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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #301
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Trades in a near-term corrective mode after fresh strength from 1.3545 higher low, broke above 1.37 barrier, 61.8% retracement of 1.3860/1.3427 decline. Corrective pullback is seen preceding fresh strength, with immediate support at 1.3645/20. Potential break lower will open way for deeper correction towards 1.3600, 38.2% of 1.3427/1.3714. At the upside, clearance of 1.3714, fresh high, to target 1.3743, 09 Feb lower high. Clearance of the latter to signal an end of correction from 1.3860 and expose 1.3766/88 next.

    Res: 1.3689, 1.3714, 1.3743, 1.3766
    Sup: 1.3645, 1.3620, 1.3605, 1.3570




    GBP/USD

    Has nearly fully retraced the recent pullback from 1.6277, 03 Feb high, that bottomed at 1.5957. Fresh strength has so far reached 1.6262, en-route to 1.6277 lower high, break of which to expose key short-term resistance at 1.6297. Above here to open fresh phase higher of the broader recovery from 1.4230. At the downside, 1.6200/1.6185 offers initial support, with 1.6150 expected to hold dips, to keep immediate bulls in play.


    Res: 1.6248, 1.6277, 1.6297, 1.6350
    Sup: 1.6203, 1.6185, 1.6149, 1.6110





    USD/JPY

    Remains in a near-term corrective/consolidative mode after break above 83.67, previous high, peaked at 83.96, ahead of 84.49, key short-term resistance. Support zone at 83.10/00 area, 55 day MA / 14/17 Feb lows, also neckline of head and shoulders pattern on 4 hour chart, is tested so far, and loss here would signal further correction and open 82.87/52, 38.2% / 50% retracement of 81.10/83.96 upleg.

    Res: 83.52, 83.73, 83.96, 84.19
    Sup: 83.01, 82.87, 82.52, 82.20






    USD/CHF

    Extends reversal from 0.9773, 11 Feb peak, breaking through 0.9500, 61.8% retracement of 0.9327, 02 Feb low, to post fresh low at 0.9432, 76.4% retracement of 0.9327/0.9784 ascend. This signals an end of recovery attempt from 0.9327, 02 Feb low, as negative near-term studies look for further downside extension and test of 0.9420/0.9394, ahead of possible full retracement of the recent upleg. Corrective attempts are seen capped by 0.9536 for now.

    Res: 0.9536, 0.9551, 0.9581, 0.9600
    Sup: 0.9432, 0.9420, 0.9365, 0.9327



  2. #302
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Underwent strong correction after rally from 1.3427, 14 Feb low stalled at 1.3714 yesterday, just ahead of 1.3743, 09 Feb lower top. The pair retraced over 61.8% of the latest 1.3427/1.3714 upleg at 1.3525, thus far, after losing supports at 1.3544/34. Fresh weakness towards 1.3461/27 and possible break lower to resume broader correction off 1.3860, would be likely scenario. At the upside, 1.3600 zone caps for now.

    Res: 1.3595, 1.3624, 1.3646, 1.3685
    Sup: 1.3525, 1.3506, 1.3475, 1.3461





    GBP/USD

    Reversal from 1.6262, 18 Feb high, just below key short-term resistance zone at 1.6277/97, accelerated losses after breaking below 1.6203/1.6185 supports, to break below 1.6149, 18 Feb higher low and retrace over 38.2% of 1.5985/1.6262 ascend. Near-term tone has turned bearish, with 1.6124/1.6090 seen next. Downside rejection above the latter, however, is expected to resume rally from 1.5985 and re-focus 1.6262/77 and 1.6297 on a break. Loss of 1.6090, however, would signal return to 1.5985/57 lows and confirm near-term lower hi9gh at 1.6262.

    Res: 1.6177, 1.6192, 1.6227, 1.6248
    Sup: 1.6133, 1.6124, 1.6110, 1.6090





    USD/JPY

    Bounced higher after corrective pullback from 83.96, 16 Feb high found temporary footstep at 82.83, near 38.2% retracement of 81.10/83.96 upleg. Recovery for now remains capped by 83.52, 18 Feb lower high / today’s spike high, with break here required to signal and end of correction from 83.96 and focus 83.74/96, above which will target key short-term resistance at 84.49. Failure to clear 83.52 and break below 82.83, however, will suggest stronger correction, and expose 82.52/20 zone next.

    Res: 83.52, 83.73, 83.96, 84.19
    Sup: 82.83, 82.52, 82.20, 81.76




    USD/CHF

    Trades in near-term consolidative mode, after an upside rejection at 0.9773, just under 0.9784, key short-term resistance, posted fresh low at 0.9432, 76.4% retracement of 0.9327/0.9784 ascend. This would signal an end of recovery attempt from 0.9327, 02 Feb low, as negative near-term studies look for further downside extension and test of 0.9420/0.9394, ahead of possible full retracement at 0.9327. Upside remains capped by 0.9536 for now.

    Res: 0.9504, 0.9536, 0.9551, 0.9581
    Sup: 0.9453, 0.9432, 0.9420, 0.9365


  3. #303
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Reversal off 1.3714, yesterday’s high, found support at 1.3525. Bounce accelerated gains after clearing 1.36 barrier, through 1.3646, to test 1.3685, yesterday’s intraday high. Immediate focus is at 1.3714, then 1.3743, 09 Feb lower high, clearance of which would open 1.3860, key near-term resistance. At the downside, immediate support lies at 1.3630, ahead of 1.3600 zone.

    Res: 1.3708, 1.3714, 1.3743, 1.3788
    Sup: 1.3660, 1.3630, 1.3608, 1.3595





    GBP/USD

    Recovery attempt from 1.6131, today’s low and temporary support for the latest reversal from 1.6262, underwent congestive trading capped by 1.6180 for now. Break here is needed to resume recovery and eye 1.62/1.6230 zone, ahead of possible retest of 1.6262. Failure under 1.6180, however, would signal a resumption the near-term downtrend and open 1.6124/1.6093 next.

    Res: 1.6180, 1.6192, 1.6227, 1.6248
    Sup: 1.6131, 1.6124, 1.6110, 1.6093





    USD/JPY

    Bounced higher after corrective pullback from 83.96, 16 Feb high found temporary footstep at 82.83, near 38.2% retracement of 81.10/83.96 upleg. Recovery for now remains capped by 83.52, 18 Feb lower high / today’s spike high, with break here required to signal and end of correction from 83.96 and focus 83.74/96, above which will target key short-term resistance at 84.49. Failure to clear 83.52 and break below 82.83, however, will suggest stronger correction, and expose 82.52/20 zone next.

    Res: 83.41, 83.52, 83.73, 83.96
    Sup: 82.83, 82.52, 82.20, 81.76






    USD/CHF

    Recovery attempt off 0.9432, yesterday’s low, failed at 0.9504, with fresh weakness extending through 0.9432 and breaking below 0.94 level. Market now eyes 0.9342/27, trendline support / 02 Feb higher low, break of which will re-focus historical high at 0.9301, posted on 31 Dec 2010. 0.95 zone is expected to cap the upside.

    Res: 0.9432, 0.9450, 0.9504, 0.9536
    Sup: 0.9378, 0.9342, 0.9327, 0.9301


  4. #304
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has fully reversed the recent pullback from 1.3714, last Friday’s previous high, after finding ground at 1.3525. Fresh strength cleared 1.3714, en-route to 1.3743, 09 Feb lower high. Break here is needed to signal an end of corrective phase off 1.3860 and expose the latter for retest. At the downside, 1.3634, yesterday’s higher platform, underpins the advance.

    Res: 1.3743, 1.3788, 1.3824, 1.3860
    Sup: 1.3677, 1.3634, 1.3608, 1.3595





    GBP/USD

    Regains 1.62 handle after yesterday’s pullback from 1.6262 high, just under key 1.6277/97 resistance zone, found support at 1.6100. Near-term structure is supportive for attempt higher and above 1.6297 to trigger fresh bull phase towards 1.6456. Immediate support lies at 1.6170/65, while loss of 1.61 will weaken near-term tone.

    Res: 1.6227, 1.6248, 1.6262, 1.6277
    Sup: 1.6162, 1.6124, 1.6100, 1.6075





    USD/JPY

    Extends reversal from 83.96, 16 Feb peak, has so far retraced 50% of the latest 81.10/83.96 ascend, with negative near-term studies looking for further weakness towards 82.20, 61.8% retracement, loss of which will signal return to 81.76/81.10 levels. At the upside, 82.88/83.00 area offers immediate resistance and expected to cap. Otherwise, fresh recovery attempt will focus 83.50 next.

    Res: 82.88, 83.23, 83.52, 83.73
    Sup: 82.52, 82.20, 81.76, 81.10





    USD/CHF

    Accelerates losses after yesterday’s recovery attempt from 0.9432 stalled at 0.9504. Immediate target lies at 0.9343, trendline support, ahead of 0.9327, 02 Feb higher low, and possible retest of 0.9301, historical low, break of which will open fresh bear-phase. At the upside, 0.9504 is expected to limit corrective attempts.

    Res: 0.9432, 0.9450, 0.9504, 0.9536
    Sup: 0.9353, 0.9342, 0.9327, 0.9301


  5. #305
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trend higher from yesterday’s 1.3525 base, with 1.3743, 09 Feb high tested thus far. Break here will open 1.3788/1.3824 levels, ahead of retest of key resistance at 1.3860, 02 Feb peak, above which will signal a resumption of broader uptrend from 1.2872, 10 Jan low. Higher platform at 1.3640 now underpins the advance.

    Res: 1.3743, 1.3788, 1.3824, 1.3860
    Sup: 1.3692, 1.3680, 1.3647, 1.3634






    GBP/USD

    Maintains positive tone from 1.6100, yesterday’s low, hitting 1.6272 high so far, just under 1.6277 barrier. Corrective easing remains well supported by 1.62 zone for now, with scope for break above 1.6277/97 to open way for fresh extension higher.. Immediate support lies at 1.6200/1.6185, while loss of 1.61 will weaken near-term tone.

    Res: 1.6272, 1.6277, 1.6297, 1.6330
    Sup: 1.6200, 1.6185, 1.6162, 1.6124





    USD/JPY

    Extends reversal from 83.96, 16 Feb peak, has so far retraced 50% of the latest 81.10/83.96 ascend, with negative near-term studies looking for further weakness towards 82.20, 61.8% retracement, loss of which will signal return to 81.76/81.10 levels. At the upside, 82.88/83.00 area offers immediate resistance and expected to cap. Otherwise, fresh recovery attempt will focus 83.50 next.

    Res: 82.88, 83.23, 83.52, 83.73
    Sup: 82.52, 82.20, 81.76, 81.10






    USD/CHF

    Accelerates losses after yesterday’s recovery attempt from 0.9432 stalled at 0.9504. Immediate target lies at 0.9343, trendline support, ahead of 0.9327, 02 Feb higher low, and possible retest of 0.9301, historical low, break of which will open fresh bear-phase. At the upside, 0.9432/ 0.9504 is expected to limit corrective attempts.

    Res: 0.9390, 0.9432, 0.9450, 0.9504
    Sup: 0.9353, 0.9342, 0.9327, 0.9301


  6. #306
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Clearance of 1.3743, previous high, has seen an upside extension to test 1.3785, just below 1.38 barrier, ahead of pullback. Initial support at 1.3723, 23.6% retracement of 1.3525/1.3785 upleg tested so far, with extension to 1.3690, 55 day MA and 38.2% seen, before bulls re-assert for fresh push higher. Through 1.3785/1.3800 to focus 1.3824, 03 Feb high and then key near-term resistance at 1.3860, break of which is expected to open fresh extension higher of recovery from 1.2872, 10 Jan low. Loss of 1.3690, however, would allow for stronger correction towards 1.3650 zone.

    Res: 1.3743, 1.3785, 1.3800, 1.3824
    Sup: 1.3703, 1.3692, 1.3680, 1.3647




    GBP/USD

    Remains capped at 1.6262 after renewed attempt higher stalled at 1.6253 overnight. However, near-term bulls are still in play, with latest reversal from 1.6253 losing the 1.6180 handle, and dipping to 1.6142. This sidelines scope for fresh push higher and opens 1.6100 support for retest. Break below here will signal near-term top, ahead of stronger reversal. 1.5985/57 remains key near-term support.

    Res: 1.6180, 1.6214, 1.6253, 1.6272
    Sup: 1.6142, 1.6124, 1.6100, 1.6075





    USD/JPY
    Continues to trend lower from 16 Feb high at 83.96, approaching 81.75, 08 Feb higher low and 76.4% of 81.10/83.96 ascend. Negative near-term tone looks for downside retest of key higher lows at 81.10/80.92, loss of which will signal an end of recovery phase and expose 80.24, 01 Nov 2010 15-year low. At the upside, only regain of 83.00 zone would revive hopes for fresh recovery.

    Res: 82.14, 82.31, 82.63, 82.85
    Sup: 81.82, 81.75, 81.10, 80.92






    USD/CHF

    Yesterday’s break below 0.9301 has triggered fresh weakness to post a series of record lows. Temporary support was found at 0.9272, with correction to 0.93 zone preceding fresh decline. Near-term studies remain supportive for downside extension into 0.92 initially. However, oversold hourly/daily conditions see scope for stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9301, 0.9327, 0.9345, 0.9390
    Sup: 0.9265, 0.9250, 0.9200, 0.9100


  7. #307
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Fresh strength from 1.3525, 22 Feb higher low, peaked at 1.3806, ahead of consolidation. Scope is now seen for upside test of 1.3824, before final push towards 1.3860, 02 Feb high and key near-term resistance. We need to see clear break here to resume broader recovery from 1.2872 and expose 1.3944, 76.4% retracement of 1.4280/1.2872 decline. At the downside, 1.3750/30 offers initial support, while loss of today’s low at 1.3703 would delay immediate bulls.

    Res: 1.3782, 1.3806, 1.3824, 1.3900
    Sup: 1.3750, 1.3732, 1.3703, 1.3680




    GBP/USD

    Remains capped at 1.6262 after renewed attempt higher stalled at 1.6253 overnight. However, near-term bulls are still in play, with latest reversal from 1.6253 losing the 1.6180 handle, and dipping to 1.6142. Fresh strength needs to regain minimum 1.6215, today’s intraday high, to resume gains for retest of 1.6262 and possible attack at key resistances at 1.6277/97. Otherwise, lower top and fresh weakness towards 1.6142/00, would be the likely scenario.

    Res: 1.6215, 1.6253, 1.6272, 1.6277
    Sup: 1.6142, 1.6124, 1.6100, 1.6075





    USD/JPY

    Extends weakness from 16 Feb high at 83.96, to break below 81.75, 08 Feb higher low and 76.4% of 81.10/83.96 ascend. Next targets lie at 81.10/80.92, key higher lows, loss of which will signal an end of recovery phase and expose 80.24, 01 Nov 2010 15-year low. At the upside, only regain of 83.00 zone would revive hopes for fresh recovery.

    Res: 82.15, 82.31, 82.63, 82.85
    Sup: 81.64, 81.30, 81.10, 80.92




    USD/CHF

    Yesterday’s break below 0.9301 has triggered fresh weakness to post a series of record lows. Temporary support was found at 0.9272, with correction to 0.93 zone preceding fresh decline. Near-term studies remain supportive for downside extension into 0.92 initially. However, oversold hourly/daily conditions see scope for stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9309, 0.9327, 0.9345, 0.9390
    Sup: 0.9239, 0.9200, 0.9150, 0.9100


  8. #308
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Last Friday’s failure under key near-term resistance at 1.3860, has seen a reversal to 1.3710, just above 1.3703, 34 Feb previous low, where the fresh strength emerged. Break above 1.3800 barrier is now requested to resume gains towards 1.3837, 25 Feb high and final attempt at 1.3860, break of which is needed to resume recovery from 1.2872, 10 Jan low. Upside rejection under 1.3860, however, would risk double top, ahead of fresh weakness, with loss of 1.3710 required to confirm.

    Res: 1.3793, 1.3837, 1.3860, 1.3900
    Sup: 1.3710, 1.3703, 1.3680, 1.3644




    GBP/USD

    Remains in a near-term downtrend from 1.6272/53 highs, after loss of 1.6100/1.6084 support triggered fresh downside extension to 1.6030. Recovery attempt from here has so far been capped by 1.6159/50, with sustained break above here needed to spark fresh recovery. Otherwise, focus will remain on retest of 1.6030 and 1.5957, 14 Feb low, loss of which to confirm near-term double top and open way for fresh weakness.

    Res: 1.6150, 1.6159, 1.6180, 1.6215
    Sup: 1.6071, 1.6057, 1.6030, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Extends weakness from 16 Feb high at 83.96, to break below 81.75, 08 Feb higher low and 76.4% of 81.10/83.96 ascend, reaching 81.61 so far. Corrective attempt remains capped by 82.00 zone for now, with fresh weakness looking for test of 81.10/80.92, key higher lows, loss of which will signal an end of recovery phase and expose 80.24, 01 Nov 2010 15-year low.

    Res: 82.05, 82.31, 82.63, 82.85
    Sup: 81.61, 81.30, 81.10, 80.92





    USD/CHF

    Trades in a narrow consolidative range after loss of key 0.9301 key support triggered fresh weakness to post a series of record lows, with 0.9221 low seen thus far. Near-term studies favor fresh weakness towards 0.92/0.9150 initially. Current bounce higher is seen corrective while 0.9390 caps, and only break here to signal stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9316, 0.9327, 0.9390, 0.9432
    Sup: 0.9238, 0.9221, 0.9200, 0.9150


  9. #309
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has fully retraced the recent 1.3837/1.3710 decline, extending gains to test key near-term barrier at 1.3860, posted on 02 Feb. Sustained break here will open way for fresh phase of broader upleg from 1.2872, 10 Jan low, and expose 1.3945, 76.4% retracement and 1.3972 , 09 Nov 2010 high. At the downside, 1.37 zone offers strong support.

    Res: 1.3860, 1.3900, 1.3945, 1.3972
    Sup: 1.3815, 1.3785, 1.3759, 1.3710




    GBP/USD

    Reversal from 1.6272/53 highs declined through 1.6100/1.6084 supports, finding ground at 1.6030, where the fresh strength has emerged. Gains accelerated after break above 1.61 and leaving higher low at 1.6190, ahead of return to 1.6240 so far. Immediate focus is at 1.6253/72, ahead of key barrier at 1.6297, Nov 2010 high, break of which will signal resumption of the broader uptrend from 1.5343, 28 Dec 2010 low. Overbought hourly conditions and congestion near 1.6240, warn of correction, but while 1.6160 holds, near-term bulls remain in play. Below the latter will sideline immediate bulls.

    Res: 1.6240, 1.6253, 1.6272, 1.6277
    Sup: 1.6215, 1.6185, 1.6160, 1.6135





    USD/JPY

    Trades in near-term corrective mode, after finding temporary support at 81.61. However, gains were so far capped by 82.00 zone, with clear break here required to signal fresh recovery under way and open 82.30/50, ahead of 82.85/83.06 next. Failure to clear 82.00 would suggest an extension of broader weakness and open 81.55, trendline connecting 80.24/92 lows, and below 81.10/80.92 lows.

    Res: 81.94, 82.05, 82.31, 82.63
    Sup: 81.75, 81.30, 81.55, 81.10





    USD/CHF

    Trades in a narrow consolidative range after loss of key 0.9301 key support triggered fresh weakness to post a series of record lows, with 0.9221 low seen thus far. Near-term studies favor fresh weakness towards 0.92/0.9150 initially. Current bounce higher is seen corrective while 0.9390 caps, and only break here to signal stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9316, 0.9327, 0.9390, 0.9432
    Sup: 0.9238, 0.9221, 0.9200, 0.9150


  10. #310
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Yesterday’s attack at key resistance at 1.3860 stalled at 1.3854, fresh yearly high, ahead of correction into 1.38 zone. The near-term uptrend remains intact while 1.37 support holds, with scope for renewed attempt at 1.3860, above which will open fresh leg higher and bring 1.4280, 04 Nov 2010 high, to focus.

    Res: 1.3829, 1.3854, 1.3860, 1.3900
    Sup: 1.3779, 1.3759, 1.3710, 1.3647




    GBP/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.6272/53 has seen a dip to 1.6030, where support was found, and upside break above 1.61 barrier has accelerated gains through 1.6253/72 barriers, to test key resistance at 1.6297, 04 Nov 2010 high. Sustained break here is needed to open fresh phase higher from 1.5343, 28 Dec 2010 higher low and expose 1.6456, Jan 2010 peak. Rejection at 1.63 would trigger fresh reversal, with 1.6030 expected to contain.

    Res: 1.6287, 1.6298, 1.6371, 1.6456
    Sup: 1.6250, 1.6215, 1.6185, 1.6160





    USD/JPY

    Attempts to build near-term base after finding support at 81.61 and bounce from here breaking above 82.00 initial resistance. Immediate targets lie at 82.50/85, while break above 83.00 to confirm recovery for attempt at 83.96/84.49 barriers. Upside rejection under 82.85 would risk lower top, ahead of fresh weakness, and below 81.61 to target 81.10/80.92 next.

    Res: 81.94, 82.05, 82.31, 82.63
    Sup: 82.05, 81.90, 81.72, 81.61





    USD/CHF

    Remains in a near-term corrective mode, after hitting fresh record low at 0.9221 on 25 Feb. Clearance of initial barrier at 0.9315 will focus 0.9390, ahead of 0.9430, 21 Feb former low / 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9773/0.9221 descend, and then 0.95 zone, near 50%, break of which is needed to confirm recovery, otherwise, lower top under 0.95 and fresh weakness towards 0.9221, would likely scenario.

    Res: 0.9320, 0.9390, 0.9430, 0.9504
    Sup: 0.9258, 0.9238, 0.9221, 0.9200


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