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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #231
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Extends reversal from 1.3500 after leaving a lower top at 1.3377, to hit fresh low at 1.3208. The key near-term support/pivot lies at 1.3163 and while above here, possibility of retesting 1.3500 remains in play. Otherwise, break lower would risk fresh weakness and expose 1.3059 initially.

    Res: 1.3315, 1.3377, 1.3440, 1.3500
    Sup: 1.3208, 1.3163, 1.3100, 1.3059




    GBP/USD
    Reversal from 1.5910 accelerated losses after breaking through 1.5667/54 support zone, clearing 6-month trendline support, to reach 1.5529 low so far. Corrective attempts are seen limited by 1.5654/67 zone, now reverted to resistance, with fresh weakness expected to attack key short-term support at 1.5483. Only break above 1.5667 to improve the outlook.

    Res: 1.5654, 1.5667, 1.5710, 1.5767
    Sup: 1.5529, 1.5510, 1.5483, 1.5405





    USD/JPY
    Fresh strength off 82.83 higher low has seen an attempt through the recent consolidation ceiling at 84.29/39, with 84.49 reached, ahead of correction. Immediate target lies at 84.60, 76.4% retracement of 85.92/80.24 decline, break of which will expose 85.40, 24 Sep high. Downside, 83.61 is now key support and only break here to delay immediate bulls.

    Res: 84.32, 84.49, 84.60, 84.82
    Sup: 83.76, 83.61, 83.16, 82.83





    USD/CHF
    Extended reversal from 1.0064, 01 Dec high, through 0.9913, 08 Dec lower high, accelerating losses through 2-month trendline support, to reach 0.9560 so far, just above 0.9546, key short-term support. Correction higher is under way, with 0.9735/77 zone expected to cap.

    Res: 0.9724, 0.9735, 0.9755, 0.9777
    Sup: 0.9572, 0.9560, 0.9546, 0.9461


  2. #232
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Downside remains well supported at 1.3180/75, yesterday/13 Dec lows and 61.8% of 1.2968/1.3500 upleg, as the pullback from 1.3500 high found support at 1.3180 again, followed by fresh strength. Near-term studies are supportive for an attempt at 1.3377 lower top, break of which is required to continue gains for 1.3500 retest.

    Res: 1.3365, 1.3377, 1.3440, 1.3500
    Sup: 1.3278, 1.3233, 1.3180, 1.3163




    GBP/USD
    Reversal from 1.5910 accelerated losses after breaking through 1.5667/54 support zone, clearing 6-month trendline support, to reach 1.5529 low so far. Bounce from here is under way, with first group of resistances seen at 1.5654/67. Possible further recovery is seen limited by 1.5718/38, where a lower top is anticipated, ahead of fresh weakness to test 1.5529/10, with 1.5483, 30 Nov key near-term support been in sight.

    Res: 1.5654, 1.5667, 1.5710, 1.5767
    Sup: 1.5609, 1.5558, 1.5529, 1.5510






    USD/JPY
    Recent consolidation ceiling at 84.29/39 caps all upside attempts for now, as the latest two false breaks were followed by immediate pullbacks. Bears are testing 83.63, consolidation bottom, break of which would delay near term bulls and allow for stronger correction and possible retest of 82.83, 14 Dec higher low. Early downside rejection, however, would keep the recent tops retest in focus.

    Res: 84.00, 84.32, 84.49, 84.60
    Sup: 83.61, 83.16, 82.83, 82.33





    USD/CHF
    Extended reversal from 1.0064, 01 Dec high, through 0.9913, 08 Dec lower high, accelerating losses through 2-month trendline support, to reach 0.9560 so far, just above 0.9546, key short-term support. Correction higher run out of steam just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9913/0.9560 decline at 0.9736, with fresh weakness exceeding the previous low, en-route to 0.9546. Break here to expose 0.9461 next. Only regain of 0.9732 improves the tone.


    Res: 0.9650, 0.9710, 0.9732, 0.9735
    Sup: 0.9546, 0.9461, 0.9400, 0.9350


  3. #233
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (16:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Upside rejection at 1.3358, just ahead of first resistance at 1.3377, with sharp reversal followed. Break below key near-term support at 1.3180/63 now suggests further weakness towards 1.3059, with return to 1.2968 not ruled out. Only regain of todayís high of 1.3358 would offer relief.

    Res: 1.3358, 1.3377, 1.3440, 1.3500
    Sup: 1.3100, 1.3059, 1.3049, 1.2968




    GBP/USDRecovery attempt off 1.5529 left a lower top at 1.5645, ahead of strong pullback, breaking through key near-term supports at 1.5510/1.5483. Bears now look for test of 1.5384 and key support at 1.5295, with 1.5264, 50% retracement of 1.4236/1.6295 upleg seen next. To ease immediate bear pressure, 1.5645 must be regained.

    Res: 1.5645, 1.5667, 1.5710, 1.5767
    Sup: 1.5448, 1.5384, 1.5344, 1.5295





    USD/JPY
    Recent consolidation ceiling at 84.29/39 caps all upside attempts for now, as the latest two false breaks were followed by immediate pullbacks. Bears are tested 83.63, consolidation bottom, with fresh upside attempt under way. This keeps focus at 84.39, with break higher to open 85.40 next. Loss of 83.63, however, delays.

    Res: 84.32, 84.39, 84.49, 84.60
    Sup: 83.63, 83.16, 82.83, 82.33






    USD/CHF
    Decline off 0.9732 lower high found support at 0.9556, just ahead of key 0.9546 level, where the fresh strength has emerged. 0.9732 is now in focus, with break here required to continue recovery of the broader 1.0064/0.9556 downleg, and turn immediate focus towards 0.9839. Only loss 0.9556/46 would turn the near-term tone negative.


    Res: 0.9732, 0.9754, 0.9795, 0.9839
    Sup: 0.9595, 0.9556, 0.9546, 0.9461


  4. #234
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:10 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Extends reversal off 1.3358 lower top, through 1.3180/63 support zone, to reach 1.3124 low thus far. This brings 1.3059, 02 Dec low in focus, with possible retest of 1.2968 also in play. Early rejection above the latter, however, may signal fresh recovery attempt, though, bears remain firmly in play while 1.3358 caps.

    Res: 1.3186, 1.3242, 1.3270, 1.3358
    Sup: 1.3124, 1.3100, 1.3059, 1.3049




    GBP/USD
    Extended downtrend from 1.6297 after leaving a lower top at 1.5910, breaking through previous low at 1.5483, to reach 1.5453 so far. Correction off here needs to clear minimum1.5645 to firm the tone and spark further recovery, otherwise, fresh weakness through 1.5405 towards 1.5295 would be likely scenario.

    Res: 1.5583, 1.5645, 1.5667, 1.5710
    Sup: 1.5453, 1.5405, 1.5384, 1.5344





    USD/JPY
    Recent consolidation ceiling at 84.29/39 caps all upside attempts for now, as the latest two false breaks were followed by immediate pullbacks. Bears are tested 83.63, consolidation bottom, with fresh upside attempt under way. This keeps focus at 84.39, with break higher to open 85.40 next. Loss of 83.63, however, delays.

    Res: 84.19, 84.39, 84.49, 84.60
    Sup: 83.63, 83.16, 82.83, 82.33





    USD/CHF
    Decline off 0.9732 lower high found support at 0.9556, just ahead of key 0.9546 level, where the fresh strength has emerged. Correction stalled at 0.9718, just under 0.9732 and while below here, keeps the down side in focus, with potential break below 0.9556 to expose 0.9461, yearly low. Clearance of 0.9732, however, provides relief and opens 0.9849.

    Res: 0.9718, 0.9732, 0.9754, 0.9795
    Sup: 0.9630, 0.9595, 0.9556, 0.9546


  5. #235
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (15:10 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Extends the recent weakness from 1.3358 lower high, with break below 200-day MA, keeping the negative tone in play. Retest of 1.2968, 30 Nov low is now in focus, as upside remains capped by 1.3200. Potential loss of 1.2968 to open way for further retracement of the upleg from 1.1875/1.2717, to initially target 1.2792, 61.8% retracement of 1.1875/1.4280 ascend.

    Res: 1.3179, 1.3200, 1.3225, 1.3264
    Sup: 1.3072, 1.3059, 1.3049, 1.2968





    GBP/USD
    Accelerates downtrend from 1.5910, breaking below 1.5483, previous low; 1.5405, falling wedge support and 1.5389, 200 day MA. This suggests further weakness and brings 1.5343/1.5295 in focus. However, hourly conditions are becoming oversold and correction may precede fresh downleg, though, break above 1.5575 is needed to improve near-term tone.

    Res: 1.5492, 1.5518, 1.5575, 1.5645
    Sup: 1.5375, 1.5343, 1.5295, 1.5250





    USD/JPY
    Remains in a narrow range, following the latest upside failure at 84.49. Immediate supports lie at 82.83/33, with break below the latter to signal fresh phase lower, while upside clearance of cluster of resistances between 84.29 and 84.49 is required to resume recovery off 80.24.

    Res: 83.89, 84.19, 84.39, 84.49
    Sup: 83.41, 83.16, 82.83, 82.33





    USD/CHF
    Succession of lower highs from 1.0064 keeps near-term bears in play, with scope for full retracement of 0.9461/1.0064 recovery attempt. Market has so far tested 0.95 level, with potential break through 0.9461 to signal fresh bear phase. Only regain of 1.0064 would improve the outlook.

    Res: 0.9718, 0.9732, 0.9754, 0.9795
    Sup: 0.9506, 0.9461, 0.9400, 0.9350


  6. #236
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (15:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Trades in a narrow range after fall from 1.3358 lower high reached fresh low at 1.3054. Corrective attempts are so far limited by 1.3200, with immediate focus on retest of 1.2968, 30 Nov low. To avoid this scenario, higher low above the latter is requited and break above 1.32 to open 1.3358, then 1.3497.

    Res: 1.3179, 1.3200, 1.3225, 1.3264
    Sup: 1.3072, 1.3059, 1.3049, 1.2968




    GBP/USD
    Accelerates downtrend from 1.5910, breaking below 1.5483, previous low; 1.5405, falling wedge support and 1.5389, 200 day MA, to test 1.5345. This suggests further weakness, with 1.5295 in focus, while 1.5575 offers immediate cap. Only regain of 1.5645 to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.5492, 1.5518, 1.5575, 1.5645
    Sup: 1.5355, 1.5343, 1.5295, 1.5250





    USD/JPY
    Extends weakness of 84.49 after break below 82.83 support has so far seen 82.64, en-route to key near-term support at 82.33. Break here would open way for fresh bear phase and expose 81.85, 61.8% of 80.24/84.49 ascend. Above 84.49, however, would resume corrective attempt off 80.24.

    Res: 83.89, 84.19, 84.39, 84.49
    Sup: 82.33, 81.85, 81.65, 81.25




    USD/CHF
    Extended fall from 1.0064/0.9916, to reach 0.9495, just above yearly low at 0.9461. Correction higher is underway, with immediate resistance at 0.9663, below where a lower top is anticipated for fresh attempt towards 0.9461. Upside regain of 0.9718/32 is required to open way for stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9663, 0.9694, 0.9718, 0.9732
    Sup: 0.9573, 0.9550, 0.9495, 0.9461


  7. #237
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    The latest descend off 1.3497 has so far found support at 1.3054, with fresh attempt higher under way. Clearance of 1.3200 resistance sidelined immediate risk of retest of 1.2968 key support, turning the near-term focus higher. 1.3273 reached so far, that also marks 50% retracement of 1.3497/1.3054 downleg. However, break above 1.3358 lower top is needed to resume recovery and open 1.3497.

    Res: 1.3273, 1.3327, 1.3358, 1.3377
    Sup: 1.3158, 1.3128, 1.3078, 1.3054




    GBP/USD

    Weakness off 1.5910, 14 Dec lower high, broke through 1.5483 previous low, extending losses through 1.5392, 200 day MA, to 1.5355 so far. While 1.5645 caps corrective attempts, risk remains for fresh push lower, and loss of 1.5355 to expose 1.5295, key medium-term support. Above 1.5645, however, would allow for stronger correction towards 1.5694, 61.8% retracement of 1.5910/1.5355 downleg.

    Res: 1.5510, 1.5566, 1.5575, 1.5645
    Sup: 1.5468, 1.5411, 1.5368, 1.5355





    USD/JPY

    Continues to trend lower after an upside failure at 84.49. Key near-term supports at 82.83/33 have been lost, with brief break through 61.8% retracement of 80.24/84.49 at 81.97and 81.90, main trendline support drawn off 80.24, suggesting further weakness towards 81.60/00 zone next. Immediate resistances lie at 83.16/38 and only break above the latter to ease bear pressure.

    Res: 82.33, 82.83, 83.16, 83.38
    Sup: 81.82, 81.60, 81.06, 80.55




    USD/CHF

    Recovery attempt from 0.9495 has been short-lived as market failed to sustain gains above 0.9640, with sharp reversal followed. Break below 0.9495 and historical low and 2010 low at 0.9461 suggests fresh bear phase, while only regain of 0.9660/0.9732 would provide relief.

    Res: 0.9518, 0.9534, 0.9563, 0.9577
    Sup: 0.9461, 0.9452, 0.9432, 0.9410


  8. #238
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Retraces the latest rally off 1.3082 that hit a fresh three-weeks high at 1.3423 on 31 Dec. Over 50% has so far been retraced at 1.3249, ahead of correction. Lower top under 1.3360/82 zone will confirm the continuation of the bear phase from 1.3497 lower top, and break below 1.3249 to target 1.3231, 120 day MA and 1.3212, 61.8% of 1.3082/1.3423 upleg. Below here, next strong supports lie at 1.3085/54, 200 day MA / 23 Dec higher low, break of which exposes key near-term support at 1.2968. Only regain of 1.3423 will signal further recovery and open 1.3497 next.

    Res: 1.3360, 1.3382, 1.3423, 1.3440
    Sup: 1.3249, 1.3231, 1.3212, 1.3200





    GBP/USD
    Recovery attempt off 1.5343/66 peaked at 1.5659 on 31 Dec, ahead of sharp reversal. Market has so far retraced over 61.8% of the original move, reaching fresh low of 1.5471 today, just above 90 day MA at 1.5465. Hourly structure remains negative, with 1.5431 seen next, ahead of possible retest of 1.5366/43 key support zone, loss of which will confirm lower top at 1.5659 and signal resumption of corrective reversal from 1.6293, Novemberís peak. Upside remains capped by 1.5561/84, while break above 1.5659 is required to resume recovery off 1.5343.

    Res: 1.5561, 1.5584, 1.5621, 1.5659
    Sup: 1.5471, 1.5431, 1.5366, 1.5343




    USD/JPY
    Loss of key near-term support at 82.33 has triggered further weakness from 84.49 to retrace over 76.4% of 80.24/84.49 ascend at 80.92, and confirm the double top. Immediate target now lies at 80.52, 09 Nov higher low, ahead of key support at 80.24, break of which will open way for retest of 79.75, 1995 historical low. To ease immediate bear pressure, 81.84 must be regained, with sustained break here to trigger fresh recovery towards 82.28/52.

    Res: 81.84, 82.28, 82.52, 82.80
    Sup: 80.92, 80.52, 80.00, 79.75





    USD/CHF
    Extended the broader fall from 1.0064/0.9916, breaking through 2010 low at 0.9461, to reach fresh all time low at 0.9301. Correction on oversold conditions is under way, with immediate cap standing at 0.9530, with lower top expected to precede fresh weakness through 0.9301 towards 0.9230/0.9155 projected levels. Only regain of 0.9663 would provide short-term relief.

    Res: 0.9416, 0.9432, 0.9468, 0.9530
    Sup: 0.9345, 0.9301, 0.9230, 0.9200


  9. #239
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (15:40 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Remains at the back foot after falling from 1.3423 to 1.3249, with subsequent recovery so far being capped by 1.3364. While 1.3423 peak stays intact, focus is turned lower, and loss of 1.3249 to target 1.3212, 61.8% of 1.3082/1.3423 upleg. Strong support lies at 1.3085/54, ahead of key 1.2968, 30 Nov higher low.

    Res: 1.3364, 1.3382, 1.3423, 1.3440
    Sup: 1.3305, 1.3280, 1.3249, 1.3212




    GBP/USD
    Maintains negative tone following sharp reversal from 1.5659 to 1.5445. Corrective attempt off the latter was short-lived, leaving lower high at 1.5516, ahead of fresh weakness. Retest of 1.5366/43 lows would be the likely scenario, with break here to end recovery phase from 1.5343 and resume the broader downtrend. Only above 1.5659 improves the outlook.

    Res: 1.5516, 1.5561, 1.5584, 1.5621
    Sup: 1.5445, 1.5431, 1.5366, 1.5343





    USD/JPY
    Upside rejection at 84.49 and break below key supports at 82.83/33 has sparked fresh weakness to reach 80.92 so far, ahead of correction. Immediate resistance lies at 81.84, with clearance of 82.52 needed to improve outlook and allow for stronger correction. Otherwise, fresh attempt through 80.92, towards 80.52/24 key short-term supports and possible attack at 79.75, 1995 extreme low, is likely.

    Res: 81.84, 82.28, 82.52, 82.80
    Sup: 81.35, 80.92, 80.52, 80.24





    USD/CHF
    Extended the broader fall from 1.0064/0.9916, breaking through 2010 low at 0.9461, to reach fresh all time low at 0.9301. Consolidation above here is underway, with immediate focus on 0.9301 retest, break of which to open 0.9230/0.9155 next. Upside remains capped by 0.9530 and only break here would offer relief for 0.9628/63.


    Res: 0.9381, 0.9416, 0.9432, 0.9468
    Sup: 0.9301, 0.9230, 0.9200, 0.9150


  10. #240
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Near-term outlook keeps focus to the downside while 1.3423 holds, and potential break here to resume recovery from 1.3054 higher low. Key resistance lies at 1.3497, with break here required to spark fresh bulls. Downside remains supported by 1.3085/54, ahead of key 1.2968 support.

    Res: 1.3394, 1.3423, 1.3440, 1.3497
    Sup: 1.3322, 1.3305, 1.3280, 1.3249




    GBP/USD
    Strong reversal off 1.5659 has so far found support at 1.5433, with rally under way. Sustained break above 1.5561 will open 1.5659, key near-term barrier, break of which is needed to resume recovery phase off 1.5343. Failure under 1.5659 would delay bulls, though, only loss of 1.5433 to re-focus 1.5366/43.

    Res: 1.5584, 1.5621, 1.5659, 1.5718
    Sup: 1.5502, 1.5453, 1.5433, 1.5366





    USD/JPY
    Correction off 80.92 yesterdayís low, accelerated after clearing 81.84 resistance, to retrace 38.2% of 84.49/80.92 downleg at 82.27. Further correction would target 82.69 and 83.13, 50% / 61.8% levels. Overbought hourly conditions, however, warn of pullback preceding the fresh rally. Only loss of 81.49 to risk return to 80.92.

    Res: 82.27, 82.52, 82.69, 82.94
    Sup: 81.60, 81.49, 81.21, 80.92





    USD/CHF
    Fresh strength off historical lows retraced around 38.2% of the latest 0.9644/0.9301 downleg, though, regain of 0.9511/31, 61.8% / 29 Dec high, is required to maintain near-term bulls and open way for retest of 0.9644/63 zone. Otherwise, risk remains of a lower top and fresh weakness towards 0.9301.

    Res: 0.9444, 0.9472, 0.9490, 0.9511
    Sup: 0.9381, 0.9340, 0.9318, 0.9301


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