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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #341
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery attempt from 1.4050, yesterday’s low, failed to clear 1.4213 barrier, followed by subsequent easing to 1.41 zone. This has turned immediate tone negative, but while 1.4080/1.4050, 55 day MA / higher low holds, scope exists for fresh attack at 1.4213, then 1.4280, on a break. Downside loss of 1.4050, however, would confirm lower high at 1.4213 and open way for further easing towards 1.4012, 61.8% retracement and 1.3980, 18 Mar low.

    Res: 1.4174, 1.4192, 1.4213, 1.4218
    Sup: 1.4105, 1.4094, 1.4052, 1.4040






    GBP/USD

    Continues to trend lower on reversal from fresh high at 1.6400, losing 61.8% retracement level of 1.5959/1.6400, to test 1.6059, 18 Mar low so far. Clear break here will expose 1.5959, last 6-week range floor. Initial resistance lies at 1.6140, while break above 1.6215, 23/24 Mar consolidation range ceiling is needed to turn focus higher.

    Res: 1.6127, 1.6140, 1.6194, 1.6215
    Sup: 1.6040, 1.6018, 1.6000, 1.5959





    USD/JPY

    Bounces higher from past week narrow consolidation range to test 81.31 range ceiling, ahead of sharp reversal under 80.00. Recovery attempt has temporarily regained 81.00 handle, but break above 81.31/36 is needed to confirm and expose 82.00 next. At the downside, 80.86/69 underpins, with loss of 80.57 to signal resumption of the broader downtrend.

    Res: 81.36, 81.74, 81.98, 82.41
    Sup: 80.86, 80.69, 80.57, 80.16





    USD/CHF

    Maintains positive tone after pullback from 0.9122, yesterday’s fresh recovery high, found support at 0.9027. Renewed strength above 0.91 cleared 0.9122/39 barriers, looking upside extension towards 0.9187/0.9200, 61.8% retracement of 0.9367/0.8900 downleg / 02 Mar low, break of which will expose key short-term barrier at 0.9367. Immediate support lies at 0.9120, while higher low at 0.9027 underpins the advance.

    Res: 0.9160, 0.9187, 0.9200, 0.9250
    Sup:0.9120, 0.9075, 0.9050, 0.9027


  2. #342
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has left a near-term double top at 1.4215 ahead of fresh slide under 1.4052, previous low, to test 1.4020 so far. Current bounce is seen corrective, while 1.4080, 20 day MA and Friday’s closing price, stay intact. However, bearish near-term studies favor further easing towards 1.4000/1.3980, possibly 1.3865/54 higher platform.

    Res: 1.4068, 1.4080, 1.4110, 1.4155
    Sup: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3954





    GBP/USD

    Last Friday’s loss of 1.6059, 18 Mar higher low, has extended reversal from 1.6400 peak, to test 1.5989 so far, just above key near-term support at 1.5959, 17 Mar low and short-term range floor. Break here will confirm top at 1.6400 and open way for further retracement of broader 1.5343/1.6400 upleg, with 1.5870/21, 50% retracement / 31 Jan low, seen next. Immediate resistance lies at 1.6056, while regain 1.6140 needed to signal recovery.

    Res: 1.6021, 1.6033, 1.6056, 1.6088
    Sup: 1.5989, 1.5959, 1.5870, 1.5821





    USD/JPY

    Bounces higher from past week narrow consolidation range to break above 81.31 range ceiling, posting fresh one week high at 81.83, just ahead of key near-term barrier at 82.00, 18 Mar recovery high, clearance of which is needed to resume current recovery attempt, to focus 82.45, then 83.29, 14/11 Mar highs. Range bottom at 80.70 underpins the advance for now.

    Res: 81.83, 81.98, 82.45, 82.60
    Sup: 80.18, 81.00, 80.86, 80.69





    USD/CHF

    Maintains positive tone after clearance of 0.9122/39, previous high/15 Mar low and 0.9200 barrier, to test 0.9232 so far. Near-term studies remain supportive for fresh gains towards 0.9310 and key short-term resistance at 0.9367, break of which is required to signal recovery under way. However, rally may be interrupted by corrective pullback, as hourly studies entered overbought zone. 0.9120 offers initial support.

    Res: 0.9232, 0.9250, 0.9310, 0.9367
    Sup: 0.9193, 0.9120, 0.9075, 0.9050


  3. #343
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Undergoes near-term consolidation after hitting fresh low at 1.4020 overnight. Upside for now, remains capped by 1.4085, today’s high and 1.4115, 20 day MA on 4-hour chart. Further easing through 1.4010, 61.8% retracement of 1.3867/1.4247 upleg, then 1.3980, 18/17 Mar lows.

    Res: 1.4080, 1.4115, 1.4155, 1.4175
    Sup: 1.4020, 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3980





    GBP/USD

    Extends reversal from 1.6400 after today’s short consolidation above 1.60, to breach key short-term support at 1.5959, with 1.5935 seen so far. Oversold 4-hour conditions suggest correction, with 1.6059/1.6170 barriers expected to hold. Fresh weakness would likely look for test of 1.5820, 31 Jan low and 1.5750, 25 Jan low / 200 day MA on daily chart.

    Res: 1.6021, 1.6033, 1.6056, 1.6088
    Sup: 1.5971, 1.5935, 1.5870, 1.5820






    USD/JPY

    Bounces higher from past week narrow consolidation range to break above 81.31 range ceiling, posting fresh one week high at 81.83, just ahead of key near-term barrier at 82.00, 18 Mar recovery high, clearance of which is needed to resume current recovery attempt, to focus 82.45, then 83.29, 14/11 Mar highs. Range bottom at 80.70 underpins the advance for now.

    Res: 81.83, 81.98, 82.45, 82.60
    Sup: 80.18, 81.00, 80.86, 80.69





    USD/CHF

    Maintains positive tone after clearance of 0.9122/39, previous high/15 Mar low and 0.9200 barrier, to test 0.9232 so far. Near-term studies remain supportive for fresh gains towards 0.9310 and key short-term resistance at 0.9367, break of which is required to signal recovery under way. However, rally may be interrupted by corrective pullback on overbought conditions. 0.9120 offers initial support.

    Res: 0.9232, 0.9250, 0.9310, 0.9367
    Sup: 0.9175, 0.9120, 0.9075, 0.9050


  4. #344
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has found near term support at 1.4020, with fresh strength exceeding yesterday’s high at 1.4115. This may signal further recovery towards 1.4155/60 zone, 25 Mar high / 61.8% retracement of 1.4247/1.4020 decline, where a lower top is anticipated. Downside loss of 1.4020 to open 1.3980 next, while upside regain of 1.4200/13 to confirm bulls for 1.4280, previous high / major bear trendline test.

    Res: 1.4160, 1.4175, 1.4200, 1.4213
    Sup: 1.4115, 1.4087, 1.4060, 1.4020





    GBP/USD

    Corrects the latest downleg from 1.6400 that reached 1.5935, fresh two-month low, and extending above 1.60 barrier. 1.6040 zone has so far limited gains. Break here will face immediate resistance at 1.6060, previous low and 20 day MA on 4-hour chart, clearance of which to signal further recovery and expose key near-term resistance at 1.6140/60, 25 Mar lower high / 55 day MA, where bears should re-assert, for fresh leg lower. Short- term outlook remains bearish, and loss of 1.5935 to focus 1.5820/1.5750 levels.


    Res: 1.6040, 1.6060, 1.6088, 1.6111
    Sup: 1.5978, 1.5935, 1.5870, 1.5820





    USD/JPY

    Continues to trade within narrow range after break above 81.31 range ceiling, reached fresh one week high at 81.83. This has so far capped gains, with break above 81.83/82.00 required to continue recovery and open 82.45/83.29, 83.29, 14/11 Mar highs. Initial support lies at 81.50, with potential break lower to expose earlier range floor at 80.70 and key near-term support at 80.57.

    Res: 81.83, 81.98, 82.45, 82.60
    Sup: 80.50, 80.18, 81.00, 80.70




    USD/CHF

    The latest pullback from 0.9232, yesterday’s recovery high, is seen corrective while above 0.9120, with fresh gains above 0.9232 to expose 0.9310 and key short-term resistance at 0.9367. At the downside, loss of 0.9122 would weaken the near-term tone
    And open 0.9075/27 instead.

    Res: 0.9204, 0.9232, 0.9250, 0.9310
    Sup: 0.9138, 0.9120, 0.9075, 0.9050


  5. #345
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Recovery attempt from 1.4020 has run out of steam at 1.4147, just under 1.4155/60 resistance zone, ahead of fresh weakness. Loss of initial support at 1.4060, now looks for retest of 1.4020, yesterday’s low, break of which will signal fresh leg lower of reversal from 1.4247 and open 1.4000/1.3980 next.

    Res: 1.4147, 1.4155, 1.4175, 1.4213
    Sup: 1.4025, 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3980





    GBP/USD

    Returns to weakness after near-term recovery from 1.5935, fresh 2-month low, failed to clear 1.6040 barrier. Market has nearly fully retraced the recent 1.5935/1.6040 ascend, with loss of 1.5935 to extended bear-leg from 1.6400 and target 1.5820/1.5750, 31/25 Jan lows. Upside remains capped at 1.6040 for now.

    Res: 1.5974, 1.6040, 1.6060, 1.6088
    Sup: 1.5935, 1.5870, 1.5820, 1.5750





    USD/JPY

    Fresh gains from near-term higher platform at 81.50 eventually broke above 82.00, recovery high, approaching 82.45, 14 mar low, en-route to 83.29, 11 mar high and possible attempt at 84.00/49, key med-term barriers. Near-term studies are positive, but overbought on 1 and 4-hour charts, suggesting corrective pullback ahead of fresh push higher. 82.00 offers initial support, while 81.50 underpins.

    Res: 82.45, 82.60, 83.00, 83.29
    Sup: 82.00, 81.50, 81.28, 80.86





    USD/CHF

    Reversal from 0.9232, yesterday’s recovery high, found support at 0.9138, just above key near-term support at 0.9120, followed by fresh rally. Market is approaching 0.9232, break of which will open way for fresh phase higher and expose 0.93.00 and key short-term barrier at 0.9367. At the downside, 0.9138/20 support the advance.


    Res: 0.9232, 0.9250, 0.9310, 0.9367
    Sup: 0.9138, 0.9120, 0.9075, 0.9050


  6. #346
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Higher platform at 1.4045/50 has contained reversal from 1.4147, with fresh strength exceeding 1.4147 to dent triangle upper border at 1.4160. This favors further gains, as hourly studies are positive, but overbought conditions see risk of pullback. Initial support lies at 1.4115, while 1.4050 underpins current advance, with higher low on corrective reversal seen at 1.41 zone, to maintain near-term positive tone. However, regain of levels above 1.42 is required to confirm, as upside rejection under 1.4190/1.4218 would risk a lower top ahead of fresh leg lower, with potential loss of 1.4020, key near-term support, to signal an extension of correction from 1.4247.

    Res: 1.4165, 1.4192, 1.4218, 1.4247
    Sup: 1.4126, 1.4115, 1.4050, 1.4040





    GBP/USD

    Extends bounce from 1.5935/42, near-term double bottom, after yesterday’s upside rejection at 1.6081 and subsequent reversal was contained at 1.6010. Fresh rally through 1.6081 has so far reached 1.6118, 38.2% retracement of 1.6400/1.5935 decline, with regain of 1.6140, key near-term barrier, needed to resume recovery and expose 1.6167, 50% and 1.6215/21, 24 Mar high / 61.8% retracement, break of which opens way for possible retest of 1.6400 peak. Hourly studies are approaching overbought zone, increasing risk of corrective pullback preceding fresh rally. Dips need to hold above 1.6010 to maintain immediate bulls.

    Res: 1.6127, 1.6140, 1.6167, 1.6215
    Sup: 1.6082, 1.6060, 1.6010, 1.5978





    USD/JPY

    Corrects the recent rally through 83.00 barrier that peaked at 83.20, with 82.55 seen so far, ahead of initial support at 82.35, yesterday’s low. To maintain near-term bullish outlook, higher low above 81.50 is required, With break above 83.29 needed to confirm and open 83.67, possibly 84.00/49, key short-term resistance zone.

    Res: 83.20, 83.29, 83.52, 83.96
    Sup: 82.55, 82.35, 82.00, 81.50





    USD/CHF

    Trades in near-term consolidative mode, following reversal from 0.9273, yesterday’s spike high. While 0.9138, current range floor holds, near-term bulls stay intact for fresh gains through 0.9273 to focus 0.9367, key near-term barrier. Downside loss of 0.9138/31, 29 Mar low, 38.2% retracement of 0.8900/0.9273 ascend, however, will delay and open way for deeper reversal towards 0.9085/41.

    Res: 0.9200, 0.9232, 0.9273, 0.9310
    Sup: 0.9154, 0.9138, 0.9131, 0.9120


  7. #347
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Has extended gains from 1.4050 higher platform, clearing previous highs at 1.4147 and 1.4218, to hit 1.4232, ahead of pullback on overbought hourly conditions. Loss of 1.42 handle has so far retraced 38.2% of 1.4050/1.4232 upleg at 1.4165, just ahead of 1.4156/47, previous high / 20 day MA, where a higher low is anticipated in order to maintain near-term bulls and fresh attack at 1.4232 and key barrier at 1.4247, break of which is required to open 1.4280, Nov 2010 high / major trendline resistance. At the downside, strong support lies at 1.4115, yesterday’s higher low / near 61.8% retracement, and potential loss here to sideline near-term bulls in favor of further weakness towards 1.4050 and key support at 1.4020.

    Res: 1.4180, 1.4200, 1.4232, 1.4247
    Sup: 1.4156, 1.4147, 1.4126, 1.4115





    GBP/USD

    Upside failure to sustain gains above strong resistance at 1.6140 has triggered sharp reversal under 1.61 to reach 1.6015, just above 1.6010, yesterday’s higher low. Negative near-term studies favor further weakness towards 1.5980 and possible retest of 1.5935/42, key near-term support, while corrective bounce on oversold hourly studies is seen capped by 1.6090, intraday high / 20 day MA.

    Res: 1.6090, 1.6127, 1.6149, 1.6167
    Sup: 1.6015, 1.6010, 1.5978, 1.5942





    USD/JPY

    Corrects the recent rally through 83.00 barrier that peaked at 83.20, with 82.55 seen so far, ahead of initial support at 82.35, yesterday’s low. To maintain near-term bullish outlook, higher low above 81.50 is required, with break above 83.29 needed to confirm and open 83.67, possibly 84.00/49, key short-term resistance zone.

    Res: 83.20, 83.29, 83.52, 83.96
    Sup: 82.55, 82.35, 82.00, 81.50





    USD/CHF

    Correction from yesterday’s spike high at 0.9273 re-tested 0.9138, 29 Mar higher low, also near 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.8900/1.9273 ascend, increasing risk of deeper reversal. 20 day MA, currently at 0.9170, supports fresh decline, though, oversold hourly conditions see scope for bounce, with initial resistance at 0.9200. Further downside, 0.9089/73, 50% retracement, 24/25 Mar lows are seen next, ahead of 0.9042, 61.8%. To avert immediate bear pressure, regain of 0.92 is required.

    Res: 0.9200, 0.9232, 0.9273, 0.9310
    Sup: 0.9125, 0.9089, 0.9073, 0.9042


  8. #348
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Maintains near-term positive tone after reversal from 1.4247 high found support at 1.4020. Yesterday’s breach of 1.4218, previous high, has so far reached 1.4232, just ahead of 1.4247, 22 Mar lower top, clearance of which is required for fresh attempt at 1.4280, Nov 2010 peak and major trendline resistance. Current correction is consolidating above 1.4150, with further easing not ruled out, and higher low above 1.41 seen to maintain bulls. Loss of 1.41, however, will delay and re-expose 1.4050/20 for test.

    Res: 1.4176, 1.4200, 1.4232, 1.4247
    Sup: 1.4152, 1.4115, 1.4090, 1.4050





    GBP/USD

    Upside failure to sustain gains above strong resistance at 1.6140 has triggered sharp reversal under 1.61 to reach 1.6015, just above 1.6010 higher low. Recovery attempt is seen capped by 1.61 zone, with break here and key near-term barrier at 1.6150 to signal recovery under-way. Otherwise, fresh weakness through 1.6015/10 will re-focus 1.5942/35.

    Res: 1.6083, 1.6095, 1.6127, 1.6149
    Sup: 1.6015, 1.6010, 1.5978, 1.5942





    USD/JPY

    Reversal from 83.20, yesterday’s high, was contained at 82.55, where fresh strength has emerged. Clearance of 83.20/29 barriers and important 200 day MA at 83.62, has so far reached 83.73, just ahead of 83.96, 16 Feb high, break of which is needed to open 84.49, key short-term resistance. Positive near-term studies see scope for further gains, with 82.75/55 expected to contain corrective dips on overbought conditions, to keep immediate bulls in play

    Res: 83.20, 83.29, 83.52, 83.96
    Sup: 82.55, 82.35, 82.00, 81.50





    USD/CHF

    Correction from 0.9273 spike high exceeded 0.9138/30, 29 Mar higher low/38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.8900/1.9273 ascend, to find temporary support at 0.9125. Break above 0.92 barrier keeps positive near-term tone for further gains, with regain of 0.9273 required to resume short-term recovery from 0.8900, towards key short-term barrier at 0.9367. On the downside, loss of 0.9125/00 weakens the tone.


    Res: 0.9215, 0.9232, 0.9273, 0.9310
    Sup: 0.9185, 0.9125, 0.9089, 0.9073


  9. #349
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Hourly studies lost bullish momentum, after yesterday’s rally was capped at 1.3384 and subsequent easing dipped to 1.3310. Hourly 55 day EMA so far contained reversal, just ahead of more significant support zone at 1.3300/1.3280, and while holding above here, fresh attack at 1.3384/1.3400 zone remains in play, as 4H chart’s studies hold positive tone. Lift above the latter to open way towards key short-term barrier at 1.3485.

    Res: 1.3346, 1.3366, 1.3384, 1.3400
    Sup: 1.3310, 1.3300, 1.3290, 1.3280





    GBP/USD
    Reversal from yesterday’s fresh high at 1.6000, after the pair briefly broke above previous 1.5991 peak, holds above yesterday’s lows at 1.5940 for now. However, further easing is not ruled out, as hourly studies are pointing lower, with next array of strong supports seen at 1.5920/00 zone, which should contain dips, to keep near-term bulls intact for possible fresh attempt higher. Clearance of 1.6000 to open 1.6090/1.6100 next. On the downside, 200 day MA at 1.5845 underpins.

    Res: 1.5963, 1.6000, 1.6050, 1.6090
    Sup: 1.5922, 1.5908, 1.5890, 1.5845





    USD/JPY
    The price is losing traction after yesterday’s brief break above 83.00 barrier, failed to sustain gains. Hourly studies are breaking below the midlines, with first support at 82.60 coming under pressure. Break here to open way for retest of key support and breakpoint at 81.95/85 zone, break of which to spark stronger reversal and expose Fibonacci level at 81.00 next. Key near-term barrier lies at 83.38, yesterday’s high and only break here to improve near-term structure.

    Res: 83.00, 83.20, 83.50, 83.74
    Sup: 82.60, 82.29, 81.95, 81.85





    USD/CHF
    Maintains negative short-term tone off 0.9333 peak, as loss of very strong support at 0.9070 zone now open way for test of psychological level at 0.9000, ahead of key support at 0.8930. Near-term studies hold in the negative territory, with current consolidation above yesterday’s low at 0.9015, being limited by 55 day EMA and still holding below 0.9070, now reverted to resistance. Only clear break here would avert immediate downside risk and allow for stronger correction.

    Res: 0.9065, 0.9070, 0.9075, 0.9100
    Sup: 0.9030, 0.9015, 0.9000, 0.8950


  10. #350
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Holds near-term momentum, despite overnight’s return to last Friday’s closing levels, after gap higher opening today. Regain of hourly 20 day EMA at 1.3340, turn the near-term focus towards the past couple of days range top at 1.3380 zone. Break here is required to resume short-term bulls off 1.3000 base, with lift above 1.3400 barrier to open 1.3434, 0% retracement of med-term 1.4246/1.3000 descend and key resistance at 1.3485, end of Feb double-top. Daily studies remain supportive, as the pair’s weekly close above broken main bear-trendline, sees potential for further gains. Overnight’s low at 1.3330 offers initial support, along with hourly 55 day EMA, ahead of next one at 1.3300 zone, where last Friday’s lows lie, along with main bull trendline, drawn off 1.3000 base. Only loss of higher platform and near-term range floor at 1.3250 zone, would weaken the structure.

    Res: 1.3375, 1.3384, 1.3400, 1.3434
    Sup: 1.3330, 1.3308, 1.3290, 1.3280





    GBP/USD
    Holds steady after last Friday’s attempt above 1.6000 barrier that peaked at 1.6036 and subsequent pullback being contained at previous support at 1.5980 zone. Improving hourly structure and fresh rally through 1.6000, looks for retest of 1.6036, above which to signal an end of near-term consolidation and open initial targets at 1.6090/1.6100, ahead of more significant levels at 1.6130 and 1.6164, 31 Oct 2011 high / Fib 61.8% of broader 1.6745/1.5233 downleg. Strong support at 1.6000/1.5970 zone is expected to hold the downside, while only break below 1.5920/00 would delay bulls.

    Res: 1.6050, 1.6090, 1.6100, 1.6130
    Sup: 1.6000, 1.5980, 1.5965, 1.5950




    USD/JPY
    The pair recovers recent losses, after brief break below key short-term support zone at 82.95/85, bottomed 81.82 last Friday and subsequent bounce, along with gap higher today’s opening, regain important barrier at 83.00, hitting 83.29 high. Reversal from here needs to hold above 55 day EMA at 82.75, to keep the near-term structure intact for possible fresh attempt higher and retest of key near-term barriers at 83.30/38, above which to confirm bottom at 81.82 and avert immediate risk of further easing. However, studies on the daily chart remain negative and see risk of fresh weakness, especially if 83.38 stays intact. Break below 81.82, last Friday’s low, to expose Fib 38.2% at 81.05.

    Res: 83.30, 83.38, 83.82, 84.00
    Sup: 82.82, 82.75, 82.50, 82.00





    USD/CHF
    The downside remains in pressure, as fresh weakness seen overnight and gap lower opening, tested our next downside target at 0.9000. brief bounce higher is so far seen corrective, as hourly studies hold below their midlines and initial barrier at 0.9043, stays intact. Situation on daily chart shows fresh bearish momentum developing, as the price broke below trendline support at 0.9020, with 0.9000 being already dented. This may open way for extension towards 0.8958, Fib 61.8% of larger 0.8566/0.9593 ascend, ahead of key short-term support at 0.8930. Only break above last Thursday’s high at 0.9091 would delay bears.

    Res: 0.9030, 0.9043, 0.9070, 0.9091
    Sup: 0.9015, 0.9000, 0.8950, 0.8930


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