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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #21
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Failure to sustain gains above 1.3570 has triggered a reversal off 1.3591, last Friday’s fresh high. Immediate support stands at 1.3459, 01/today’s lows. Potential break here would delay near-term bulls in favor of further weakness towards 1.3383. Upside clearance of 1.3591/1.3626 is required to resume bulls and expose key 1.3816, 17 Mar high.

    Res: 1.3537, 1.3568, 1.3570, 1.3591
    Sup: 1.3459, 1.3433, 1.3383, 1.3344




    GBP/USD

    Recovery off 1.4797, 25 Mar low, stalled at 1.5298, followed by correction to 1.5180. Fresh strength is now underway, with break through 1.5298/1.5315, been required for resumption of near-term uptrend, to challenge key 17 Mar, 1.5380 peak.

    Res: 1.5298, 1.5315, 1.5327, 1.5380
    Sup: 1.5180, 1.5117, 1.5088, 1.5042




    USD/JPY

    Extends gains above 93.75, 08 Jan pivot, to further retrace the pullback from 101.43, 06 Apr 2009 high. Bulls now eye 95.02, 61.8% retracement, ahead of the 95.30 region. Dips are expected to find support over 93.55 to sustain the immediate bullish tone.

    Res: 94.77, 95.02, 95.30, 95.50
    Sup: 93.05, 92.75, 92.45, 92.11



    USD/CHF

    Broke below 1.0505, key near-term low, to spike lower to 1.0433 on 01 Apr. Fresh strength emerged from there, now sees scope for renewal of bulls, with clearance of the key 1.0682/88 resistances, needed to expose 1.0749, 25 Mar pivot high. Loss of 1.0553/35, however, would delay for retest of 1.0433.

    Res: 1.0643, 1.0682, 1.0688, 1.0705
    Sup: 1.0585, 1.0553, 1.0535, 1.0487


  2. #22
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Daily structure exposes a potential bear flag developing, with a push under 1.3383, 31 Mar pivot low, increasing the probability of a return to 1.3266, 25 Mar annual low. In the meantime a short-term swing higher is not ruled out.

    Res: 1.3459, 1.3496, 1.3537, 1.3591
    Sup: 1.3383, 1.3344, 1.3324, 1.3305




    GBP/USD

    The second attempt at 1.5315, 23.6% retracement of the entire 1.7041/1.4780 fall failed, ahead of fresh push lower. Weekly structure since 1.7041 favors a shallow retrace and a resumption of weakness. 1.5380 is seen key resistance and only break here would improve the outlook.

    Res: 1.5244, 1.5262, 1.5315, 1.5380
    Sup: 1.5165, 1.5117, 1.5088, 1.5042




    USD/JPY

    Daily structure since the annual low at 88.13 hints at possible exhaustion of the current rise. Potential is seen for a pullback now towards the 200 day MA, currently at 91.46. Bulls remain in play while 93.55 holds.

    Res: 94.77, 95.02, 95.30, 95.50
    Sup: 93.55, 93.27, 93.05, 92.75





    USD/CHF

    Daily structure reveals a possible bull flag forming from the low at 1.0130, 11 Jan low. A break back over 1.0749 will further strengthen outlook, and likely trigger a return to 1.0897, annual high, posted on 19 Feb. However, near-term weakness, preceding fresh bulls, is not ruled out.

    Res: 1.0688, 1.0705, 1.0749, 1.0795
    Sup: 1.0585, 1.0553, 1.0535, 1.0487


  3. #23
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Hourly structure continues to be negative with yesterday's break below 1.3390/83, 61.8% retracement of the 1.3266/1.3591 rise / 31 Mar low, warning of a full retrace of the move. Scope is now for a short-term swing higher, before leaving a lower top.

    Res: 1.3438, 1.3459, 1.3496, 1.3537
    Sup: 1.3355, 1.3344, 1.3305, 1.3266




    GBP/USD

    Continues to trade close to the 23.6% retracement of the 1.7041/1.4780 fall at 1.5315. Weekly structure continues to favor a shallow retrace and eventual relapse to retest 1.4780, the annual low.

    Res: 1.5282, 1.5315, 1.5330, 1.5380
    Sup: 1.5192, 1.5128, 1.5117, 1.5042




    USD/JPY

    Daily structure since the annual low at 88.13 hints at possible exhaustion of the current rise. Potential is seen for a pullback now towards the 200 day MA, currently at 91.46. Bulls remain in play while 93.55 holds, with potential break here to open 93.27 and 92.75. Only regain of 94.39 would suggest renewed strength.

    Res: 94.39, 94.77, 95.02, 95.30
    Sup: 93.55, 93.27, 93.05, 92.75




    USD/CHF

    Continues to head higher off recent lower rejection of 200-day MA, with scope set at 1.0779, break of which will trigger a larger daily bull flag with an initial target at 1.0899, annual high, posted on 19 Feb).

    Res: 1.0720, 1.0749, 1.0795, 1.0810
    Sup: 1.0643, 1.0585, 1.0553, 1.0487


  4. #24
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trend lower, with risk seen for further drop to fully retrace the 1.3266/1.3591 upleg. Break below 1.3266, yearly low, would open 1.3190, 30 Apr 2009 low next, while 1.3409 expected to cap corrective attempts.

    Res: 1.3377, 1.3409, 1.3438, 1.3459
    Sup: 1.3266, 1.3245, 1.3213, 1.3190





    GBP/USD

    Failed again in attempt at 1.5282/1.5315 area, with fresh weakness now under way. 1.5147/28 zone offers strong support, and break there is required to resume a broader weakness towards 1.4797/80. Regain of 1.5315/80, however, would improve.

    Res: 1.5250, 1.5282, 1.5315, 1.5380
    Sup: 1.5147, 1.5128, 1.5117, 1.5042





    USD/JPY

    Current pullback is seen as corrective in structure with an hourly reversal pattern having been triggered. Scope is now for further weakness towards 92.75 and 91.45, 200 day moving average. Back over 94.03 defers.

    Res: 93.55, 93.85, 94.03, 94.25
    Sup: 93.05, 92.75, 92.45, 92.11




    USD/CHF

    Daily structure continues to be constructive with a bull-flag in place, following the recent break over 1.0749. Hourly structure also remains positive, with scope for a near-term rise towards 1.0809/27. Downside, 1.0677 offers initial support.

    Res: 1.0795, 1.0809, 1.0827, 1.0898
    Sup: 1.0712, 1.0677, 1.0643, 1.0585


  5. #25
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Yesterday’s failure to break below 1.3266 yearly low, has triggered a corrective phase. A higher low is now sought in an hourly time frame for a fresh leg higher, with 1.3409/59 offering strong resistance. Break above the latter is required to sideline near-term bears in favor of stronger correction, while failure to break higher would risk fresh weakness and re-focus 1.3266.

    Res: 1.3409, 1.3438, 1.3459, 1.3497
    Sup: 1.3341, 1.3320, 1.3282, 1.3266




    GBP/USD

    Daily structure continues to seek for a shallow retrace, with a short-term rise back over 1.5380 not ruled out, before leaving a lower top. Latest clearance of 1.5315 now confirms this scenario.

    Res: 1.5380, 1.5400, 1.5420, 1.5475
    Sup: 1.5235, 1.5220, 1.5167, 1.5128




    USD/JPY

    Recovers off yesterday’s 92.82 low, just below 38.2% retracement of 89.74/94.77 rise ascend, leaving a bullish hammer candle. Risk is now seen for a lower top to form, ahead of fresh decline back towards 91.45, 200 days moving average.

    Res: 93.72, 93.85, 94.03, 94.25
    Sup: 93.05, 92.82, 92.75, 92.45




    USD/CHF

    Failing to break above congestive tops at 1.0802/08 while daily shooting star warns of possible weakness. Current risk is seen of further retracement of 1.0433/1.0784 upleg, with a break below 1.0677 to open 1.0650/08, 38.2%/50% respectively.

    Res: 1.0742, 1.0795, 1.0809, 1.0827
    Sup: 1.0677, 1.0650, 1.0608, 1.0585


  6. #26
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Undergoes corrective phase after yesterday’s bounce off 1.3282, just above 1.3266, 2010 low. Today’s clearance of 1.3409 resistance has so far reached 1.3417, followed by pullback. 1.3341, today’s low, needs to hold to keep immediate bulls in play, and above 1.3417 to extend correction towards 1.3459, where a lower top should take place, ahead of fresh weakness. Only break above the latter would allow for stronger correction.

    Res: 1.3417, 1.3438, 1.3459, 1.3497
    Sup: 1.3341, 1.3320, 1.3282, 1.3266




    GBP/USD

    Extends gains off 1.4797 to dent key 1.5380 resistance today. Clear break here would signal further recovery towards 1.5475, while early upside rejection risks lower top, for fresh attempt at 1.5167/28 zone.

    Res: 1.5400, 1.5420, 1.5475, 1.5520
    Sup: 1.5235, 1.5220, 1.5167, 1.5128




    USD/JPY

    Recovers off yesterday’s 92.82 low, just below 38.2% retracement of 89.74/94.77 rise ascend, leaving a bullish hammer candle. Risk is now seen for a lower top to form, ahead of fresh decline back towards 91.45, 200 days moving average.

    Res: 93.85, 94.03, 94.25, 94.77
    Sup: 93.05, 92.82, 92.75, 92.45




    USD/CHF

    Failing to break above congestive tops at 1.0802/08 while daily shooting star warns of possible weakness. Current risk is seen of further retracement of 1.0433/1.0784 upleg, with a break below 1.0677 to open 1.0650/08, 38.2%/50% respectively.

    Res: 1.0742, 1.0795, 1.0809, 1.0827
    Sup: 1.0677, 1.0650, 1.0608, 1.0585


  7. #27
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    The latest advance off 1.3280, 08 Apr low, has breached key 1.3591 resistance, to extend gains to 1.3691 overnight and retrace over 61.8% of the broader 1.3816/1.3266 decline. Scope is now seen for upside attempt towards 1.3735, with current pullback on overbought conditions to be contained by 1.3538/1.3496, to keep immediate bulls in play.

    Res: 1.3691, 1.3735, 1.3788, 1.3816
    Sup: 1.3604, 1.3592, 1.3538, 1.3496





    GBP/USD

    Recovery phase from 1.4780/1.4800 lows broke above key 1.5380 lower platform, to hit 1.5484 earlier this morning. Overbought hourly structure sees correction now under way, with 1.5380 offering immediate support, ahead of fresh push higher, as daily conditions remain supportive for continuation of the recent strength, focusing 1.5574 next. Below 1.5380, however, may risk deeper reversal.

    Res: 1.5484, 1.5520, 1.5574, 1.5632
    Sup: 1.5380, 1.5313, 1.5267, 1.5235




    USD/JPY

    Rally off 89.74, 18 Mar low, peaked at 94.77 on 05 Apr. A corrective phase followed and support was found at 92.83, near 38.2% retracement of the entire move. 92.77, today’s higher low now supports and clearance of 93.55/78 expected to resume near-term gains and open 94.25 next. Downside loss of 92.88/75 risks 92.26/11 instead.

    Res: 93.55, 93.85, 94.03, 94.25
    Sup: 92.88, 92.75, 92.45, 92.26





    USD/CHF

    Continues to fall sharply off last week’s failure at 1.0784, possibly completing recent 3-week expanded flat, ahead of retesting 200-day MA, currently at 1.0475, and lower towards 1.0435. Intraday falling gap left at 1.0626/55 weighs for now.

    Res: 1.0625, 1.0655, 1.0686, 1.0713
    Sup: 1.0525, 1.0510, 1.0475, 1.0435


  8. #28
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    The latest advance off 1.3280, 08 Apr low, has breached key 1.3591 resistance, to extend gains to 1.3691 overnight and retrace over 61.8% of the broader 1.3816/1.3266 decline. Scope is now seen for upside attempt towards 1.3735, with current pullback on overbought conditions to be contained by 1.3538/1.3496, to keep immediate bulls in play.

    Res: 1.3691, 1.3735, 1.3788, 1.3816
    Sup: 1.3565, 1.3538, 1.3496, 1.3459




    GBP/USD

    Recovery phase from 1.4780/1.4800 lows broke above key 1.5380 lower platform, to hit 1.5484 today. Immediate pullback has dented 1.5380 support, signaling possible end of recovery, though, 1.5313/1.5267 need to be taken to confirm. However, positive daily structure remains supportive for continuation of the recent strength, focusing 1.5574 next.

    Res: 1.5461, 1.5484, 1.5520, 1.5574
    Sup: 1.5313, 1.5267, 1.5235, 1.5220




    USD/JPY

    Rally off 89.74, 18 Mar low, peaked at 94.77 on 05 Apr. A corrective phase followed and support was found at 92.83, near 38.2% retracement of the entire move. 92.77, today’s higher low now supports and clearance of 93.55/78 expected to resume near-term gains and open 94.25 next. Downside loss of 92.88/75 risks 92.26/11 instead.

    Res: 93.55, 93.85, 94.03, 94.25
    Sup: 92.88, 92.75, 92.45, 92.26




    USD/CHF

    Fell sharply off last week’s upside rejection at 1.0784, possibly completing recent 3-week expanded flat, ahead of retesting 200-day MA, currently at 1.0475, and lower towards 1.0435. Intraday falling gap left at 1.0626/55 weighs for now.

    Res: 1.0625, 1.0655, 1.0686, 1.0713
    Sup: 1.0525, 1.0510, 1.0475, 1.0435


  9. #29
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Broke through 1.3591 lower ceiling yesterday, to hit a fresh high at 1.3691, ahead of pullback. Market so far found support at 1.3565, though, holding above 1.3538/1.3496 would keep immediate bulls in play for possible attempt towards key 1.3816 high.

    Res: 1.3640, 1.3691, 1.3735, 1.3788
    Sup: 1.3565, 1.3538, 1.3496, 1.3459




    GBP/USD

    Yesterday's rejection at 1.5484 weighs on near-term outlook, though downside loss of 1.5128 is needed to confirm. However, ability to hold above 1.5313/1.5267 would maintain positive tone for fresh attempt through 1.5484, to possibly attract 1.5520/74.

    Res: 1.5420, 1.5461, 1.5484, 1.5520
    Sup: 1.5335, 1.5313, 1.5267, 1.5235




    USD/JPY

    Has found a foothold at 92.56 today, and has pushed higher to challenge 94.40/61, the upper corrective channel off 94.77, 05 Apr high. Break above the latter would signal start of next bull leg through layered resist at 93.78 and 94.25, for possible retest of 94.77.

    Res: 93.40, 93.59, 93.78, 94.25
    Sup: 92.56, 92.45, 92.26, 92.11




    USD/CHF

    Falling gap at 1.0626/55 is seen weighing current recovery effort, while a potential bear flag may precede next downleg back at 200-day MA, currently at 1.0472 and 1.0435 swing low. Only break above1.0655 improves the tone.


    Res: 1.0625, 1.0655, 1.0686, 1.0713
    Sup: 1.0548, 1.0525, 1.0510, 1.0472


  10. #30
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Broke through 1.3591 lower ceiling yesterday, to hit a fresh high at 1.3691, ahead of pullback on overbought conditions. Market so far found support at 1.3565, though, holding above 1.3538/1.3496 would keep immediate bulls in play for possible attempt towards key 1.3816 high.

    Res: 1.3640, 1.3691, 1.3735, 1.3788
    Sup: 1.3555, 1.3538, 1.3496, 1.3459



    GBP/USD

    Yesterday's rejection at 1.5484 weighs on near-term outlook, though downside loss of 1.5128 is needed to confirm. However, ability to hold above 1.5313/1.5267 would maintain positive tone for fresh attempt through 1.5484, to possibly attract 1.5520/74, with the latest break above 1.5400/20 increasing hopes for such scenario.

    Res: 1.5461, 1.5484, 1.5520, 1.5535
    Sup: 1.5335, 1.5313, 1.5267, 1.5235





    USD/JPY

    Has found a foothold at 92.56 today, and has pushed higher to challenge 94.40/61, the upper corrective channel off 94.77, 05 Apr high. Break above the latter would signal start of next bull leg through layered resistances at 93.78 and 94.25, for possible retest of 94.77. Loss of 92.56 would expose 92.26/11 instead.

    Res: 93.40, 93.59, 93.78, 94.25
    Sup: 92.56, 92.45, 92.26, 92.11




    USD/CHF

    Remains locked within a choppy, though broadly flat range. Recent pullback off 1.0784, 08 Mar high, has so far found support at 1.0525. Break here would signal fresh weakness towards 1.0489, possibly 1.0433 on a break. Upside clearance of 1.0615/55 is needed to pivot the market higher and focus 1.0686/1.0761.


    Res: 1.0615, 1.0655, 1.0686, 1.0713
    Sup: 1.0525, 1.0510, 1.0489, 1.0433


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