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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #321
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Near-term outlook remains negative after leaving a lower top at 1.3940 and extending losses to 1.38, 38.2% Fibonacci level, with subsequent bounce being short-lived. Renewed weakness dented 1.38 support, break of which will eye 1.3742/10 next, while upside stays limited by 1.3854/70, yesterday’s low / 20 day MA.

    Res: 1.3854, 1.3870, 1.3923, 1.3940
    Sup: 1.3794, 1.3742, 1.3731, 1.3710





    GBP/USD

    Extends weakness from 1.6240, yesterday’s lower high, losing 1.6134/24 support zone, as well as 1.61 handle. This confirms near-term top, with immediate focus at 1.6030/1.5957, 25/14 Feb lows. Oversold hourly studies suggest correction, with 1.6124 offering initial resistance, ahead of 1.6195.

    Res: 1.6124, 1.6175, 1.6195, 1.6212
    Sup: 1.6063, 1.6030, 1.6000, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Remains in a near-term uptrend from 81.94, 07 Mar low, with the latest push higher from 82.57 higher, eventually breaking above 83.05 barrier. Sustained gains above here will turn focus to 83.52/86, above which to eye key barriers at 83.37/49, 200 day MA and 15 Dec 2010 range ceiling. Immediate support lies at 82.57/53, yesterday’s low / 20 day MA.

    Res: 83.16, 83.23, 83.52, 83.96
    Sup: 82.71, 82.55, 82.45, 82.20





    USD/CHF

    Temporary support was found at 0.9267 yesterday, after gains through 0.9327, previous high, stalled at 0.9367. Fresh gains are now approaching 0.9367 barrier, with break here to resume recovery from 0.9200 record low, and open 0.9390/0.9417. However, failure to clear 0.9367 would risk return to 0.9267.

    Res: 0.9367, 0.9390, 0.9417, 0.9454
    Sup: 0.9309, 0.9279, 0.9267, 0.9234


  2. #322
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Returns to strength after the recent pullback from 1.4035 high, retraced early 50% of 1.33427/1.4035 upleg, and found support at 1.3751. Regain of 1.39 handle keeps the near-term outlook bullish, focusing 1.40 and 1.4035, break of which to open a fresh phase higher. Immediate support lies at 1.3915, while 1.3860, 20 day MA underpins the advance.

    Res: 1.3952, 1.3969, 1.4000, 1.4035
    Sup: 1.3915, 1.3900, 1.3860, 1.3840





    GBP/USD

    Remains at the back foot after recovery from Friday’s fresh low at 1.5976 was capped at 1.61. Holding below 1.6125/00 barriers, keep the near-term tone negative, with scope for fresh weakness through 1.5976, to target 1.5957, 14 Feb low and recent range floor, loss of which would signal further retracement of 1.5343/1.6342 upleg.

    Res: 1.6077, 1.6098, 1.6124, 1.6175
    Sup: 1.6026, 1.6000, 1.5976, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Upside rejection at 83.29 has seen sharp fall through trendline support at 81.67, with spike low at 80.59, ahead of strong bounce above 82.00, where a 20 day MA currently lies. Holding above the latter keeps immediate tone positive, with regain of 82.45/60 zone required to open 83.00/29 barriers for retest. Losing 82.00/81.65 support, will turn focus lower.

    Res: 82.25, 82.45, 82.60, 83.05
    Sup: 82.03, 81.65, 81.29, 80.57





    USD/CHF

    Near-term recovery from 0.9200, fresh record low, has so far been limited by 0.9360 zone, with subsequent reversal finding support at 92.70 zone for now. Upside clearance of 20 day MA, currently at 0.9314, is needed to re-focus 0.9360/67 barriers, break of which will open fresh upleg of recovery phase from 0.92. At the downside, 0.9270/55 supports the advance.


    Res:0.9357, 0.9367, 0.9390, 0.9417, 0.9454
    Sup: 0.9294, 0.9270, 0.9266, 0.9255


  3. #323
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Bounce from 1.3751, Friday’s low, holds gains above 1.39 support and today’s low, with 1.3979 seen so far, just ahead of 1.3987, 08 Mar previous high. Near-term outlook remains bullish, but overbought hourly conditions see scope for correction. 1.3900/1.3892, today’s low / 38.2% retracement of 1.3751/1.3979 upleg should hold dips to maintain immediate bulls for attempt at 1.4000/35.

    Res: 1.3979, 1.4000, 1.4018, 1.4035
    Sup: 1.3941, 1.3915, 1.3900, 1.3892





    GBP/USD

    Clearance of 1.61 barrier has triggered fresh extension of bounce from 1.5976, last Friday’s low, to reach 1.6145, just above 1.6035, 38.2% retracement of 1.6241/1.5976 downleg. This increases hopes of further recovery and test of 1.6195/1.6212, resistances, ahead of 1.6241, 09 Mar lower high. Correction on overbought hourly studies sees immediate support at 1.6100/1.6085, with further reversal towards 1.6060 not ruled out, before bulls re-assert. Only loss of 1.6040/25 will signal an end of recovery attempt and re-expose 1.5976/57.

    Res: 1.6149, 1.6175, 1.6195, 1.6212
    Sup: 1.6100, 1.6085, 1.6060, 1.6040





    USD/JPY

    Near-term outlook weakens again after strong recovery from 80.59 spike low, surged through 82.00 barrier, to reach 82.45 high. Failure to hold gains above 82.00 has seen a return below here, to re-focus 81.60/10 zone, while 82.45 caps the upside.

    Res: 82.00, 82.25, 82.45, 82.60
    Sup: 81.72, 81.65, 81.29, 80.57





    USD/CHF

    Near-term recovery from 0.9200, fresh record low, has so far been limited by 0.9360 zone, with subsequent reversal breaking below 0.9270/55 support zone. This maintains negative near-term tone and focuses 0.9234/21, previous low, ahead of eventual attempt at key support at 0.9200, loss of which will open fresh phase lower. At the upside, 0.9300/15 caps for now, and only break here to ease immediate bear pressure.

    Res:0.9357, 0.9367, 0.9390, 0.9417
    Sup: 0.9240, 0.9234, 0.9221, 0.9200


  4. #324
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Sours the near-term outlook after yesterday’s rejection at 1.40 barrier and subsequent reversal under 1.39 level. Immediate support lies at 1.3885, 20 day MA at 4-hour chart, with break here to signal lower top at 1.40 and risk further weakness towards 1.3877, 50% of 1.3751/1.4002 ascend and1.3850, 61.8% retracement. At the upside, 1.3946/63 caps for now.

    Res: 1.3946, 1.3963, 1.3979, 1.4002
    Sup: 1.3892, 1.3885, 1.3877, 1.3850





    GBP/USD

    Yesterday’s break through 1.61 barrier has triggered fresh gains that failed at 1.62 resistance. Sharp reversal reached 1.6050 low, just above 1.6026, yesterday’s higher low, turning near-term tone negative. Today’s recovery attempt rejection at 1.6137, caps for now, with 1.6026 and key near-term support at 1.5976 in sight. Loss of the recent range floor and 55 day MA at 1.5976/57 would confirm short-term top at 1.6340 and open way for fresh weakness.

    Res: 1.6097, 1.6110, 1.6137, 1.6156
    Sup: 1.6050, 1.6026, 1.6010, 1.5976





    USD/JPY

    Near-term outlook weakens again after strong recovery from 80.59 spike low, surged through 82.00 barrier, to reach 82.45 high. Failure to hold gains above 82.00 has seen a return below the latter, with 81.22 seen so far, en-route to 80.59/24 zone. At the upside, 82.00 offers immediate resistance.

    Res: 81.86, 82.00, 82.25, 82.45
    Sup: 81.22, 81.10, 80.57, 80.24





    USD/CHF

    Near-term recovery from 0.9200, fresh record low, has so far been limited by 0.9360 zone, with subsequent reversal breaking below 0.9270/55 supports, to break below 0.9221, 04 Mar previous low. This maintains negative near-term tone and keeps focus at key support at 0.9200, loss of which will open fresh phase lower. At the upside, 0.9250/87 offers initial resistance, while regain of 0.9300/14 needed to signal recovery.

    Res: 0.9250, 0.9287, 0.9300, 0.9314
    Sup: 0.9212, 0.9200, 0.9150, 0.9100


  5. #325
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Reversal from 1.4002, yesterday’s peak, has retraced near 61.8% of 1.3751/1.4002 upleg at 1.3854, where temporary support was found. Fresh strength attempts at 1.3946/63 resistance zone, break of which will re-focus 1.4002/35, otherwise, failure risks higher low and fresh leg lower and expose key near-term support at 1.3850, below which will look for 1.3851, 11 Mar low.

    Res: 1.3963, 1.3979, 1.4002, 1.4035
    Sup: 1.3920, 1.3892, 1.3854, 1.3839





    GBP/USD

    Extended decline, following upside rejection at 1.6200, to fully retrace the recent 1.5976/1.6200 upleg. Correction on oversold conditions is under way, with 1.6090 offering initial resistance, where a lower high is anticipated ahead of resumption of near-term downtrend, and below 1.5976 to focus 1.5957, range bottom, loss of which will confirm short-term top at 1.6340 and trigger fresh phase lower. Only break above 1.6137 to ease immediate bear pressure and re-focus 1.6200/41.

    Res: 1.6076, 1.6090, 1.6110, 1.6137
    Sup: 1.6000, 1.5976, 1.5957, 1.5910





    USD/JPY

    Near-term outlook weakens again after strong recovery from 80.59 spike low, surged through 82.00 barrier, to reach 82.45 high. Failure to hold gains above 82.00 has sparked fresh weakness below 81.00, targeting 80.59/24, key support zone, loss of which will expose 15-year low at 79.75. At the upside, 82.00/45 is expected to cap.

    Res: 81.22, 81.41, 81.86, 82.00
    Sup: 80.71, 80.57, 80.24, 80.00





    USD/CHF

    Near-term recovery from 0.9200, fresh record low, has so far been limited by 0.9360 zone, with subsequent reversal breaking below 0.9270/55 supports, to break below 0.9221, 04 Mar previous low and key support at 0.9200, to post fresh historical lows. Further weakness looks for test of 0.9140/00 next, while oversold hourly conditions see scope for correction preceding fresh decline. 0.9250 offers immediate resistance.

    Res: 0.9204, 0.9250, 0.9287
    Sup: 0.9162, 0.9140, 0.9100, 0.9050


  6. #326
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Trades just under 1.40 barrier after support was found at 1.3854 and fresh strength briefly broke above 1.40. The latter still acts as strong resistance, though, near-term studies remain positive, and while 1.3854 underpins, scope is seen for fresh attempt through 1.4000/35 to signal an upside resumption towards 1.4100 next.

    Res: 1.4002, 1.4035, 1.4050, 1.4100
    Sup: 1.3963, 1.3920, 1.3854, 1.3839





    GBP/USD

    Attempts to form near-term double bottom at 1.5975, as fresh strength remains supported at 1.6050. Break above 1.6100 barrier would signal further extension towards 1.6137 barrier, break of which is needed to confirm and expose 1.6200 next. Below 1.6050, however, weakens immediate outlook.

    Res: 1.6100, 1.6120, 1.6137, 1.6200
    Sup: 1.6050, 1.6000, 1.5976, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Near-term outlook weakens again after strong recovery from 80.59 spike low, surged through 82.00 barrier, to reach 82.45 high. Failure to hold gains above 82.00 has sparked fresh weakness below 81.00, has so far tested 80.60, ahead of 80.24 key support, loss of which will expose 15-year low at 79.75. At the upside, 82.00/45 is expected to cap.

    Res: 81.16, 81.41, 81.86, 82.00
    Sup: 80.24, 80.00, 79.75, 79.50





    USD/CHF

    Extends weakness after 0.9360 capped the recovery attempt, with loss 0.9200 support triggering fall to post fresh record low at 0.9139. Correction is under way, with 0.9200/45, previous low / 20 day MA, offering initial resistance. However, regain of 0.9360 barrier is needed to signal stronger recovery.

    Res: 0.9196, 0.9204, 0.9220, 0.9245
    Sup: 0.9150, 0.9139, 0.9100, 0.9050


  7. #327
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Upside remains capped at 1.40 near-term with latest pullback extending through 20 day MA at 1.3940 and retracing over 61.8% of 1.3854/1.4012 ascend. While 1.40 intact, immediate scope is seen for possible probe under 1.39 and retest of 1.3854, break of which will confirm double top and open way for fresh weakness towards 1.3751.
    Trades just under 1.40 barrier after support was found at 1.3854 and fresh strength briefly broke above 1.40. The latter still acts as strong resistance, though, near-term studies remain positive, and while 1.3854 underpins, scope is seen for fresh attempt through 1.4000/35 to signal an upside resumption towards 1.4100 next.

    Res: 1.4002, 1.4035, 1.4050, 1.4100
    Sup: 1.3911, 1.3862, 1.3854, 1.3839





    GBP/USD

    Fails to sustain gains above 1.61, with subsequent reversal attempting at 1.6050 support and overnight low. Break here will end hopes of forming double bottom and return 1.5976/57, short-term range floor, back in focus. At the upside, 1.6130/37 offers initial resistance, and sustained break higher needed to revive bulls.

    Res: 1.6116, 1.6130, 1.6137, 1.6200
    Sup: 1.6047, 1.6000, 1.5976, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Maintains negative tone after upside rejection at 82.45, to extend losses through 80.59, 14 Mar spike low, to 80.44 today. Immediate focus lies at 80.24, 15 year low, break of which will expose 79.75, 1995 record low. At the upside, 82.00/45 is expected to cap.

    Res: 81.16, 81.41, 81.86, 82.00
    Sup: 80.24, 80.00, 79.75, 79.50





    USD/CHF

    Extends weakness after 0.9360 capped the recovery attempt, with loss of 0.9200 support triggering fall to post fresh record low at 0.9139. Subsequent corrective attempt was short-lived, as 0.92 capped, with fresh low posted at 0.9130. Studies remain negative, despite being in oversold zone, with 0.9100 seen next.

    Res: 0.9196, 0.9204, 0.9220, 0.9245
    Sup: 0.9139, 0.9130, 0.9100, 0.9050


  8. #328
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Trades within 1.3854/1.4000 range following repeated upside rejection at 1.40. Near-term outlook remains supportive, with renewed strength through 1.39 and 1.3946, 20 day MA, setting scope for fresh attack at key resistances at 1.4000/35, break of which will signal resumption of the broader uptrend and open 1.4080/1.4156 next. Failure to clear 1.40 barrier, however, risks fresh reversal, though, immediate bulls remain in play while 1.3865/54 support zone holds. 1.3751 remains key near-term support.

    Res: 1.4000, 1.4011, 1.4035, 1.4050
    Sup: 1.3915, 1.3865, 1.3854, 1.3839





    GBP/USD

    Bounces higher after yesterday’s weakness through 1.5976 double bottom extended to test key short-term support and range floor at 1.5957, also 38.2% retracement of 1.5343/1.6342 upleg. Current strength needs to clear 1.61/1.6137 barriers to signal recovery under way and expose 1.6200, 61.8% retracement of 1.6342/1.5959 decline. Early rejection under 1.6137 will suggest a continuation of downtrend from 1.6342, with loss of 1.5957 to signal short-term top, and open fresh phase lower.

    Res: 1.6100, 1.6116, 1.6130, 1.6137
    Sup: 1.6018, 1.6000, 1.5976, 1.5957





    USD/JPY

    Has ended recovery attempt from 80.24, Nov 2010 low, after losing key supports and break below 80.24 and 79.75, 1995 all-time low, has triggered sharp decline to post fresh record low at 76.25. Subsequent strong bounce reached 79.75 so far, though break above 80.65/81.00 is required to ease bear pressure, as near-term studies remain negative

    Res: 79.43, 79.75, 80.00, 80.24
    Sup: 79.15, 78.59, 78.00, 76.94





    USD/CHF

    Has dipped to fresh record low at 0.8900 after losing the previous 0.9139 handle. Correction is under way, with 0.9057 seen so far and regain of 0.9139/96 is needed to signal further recovery, otherwise, lower top will precede fresh leg lower.

    Res: 0.9046, 0.9057, 0.9070, 0.9100
    Sup: 0.9010, 0.8977, 0.8958, 0.8900


  9. #329
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Final push through 1.4000/35 barriers has so far seen 1.4055 high, ahead of correction on overbought hourly chart. 38.2% of 1.3867/1.4055 has so far been retraced, at 1.3980 with higher low anticipated here to maintain bulls for fresh attempt higher. Sustained break above 1.4055 will target 1.4100, then 1.4280, Nov 2010 high and trendline resistance, connecting 1.6039 and 1.1.5144 peaks.

    Res: 1.4015, 1.4035, 1.4055, 1.4083
    Sup: 1.3953, 1.3915, 1.3865, 1.3854





    GBP/USD

    Bounces higher after yesterday’s weakness through 1.5976 double bottom extended to test key short-term support and range floor at 1.5957, also 38.2% retracement of 1.5343/1.6342 upleg. Gains cleared 1.6137 resistance, extending to 1.6170 thus far, en-route to 1.6200, possibly 1.6241 on a break. Pullback on overbought conditions is seen corrective, with higher low expected at 1.6090/70 before fresh push higher, while below 1.6040 would signal lower top at 1.6170 and fresh attack at 1.5957.


    Res: 1.6150, 1.6170, 1.6200, 1.6241
    Sup: 1.6100, 1.6090, 1.6070, 1.6040




    USD/JPY

    Has ended recovery attempt from 80.24, Nov 2010 low, after losing key supports and break below 80.24 and 79.75, 1995 all-time low, has triggered sharp decline to post fresh record low at 76.25. Subsequent strong bounce reached 79.75 so far, though break above 80.65/81.00 is required to ease bear pressure, as near-term studies remain negative.

    Res: 79.43, 79.75, 80.00, 80.24
    Sup: 78.24, 78.00, 76.94, 76.25





    USD/CHF

    Has dipped to fresh record low at 0.8900 after losing the previous 0.9139 handle. Corrective bounce reached 0.9057, ahead of narrow consolidation. 0.8976 underpins for now, though upside regain of 0.9139/96 is needed to signal further recovery, otherwise, fresh weakness towards 0.8900 and possible fresh lows, would be likely scenario.

    Res: 0.9027, 0.9046, 0.9057, 0.9070
    Sup: 0.9010, 0.8993, 0.8976, 0.8958


  10. #330
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Maintains bullish tone, trading in a narrow consolidative range, just under 1.4182 high. Market looks for break above 1.4200 barrier to target key resistances at 1.4280, Nov 2010 peak and major trendline resistance, currently at 1.4303. 20 day MA at 1.4157 on hourly chart and 1.4153 range low, offer immediate support, ahead of 1.4120/00, while loss of 1.4040 would open way for deeper correction.


    Res: 1.4182, 1.4200, 1.4256, 1.4280
    Sup: 1.4155, 1.4120, 1.4105, 1.4082





    GBP/USD

    Holds gains after Friday’s break above 1.6241, previous high, and shallow correction off 1.6254 fresh high, being contained by 1.62 zone for now. Fresh strength above will try again at 1.6300/42, key resistance zone, break of which will open fresh phase higher. 1.62/1.6180 offers initial support, ahead of 1.6150, while below 1.6135/20 would signal temporary top.

    Res: 1.6254, 1.6300, 1.6340, 1.6370
    Sup: 1.6200, 1.6180, 1.6150, 1.6135





    USD/JPY

    Has found temporary support below 81.00 after strong rally from 76.25 record high regained 82.00 level, with subsequent correction reversing at 80.57. Clearance of 81.00 now eyes 82.00, break of which is needed to resume recovery and expose 83.05/29 next. 80.57 underpins the advance, and break here to signal lower top ahead of fresh weakness.

    Res: 81.74, 81.98, 82.41, 83.05
    Sup: 80.81, 80.57, 80.16, 79.75





    USD/CHF

    Undergoes recovery after dipping to a fresh all-time low at 0.8900
    Correction above 0.8960 higher low remains capped by 0.9090, Friday’s high, with break here needed to resume towards 0.92 level, break of which is needed to continue recovery and open 0.9370 next, otherwise fresh attack at 0.8960/00 and posting new record high, would be likely scenario.


    Res: 0.9058, 0.9090, 0.9139, 0.9200
    Sup:0.9028, 0.9000, 0.8986, 0.8961


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