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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #311
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Renewed attempt at 1.3860 barrier failed just under yesterday’s high at 1.3854. Immediate reversal has so far been contained by 1.38 zone, with near-term bulls remaining in play while 1.3710/00 stays intact. Above 1.3860 to eye 1.40, possibly to attempt at 1.4280, 04 Nov 2010 high, in a near future.

    Res: 1.3831, 1.3854, 1.3860, 1.3900
    Sup: 1.3804, 1.3785, 1.3779, 1.3759






    GBP/USD

    Today’s strength from 1.6250 support, finally cleared key barrier at 1.6297, extending gains to fresh yearly low at 1.6328. Corrective pullback was contained by 1.6250, ahead of fresh push higher, and through 1.6328 to focus 1.6400/56 next.

    Res: 1.6298, 1.6328, 1.6371, 1.6400
    Sup: 1.6250, 1.6215, 1.6185, 1.6160





    USD/JPY

    Attempts to build near-term base after finding support at 81.61 and bounce from here breaking above 82.00 initial resistance. Immediate targets lie at 82.50/85, while break above 83.00 to confirm recovery for attempt at 83.96/84.49 barriers. Upside rejection under 82.85 would risk lower top, ahead of fresh weakness, and below 81.61 to target 81.10/80.92 next.

    Res: 82.23, 82.31, 82.85, 83.00
    Sup: 82.00, 81.90, 81.72, 81.61





    USD/CHF

    Trades in a near-term corrective mode, after hitting fresh record low at 0.9221 on 25 Feb. Clearance of initial barrier at 0.9315 will focus 0.9390, ahead of 0.9430, 21 Feb former low / 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9773/0.9221 descend, and then 0.95 zone, near 50%, break of which is needed to confirm recovery, otherwise, lower top under 0.95 and fresh weakness towards 0.9221, would likely scenario.

    Res: 0.9320, 0.9390, 0.9430, 0.9504
    Sup: 0.9283, 0.9258, 0.9238, 0.9221


  2. #312
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Key resistance at 1.3860 remains intact for now, as yesterday’s repeated attempt to break higher failed at 1.3850. Subsequent reversal has so far find footstep at 1.3750 zone, with key near-term support at 1.37 required to hold dips to keep immediate bulls in play for fresh attack at 1.3860, break of which to open 1.40 are for test. Loss of 1.37 handle, however, will sideline bulls and allow for further correction towards 1.3690/50, 50% and 61.8% retracement of 1.3525/1.3854 upleg.

    Res: 1.3785, 1.3804, 1.3854, 1.3860
    Sup: 1.3742, 1.3710, 1.3700, 1.3690





    GBP/USD

    Break above key 1.6297 résistance has seen upside extension to 1.6328, but failed to sustain gains, with subsequent pullback retracing 38.2% of 1.6030/1.1.6328 upleg at 1.6215. Near-term outlook has turned negative, looking for further reversal towards 1.6180/45, Fibonacci levels, while 1.6280, previous range ceiling holds. Only above here would attract fresh attempt above 1.63 .

    Res: 1.6246, 1.6280, 1.6298, 1.6328
    Sup: 1.6215, 1.6180, 1.6160, 1.6145





    USD/JPY

    Attempts to build near-term base after finding support at 81.61 and bounce from here breaking above 82.00 initial resistance. Immediate targets lie at 82.50/85, while break above 83.00 to confirm recovery for attempt at 83.96/84.49 barriers. Upside rejection under 82.85 would risk lower top, ahead of fresh weakness, and below 81.61 to target 81.10/80.92 next.

    Res: 82.23, 82.31, 82.85, 83.00
    Sup: 81.78, 81.61, 81.55, 81.10





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trade in a narrow corrective/consolidative range, after hitting fresh record low at 0.9221 on 25 Feb. Clearance of initial barrier at 0.9315 will focus 0.9390, ahead of 0.9430, 21 Feb former low / 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9773/0.9221 descend, and then 0.95 zone, near 50%, break of which is needed to confirm recovery, otherwise, lower top under 0.95 and fresh weakness towards 0.9221, would likely scenario.

    Res: 0.9320, 0.9390, 0.9430, 0.9504
    Sup: 0.9269, 0.9258, 0.9238, 0.9221


  3. #313
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:40 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Regains strength again after the latest upside rejection under 1.3860 barrier found footstep at 1.3742 today, leaving a higher low, ahead of rally and eventual break of 1.3860, key near-term resistance. Sustained break here opens way for fresh leg higher and exposes 1.40 zone near-term. At the downside, 1.3742 underpins the advance while loss of 1.37 would signal near-term top and fresh weakness ahead, with immediate focus at 1.3690/50.

    Res: 1.3863, 1.3884, 1.3900, 1.3974
    Sup: 1.3803, 1.3780, 1.3742, 1.3710





    GBP/USD

    Pullback from yesterday’s double top at 1.6328, reached 1.6215, 38.2% retracement of 1.6030/1.6328 ascend, where good support was found for fresh push higher. Market has so far reached 1.6322, and while above 1.63, scope remains for fresh phase higher and gains towards 1.6456, Jan 2010 high. Immediate support lies at 1.6277, today’s spike low, while break below 1.6215 higher low will soften the structure.

    Res: 1.6246, 1.6280, 1.6298, 1.6328
    Sup: 1.6271, 1.6245, 1.6215, 1.6198





    USD/JPY

    Attempts to build near-term base after finding support at 81.61 were capped by 82.23/06, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 81.61/57, previous low / trendline support, will bring into focus 81.10/80.92, 04 Feb / 03 Jan lows, ahead of possible attempt at 80.24, 15 year low. At the upside, break above 82.23 is required to continue near-term correction, but clearance of 82.50/86 to confirm.

    Res:82.06, 82.23, 82.31, 82.85
    Sup: 81.61, 81.55, 81.10, 80.92





    USD/CHF

    Returns to weakness after corrective attempt from fresh record low at 0.9221 was capped by 0.9320 zone, with loss of 0.9250, recent range floor, turning focus lower. Loss of 0.9221 will signal fresh phase lower and eye 0.91 level next. To ease immediate bear pressure, regain of 0.9320 and 0.9390 barriers is required.

    Res: 0.9279, 0.9320, 0.9390, 0.9430
    Sup: 0.9221, 0.9200, 0.9150, 0.9100


  4. #314
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Surge through 1.3889/1.3900 highs has cleared 1.3950 Fibonacci 76.4% level, extending gains to 1.3969, en-route to 1.40 barrier. Near-term studies are supportive but overbought conditions suggest correction preceding fresh rally. Immediate support at 1.3890/80, while below 1.3830 to risk deeper pullback into 1.38/1.3745.

    Res: 1.3969, 1.4000, 1.4083, 1.4100
    Sup: 1.3940, 1.3890, 1.3845, 1.3803





    GBP/USD

    Has posted a fresh high at 1.6342 after pullback from double top at 1.6328 reached 1.6215, 38.2% retracement of 1.6030/1.6328 ascend, where good support was found. Brief break above 1.6328 has seen 1.6342, ahead of reversal to 1.6257, before test of 1.63 handle. Clearance of 1.6330/42 is needed to resume higher, while 1.6215 offers initial support, and possible loss here to signal a pause in current rally, in favor of stronger correction.

    Res: 1.6331, 1.6342, 1.6371, 1.6456
    Sup: 1.6257, 1.6245, 1.6215, 1.6185





    USD/JPY

    Extends near-term strength after bouncing from 81.57, trendline support, and clearance of 82.00/10 barrier, attempting through 82.23, previous high. This will turn immediate tone positive and look for fresh correction towards 82.90/83.05, break of which to sideline immediate bears. At the downside, 81.75 needs to hold.

    Res: 82.48, 82.75, 82.90, 83.05
    Sup: 82.10, 81.76, 81.57, 81.10





    USD/CHF

    The latest bounce from 0.9200, fresh record low, attempts at 0.9320 resistance, clearance of which is needed to spark fresh recovery and open 0.9390/0.9406, 23 Feb high / 38.2% retracement of 0.9737/0.9200 downleg, and above here to focus 0.9470/0.9504 next. Early upside rejection, however, risks a lower top and resumption of the broader downtrend.

    Res: 0.9320, 0.9390, 0.9406, 0.9470
    Sup: 0.9232, 0.9221, 0.9200, 0.9150


  5. #315
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Trades in a narrow consolidative range after brief break through psychological barrier at 1.40 failed to sustain gains. Near-term studies remain supportive for fresh attempt at 1.40, with clear break to expose 1.4083/1.4100 next, ahead of key resistance at 1.4280, Nov 2010 lower high and trendline resistance, currently at 1.4307. Overbought daily studies, however, see scope for correction, with 1.3860/30 zone offering initial support.
    Maintains positive tone after spike to 1.40 level was followed by sharp reversal to 1.3940. Retest of 1.40 and extension towards 1.4083/1.41 zone on a break remains favored, while 1.3940/24 offers immediate support, while 1.3860, former high, underpins the advance.

    Res: 1.4005, 1.4050, 1.4083, 1.4100
    Sup: 1.3940, 1.3924, 1.3890, 1.3845




    GBP/USD

    Reversal from 1.6342, 02 Mar fresh high has so far been contained by 1.6240/30 zone, with fresh strength looking for test 1.63 zone. Sustained break here will open 1.6342 for retest, and possible extension towards 1.6371 and 1.6456. At the downside, loss of 1.6230/14 supports will allow for stronger correction towards key near-term support at 1.6030.

    Res: 1.6281, 1.6295, 1.6314, 1.6342
    Sup: 1.6234, 1.6214, 1.6185, 1.6132





    USD/JPY

    Has spiked to 83.05, 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 downleg, ahead of sharp reversal. Previous high at 82.50, now reverted to support, has been lost, turning the near-term tone negative. Break below 82.00 handle will turn focus towards 81.70/57, ahead of 81.10/80.92, key support zone. At the upside, 82.30/50 caps for now.

    Res: 82.30, 82.50, 82.75, 82.90
    Sup: 81.92, 81.76, 81.57, 81.10





    USD/CHF

    Recovery attempt from 0.9200 low has so far been capped by 0.9320 zone, with the latest weakness retracing nearly 61.8% of 0.9200/0.9320 ascend, and turning immediate tone negative. However, while above 0.9220, scope exists for fresh recovery attempt, though, regain of 0.9320 is required to confirm, otherwise return to 0.9200 and fresh record lows on a break, would be the likely scenario.

    Res: 0.9274, 0.9290, 0.9318, 0.9327
    Sup: 0.9221, 0.9200, 0.9150, 0.9100


  6. #316
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Failure to sustain gains above 1.40 psychological barrier and 4-hour bull channel ceiling has seen reversal below 1.40, after hitting fresh 4-month high at 1.4035. The pair extends lower after initial support was found at 1.3955, with further reversal seen towards 1.3860, former high, where a higher low is anticipated ahead of fresh push higher. Clear break above 1.4000/35 will open 1.4083/1.4100 next.

    Res: 1.3987, 1.4005, 1.4035, 1.4050
    Sup: 1.3924, 1.3890, 1.3860, 1.3845




    GBP/USD

    Upside remains intact for now, as yesterday’s renewed attempt at 1.6342 failed, with subsequent reversal losing supports at 1.6234/14, and extending losses to 1.6181, over 50% of Fibonacci retracement of 1.6030/1.6342 upleg. Near-term outlook has turned negative, looking for fresh weakness towards 1.6160/45, 25 Feb high / 61.8% retracement, while 1.6205/34 offers immediate resistance and caps the upside for now.

    Res: 1.6207, 1.6214, 1.6234, 1.6255
    Sup: 1.6170, 1.6160, 1.6145, 1.6132





    USD/JPY

    Returns to strength after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high dipped to 81.94, where a footstep was found. Upside clearance of 82.40 looks for fresh attempt at 83.00 zone, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to confirm recovery mode from 81.57 and re-expose 84.00/84.49 key short-term resistance zone. Failure under 83.05, however, would suggest an end of recovery phase, with loss of 82.20/05, 20 day MA / trendline support , needed to confirm.

    Res: 82.46, 82.75, 82.90, 83.05
    Sup: 82.20, 81.94, 81.76, 81.57





    USD/CHF

    Continues to trade within 100 pips range after bounce from fresh record low at 0.9200 was limited by 0.9327, 02 Feb former low / 04 Mar high. Fresh strength is underway, approaching 0.9327 barrier, with sustained break higher required to signal fresh recovery towards 0.9415/32, 38.2% retracement / 21Feb former low. Extremely overbought hourly conditions, however, warn of correction, with immediate support seen at 0.9275.

    Res: 0.9342, 0.9390, 0.9415, 0.9432
    Sup: 0.9320, 0.9302, 0.9275, 0.9234



  7. #317
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.4035 has triggered fresh weakness under 1.40 zone. After finding initial support at 1.3950, losses accelerated after break here, to probe under 1.39 level. Previous high at 1.3860 is in focus, ahead of 1.3830 and 1.3800, 38.2% retracement of 1.3427/1.4035 ascend, above which higher low is expected, to keep near-term bulls in play for renewed attempt through 1.40 barrier. Otherwise, fresh weakness below 1.38, towards 1.3725/00, would be the next step.

    Res: 1.3910, 1.3942, 1.3955, 1.3987
    Sup: 1.3860, 1.3845, 1.3803, 1.3725




    GBP/USD

    Extends reversal from 1.6342 after short consolidation above 1.6180 today. Break below 1.6145, 61.8% retracement of 1.6030/1.6342 ascend, now brings 1.6089/71 in focus, ahead of possible full retracement at 1.6030. Oversold conditions, however, see scope for corrective bounce, with 1.6205 expected to cap, to maintain immediate bears.


    Res: 1.6165, 1.6181, 1.6205, 1.6214
    Sup: 1.6118, 1.6089, 1.6071, 1.6030





    USD/JPY

    Returns to strength after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high dipped to 81.94, where a footstep was found. Clearance of 82.40 now attempt at 83.00 zone, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to confirm recovery mode from 81.57 and re-expose 84.00/84.49 key short-term resistance zone. Failure under 83.05, however, would suggest an end of recovery phase, with loss of 82.20/05, 20 day MA / trendline support, needed to confirm.

    Res: 82.85, 83.05, 83.23, 83.52
    Sup: 82.45, 82.20, 81.94, 81.76





    USD/CHF

    Fresh strength from 0.9234 higher low broke above 0.9327 resistance, to confirm near-term floor at 0.9221/00. Focus is now at 0.9415/32, 38.2% retracement / 21Feb former low, break of which is required to confirm recovery and open way towards 0.9504/37 next. Overbought hourly conditions, however, warn of correction, with immediate support at 0.9300/0.9275.

    Res: 0.9390, 0.9415, 0.9432, 0.9504
    Sup: 0.9333, 0.9320, 0.9302, 0.9275


  8. #318
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Pullback from 1.4035 fresh high, has so far retraced over 50% of the 1.3710/1.4035 upleg, trading in a narrow consolidative range, after overnight’s failure to sustain gains above 1.39, with 1.3870/60, key near-term support area, holding the downside. Near-term outlook, however, remains negative, favoring break below 1.3860, to open way for further weakness towards 1.3830/00, before bulls re-assert for fresh push higher, as bullish daily studies keep focus at 1.4000/35, break of which to expose 1.4280/1.4307.

    Res: 1.3923, 1.3942, 1.3955, 1.3987
    Sup: 1.3860, 1.3845, 1.3803, 1.3725





    GBP/USD

    Extends the near-term weakness after upside rejection at 1.6234, with yesterday’s consolidative/corrective attempt being capped by 1.62 zone. Fresh weakness has so far reached 1.6124, near 76.4% retracement of 1.6030/1.6342 upleg, above which consolidation is under way. While 1.6205 holds the upside, near-term focus remains towards 1.61/1.6070 zone, ahead of possible return to 1.6030, 25 Feb low and key near-term support.

    Res: 1.6186, 1.6205, 1.6214, 1.6234
    Sup: 1.6139, 1.6124, 1.6089, 1.6071





    USD/JPY

    Maintains near-term positive tone after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high found support at 81.94. Market has so far reached 82.92, just ahead of key 83.05 barrier, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to resume recovery and expose 83.52/96, with possible attempt at 84.49, key short-term resistance. Failure under 83.05, however, would risk lower top.

    Res: 82.92, 83.05, 83.23, 83.52
    Sup: 82.59, 82.45, 82.20, 81.94





    USD/CHF

    Fresh strength from 0.9234 higher low broke above 0.9327 resistance, to confirm near-term floor at 0.9221/00. Consolidation below 0.9365, fresh 2-week high is under way, with 0.9327/00 zone offering support. Focus is at 0.9415/32, 38.2% retracement / 21Feb former low, break of which is required to confirm recovery and open way towards 0.9504/37 next.
    Res: 0.9365, 0.9390, 0.9415, 0.9432
    Sup: 0.9327, 0.9302, 0.9275, 0.9221


  9. #319
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery attempt from today’s low at 1.3854 peaked at 1.3940, with subsequent reversal back to 1.39 zone. This is seen as correction of the broader downmove from 1.4035 while 1.3940 caps, with risk of return to 1.3860 support zone and possible extension to 1.3830, 03 Mar low and 1.3803, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Break above 1.3940, however, will signal fresh recovery under way and expose 1.3955/87 instead.

    Res: 1.3940, 1.3955, 1.3987, 1.4013
    Sup: 1.3860, 1.3845, 1.3803, 1.3725





    GBP/USD

    Pullback from 1.6234 high extended losses to 1.6124, just above trendline connecting 1.5750 and 1.6030, followed by a bounce. Clearance of 1.6205 resistance reached 1.6241, over 50% of the latest 1.6234/1.124 downleg, where a temporary ceiling was found. Immediate pullback is seen corrective while 1.6169, 20 day MA holds, with higher low to precede fresh attempt higher. Above 1.6241 to expose 1.6257, 61.8% and confirm near-term floor ahead of attempt towards 1.6342. Loss of 1.6169/24 supports, however, will signal a fresh leg lower and focus 1.6030, 25 Feb higher low.

    Res: 1.6218, 1.6241, 1.6257, 1.6287
    Sup: 1.6169, 1.6139, 1.6124, 1.6089





    USD/JPY

    Maintains near-term positive tone after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high found support at 81.94. Market has so far reached 82.92, just ahead of key 83.05 barrier, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to resume recovery and expose 83.52/96, with possible attempt at 84.49, key short-term resistance. Failure under 83.05, however, would risk lower top.

    Res: 82.92, 83.05, 83.23, 83.52
    Sup: 82.59, 82.45, 82.20, 81.94





    USD/CHF

    Fresh strength from 0.9234 higher low broke above 0.9327 resistance, extending recovery to 0.9367, ahead of reversal. Fresh losses through 0.9327/00 support zone weaken the near-term tone, for possible return to 0.9221/00 area. Higher low above 0.9221, with regain of 0.9335 is needed to avert immediate downside risk and open 0.9367 for retest.

    Res: 0.9307, 0.9335, 0.9367, 0.9390
    Sup: 0.9267, 0.9234, 0.9221, 0.9200


  10. #320
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extends reversal from 1.4035 after recovery attempt from 1.3860 failed at 1.3940. Fresh weakness broke below 1.3860 support to hit 1.3800, 38.2% retracement of 1.3427/1.4035 ascend so far. Negative near-term outlook sees scope for further downside, with 1.3744, 02 Mar low, 1.3731, 50% and 1.3710, 28 Feb low now in focus. Oversold hourly and 4-hour conditions, however, suggest correction higher before fresh attempt lower, while 1.3940 expected to cap.

    Res: 1.3854, 1.3880, 1.3923, 1.3940
    Sup: 1.3800, 1.3744, 1.3731, 1.3710






    GBP/USD

    Remains on the back foot after yesterday’s recovery attempt from 1.6124 stalled at 1.6240. Fresh weakness is under way, approaching first support at 1.6134, trendline drawn off 1.5750, ahead of 1.6124. Break here will signal an end of recovery phase and expose 1.6030/1.5957, key near-term supports. Only break above 1.6240 will turn near-term focus higher.

    Res: 1.6175, 1.6189, 1.6212, 1.6222
    Sup: 1.6134, 1.6124, 1.6089, 1.6030





    USD/JPY

    Maintains near-term positive tone after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high found support at 81.94. Market has so far reached 82.95, just ahead of key 83.05 barrier, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to resume recovery and expose 83.52/96, with possible attempt at 84.49, key short-term resistance. Failure under 83.05, however, would risk lower top.

    Res: 82.95, 83.05, 83.23, 83.52
    Sup: 82.71, 82.59, 82.45, 82.20





    USD/CHF

    Fresh strength from 0.9234 higher low broke above 0.9327 resistance, extending recovery to 0.9367, ahead of reversal. Fresh losses through 0.9327/00 support zone weaken the near-term tone, for possible return to 0.9221/00 area. Current attempt to leave a higher low above 0.9221 cleared first barrier at 0.9335, en-route to 0.9367, break of which is needed to signal fresh recovery phase and open 0.9390/0.9417.


    Res: 0.9345, 0.9367, 0.9390, 0.9417
    Sup: 0.9309, 0.9279, 0.9267, 0.9234


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