below 60 day MA at 1.3477 confirms negative short term outlook and favors further weakness towards 1.3380, possibly 1.3272, 61.8% level, on a break. Pullback should be limited by 1.3640/65 zone and potential break here to signal recovery, though, clearance of 1.3800 is needed to confirm.

    Res: 1.3570, 1.3640, 1.3665, 1.3685
    Sup: 1.3446, 1.3400, 1.3380, 1.3332






    GBP/USD
    Failure to break above 1.6180 has left a lower top ahead of fresh weakness. Break through 1.5951, previous low, has cleared 1.5899, 61.8% of 1.5651/1.6180 upleg, to reach 1.5838 low so far. Negative hourly studies see scope for further decline towards 1.5804, 76.4% retracement, with possible return to 1.5651 higher base. Corrective pullbacks on oversold conditions are for now seen limited by 1.5985.

    Res: 1.5951, 1.5985, 1.6025, 1.6050
    Sup: 1.5838, 1.5804, 1.5761, 1.5729




    USD/JPY
    Succession of fresh highs on recovery from 80.24 base, and break through 82.97, 60 day MA, sees scope for further gains. Next targets lay at 83.73/97, 61.8% of 85.92/80.24 decline/05 Nov high, while 82.70 underpins the advance.

    Res: 83.58, 83.73, 83.97, 84.08
    Sup: 83.00, 82.83, 82.70, 82.32





    USD/CHF
    Strong rally emerged from narrow consolidation on 15/16 Nov, briefly broke above 0.9969, 01 Nov previous high, setting scope for fresh gains towards 1.0044, 50% retracement of 1.0625/0.9461 downleg. Corrective pullbacks on overbought conditions should be limited by 0.9869/27, to keep immediate bulls in play.


    Res: 0.9974, 1.0015, 1.0044, 1.0075
    Sup: 0.9869, 0.9827, 0.9795, 0.9761


  6. #216
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Bounces off 1.3446 low, after retracing 50% of 1.2643/1.4280 upleg. Immediate resistance at 1.3654 has been tripped, with 1.3763/75, 38.2% retracement of 1.4280/1.3446 / 12 Nov high, along with 1.3836, 20 day MA, expected to limit correction, ahead of fresh weakness. Loss of 1.3446 would attract fresh losses and expose 1.3380/32 next. However, break above 1.3836 would signal the end of the near-term corrective phase.

    Res: 1.3666, 1.3685, 1.3750, 1.3763
    Sup: 1.3574, 1.3512, 1.3446, 1.3380






    GBP/USD
    Correction of the latest 1.6183/1.5838 decline attempts through 1.5950/85, recent range bottom, and 1.5994, 20 day MA, to open way for stronger reversal. However, negative tone will dominate as long as 1.6183 remains intact and rejection below here would signal lower top and fresh weakness, with break below 1.5838 needed to continue the near-term downtrend from 1.6296/1.6183.

    Res: 1.5985, 1.5994, 1.6025, 1.6050
    Sup: 1.5885, 1.5838, 1.5804, 1.5761





    USD/JPY
    Maintains positive tone off 80.24 yearly low, after break through 82.20, descending channel off 94.97 and 60 day MA at 83.00. Market has so far reached 83.58, just under 83.70, 23.6% retracement of 94.97/83.24 downleg, with minor consolidation under way. While 83.00/82.70 zone holds, immediate scope is seen for fresh push higher and above 84.58 to target 83.85/97. Loss of 82.70, however, would allow stronger correction, with 81.68/64, 20 day MA / 12 Nov low, expected to contain dips, to keep near-term bulls in play.

    Res: 83.58, 83.70, 83.85, 83.97
    Sup: 83.00, 82.83, 82.70, 82.32




    USD/CHF
    The recent strength off 0.9546 higher low, stalled at 0.9974, just under psychological parity level, also 23.6% retracement of 1.1730/0.9461 downmove, ahead of pullback. Near-term outlook sees risk for further reversal, as first support at 0.9880 has been tripped, with higher low above 0.9760 needed to keep immediate bulls in play. Upside clearance of 0.9974/1.0000 would spark fresh strength, with 1.0044, 50% retracement of 1.0625/0.9461 downleg, possibly 1.0183, 17 Sep high/61.8% retracement.


    Res: 0.9974, 1.0000, 1.0044, 1.0075
    Sup: 0.9827, 0.9795, 0.9760, 0.9721


  7. #217
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Retraces over 38.2% of the latest1.4280/1.3446 downleg, also briefly breaking through 1.3775, 12 Nov high. Near-term studies remain supportive for further upside, with 1.3820/30 zone seen next, ahead of 1.3862, 50% retracement, and 1.3960/72, 61.8%/09 Nov high, where a lower top is expected, before fresh weakness. Loss of 1.3446 to trigger stronger correction, though, short-term bulls would remain intact while trendline off 1.1875 at 1.3204 and 200 day MA at 1.3137 hold.

    Res: 1.3784, 1.3830, 1.3862, 1.3960
    Sup: 1.3722, 1.3706, 1.3629, 1.3607




    GBP/USD
    Maintains near-term uptrend off 1.5838, after an upside failure at 1.6093 and sharp reversal that followed, found support at 1.5934, ahead of fresh strength. Immediate resistance now lies at 1.6065/93, main trendline off 1.6297/previous peak, break of which is required to continue recovery and expose 1.6185. Break here is needed to open way for retest of 16297, 2010 high, while failure risks return to weakness and exposes 1.5845 first and then key supports at 1.5878/38, trendline off 1.5295/16 Nov higher low.

    Res: 1.6093, 1.6123, 1.6152, 1.6185
    Sup: 1.5945, 1.5934, 1.5878, 1.5838




    USD/JPY
    Recovery from 80.24 has so far retraced 61.8% of 85.92/80.24 downleg, followed by current narrow consolidation. The recent break above key trendline resistance and 60 day MA, sees scope for fresh strength and above 83.77 to expose 83.97, then 85.38/92. Corrective dips should be contained by 81.94/64, 20 day MA/12 Nov low, to keep immediate bulls in play.

    Res: 83.55, 83.70, 83.97, 85.38
    Sup: 83.00, 82.83, 82.70, 82.32





    USD/CHF
    Undergoes near-term consolidation/correction following recent double failure just under parity level, also 23.6% retracement of 1.1730/0.9461 downmove. Immediate support lies at 0.9853, the recent range bottom, with possible extension to 0.9827/0.9775, where a higher low is anticipated, ahead of fresh push higher. Break through 1.0000 to expose 1.0044, 50% retracement of 1.0625/0.9461 downleg, possibly 1.0183, 17 Sep high/61.8% retracement. Downside, loss of 0.9720, 61.8%, 0.9546/0.9996 upleg, however, weakens the structure.

    Res: 0.9974, 1.0000, 1.0044, 1.0075
    Sup: 0.9853, 0.9824, 0.9795, 0.9775


  8. #218
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Failure to break above 38.2% of 1.4280/1.3446 decline has triggered sharp reversal through 60 day MA at 1.3553, to 1.3525, 76.4% retracement of 1.3446/1.3784 upleg. This now increases risk of return to 1.3446, break of which would confirm lower top and signal fresh weakness towards 1.3381/32, possibly the main trendline support at 1.3210. However, fresh strength above 1.3446 would suggest higher low, but regain of 1.3784 is needed to resume near-term recovery.

    Res: 1.3632, 1.3661, 1.3709, 1.3784
    Sup: 1.3525, 1.3459, 1.3446, 1.3381






    GBP/USD
    Undergoes near-term consolidation following the double upside failure near 1.61 level. Hourly structure is negative, though, holding above 1.5885/38, trendline support off 1.5295/16 Nov low, keeps retest of 1.6083/93 peaks in play, with sustained break here needed to continue recovery from 1.5838 and expose 1.6120, 61.8% of 1.6297/1.5838 decline. Loss of 1.5838 would open way for further retracement of 1.5651/1.6297 ascend and open 1.5805, 76.4%, next.

    Res: 1.5965, 1.6013, 1.6083, 1.6093
    Sup: 1.5890, 1.5866, 1.5838, 1.5805





    USD/JPY
    Attempts to break above the recent 83.00/77 consolidation range, to continue short-term recovery off 80.24, 01 Nov annual low. Sustained break above 83.74/77 is required to open 84.56, 76.4%, ahead of 85.38, 24 Sep peak, and possible retest of 85.92, 17 Sep lower high. Downside, loss of 83.00, would allow stronger pullback into 82.00 support zone.

    Res: 83.83, 83.97, 84.56, 85.38
    Sup: 83.20, 83.00, 82.79, 82.32





    USD/CHF
    Trades within consolidative range, following the recent failure to break above psychological 1.00 level. 0.9853/40, range bottom/60 day MA, offer immediate support, ahead of 0.9824/0.9770, 38.2%/50% of 0.9546/0.9996 upleg, before leaving a higher low for fresh attempt higher. Loss of 0.9718, 61.8%, would increase risk of return back to 0.9546, 05 Nov higher low.

    Res: 0.9974, 1.0000, 1.0044, 1.0075
    Sup: 0.9853, 0.9824, 0.9770, 0.9718


  9. #219
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:50 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Reversal from 1.3784 broke below 1.3446 previous low, to test 1.3334/32, 90 day MA / 06 Aug peak, with scope for further weakness towards 1.3230, 61.8% retracement of 1.2586/1.4280 / main trendline off 1.1875, and 1.3134, 200 day MA. Higher low is anticipated at this zone in order to keep bulls off 1.1875 in play, otherwise stronger correction towards 1.30 would be likely.

    Res: 1.3417, 1.3443, 1.3459, 1.3525
    Sup: 1.3230, 1.3134, 1.3027, 1.2920




    GBP/USD
    Extends reversal following an upside rejection at 1.61, with loss of 1.5838 previous low, sparking a fresh weakness to just above 1.5737, 90- day MA. Further downside looks for 1.5649 higher platform, then 1.5509, 50% retracement of 1.4230/1.6297 ascend. Upside is seen capped by 1.5837/97, while regain of 1.5950 needed to provide relief.

    Res: 1.5837, 1.5897, 1.5934, 1.5965
    Sup: 1.5729, 1.5689, 1.5649, 1.5509





    USD/JPY
    Break below the recent consolidative range turns focus downside. Immediate support lies at 82.82/72, 60-day MA / yesterday’s low, and break here to open way for further correction towards 82.46/04, 38.2% / 50% of 80.24/83.83 upleg. To avoid immediate downside risk, 83.35/60 must be regained.

    Res: 83.35, 83.60, 83.83, 83.97
    Sup: 82.79, 82.46, 82.04, 81.63





    USD/CHF
    Turns the focus higher towards the recent range’s upper boundary, after 0.9850 support contained the latest attempts lower. This now underpins the advance, along with 0.9837, 60 day MA, with break above parity level required to resume bulls off 0.9546 higher low. Upside targets lay at 1.0044/1.0183, 50%/61.8% retracement of 1.0638/0.9461 decline. Loss of 0.9849, however, would weaken the near-term structure.


    Res: 1.0000, 1.0044, 1.0075, 1.0183
    Sup: 0.9930, 0.9908, 0.9871, 0.9849


  10. #220
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:50 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Continues to trend lower off 1.4280 peak, extending losses to 1.3283, ahead of key 1.3263, trendline support and 1.3230, 61.8% of 1.2576/1.4280. Next comes 200 day MA at 1.3233. Corrective attempts are seen capped by 1.3420/46, and only break here to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.3360, 1.3420, 1.3446, 1.3507
    Sup: 1.3283, 1.3263, 1.3230, 1.3133






    GBP/USD
    Dipped to 1.5740 to test 90 day MA, currently at 1.5749, ahead of recovery attempt. This is seen corrective, with lower top ahead of fresh weakness, favored for now. Break below 1.5740 to target 1.5649, key near-term support. Upside, regain of 1.5950/65 would ease bear pressure and re-expose 1.61 zone.

    Res: 1.5837, 1.5897, 1.5934, 1.5965
    Sup: 1.5740, 1.5729, 1.5689, 1.5649






    USD/JPY
    Corrected lower after hitting 83.83 high, to find support at 82.72, ahead of fresh strength. The focus is now at the recent consolidative range ceiling at 83.77/83, break of which is required to resume short-term recovery off 80.24.

    Res: 83.77, 83.83, 83.97, 84.35
    Sup: 83.17, 82.92, 82.72, 82.46





    USD/CHF
    The latest strength from 0.9847 finally broke above 1.0000, the recent consolidative band, to suggest further gains towards 1.0044, 50% of 1.0638/0.9461 downleg initially, with possible extension to 1.0183, 61.8%, on a break. Downside, 0.9942 offers immediate support, while loss of 0.9847 weakens the structure.


    Res: 1.0044, 1.0075, 1.0116, 1.0183
    Sup: 0.9942, 0.9930, 0.9908, 0.9871


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