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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #71
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extended decline to reach fresh multi-year low of 1.2142 yesterday, just ahead of key 1.2134 level, 50% retracement of 0.8225/1.6039 ascend. A correction has followed and 1.2443 possibly caps this phase for a fresh weakness towards 1.2134, where an eventual break is favored. Clearance of 1.2443 opens 1.2514/34 instead.

    Res: 1.2443, 1.2465, 1.2514, 1.2534
    Sup: 1.2306, 1.2256, 1.2228, 1.2142




    GBP/USD

    Consolidation above 1.4235 and possible attempt at 1.4517/47 have failed at 1.4465, with loss of 1.4273 support now returning focus to the downside. 1.4235 offers initial support, and break there to extend medium-term weakness towards 1.4109, 30 Mar 2009 low. Regain of 1.4465 would delay immediate bears, while break above 1.4547 needed to improve.

    Res: 1.4465, 1.4497, 1.4517, 1.4547
    Sup: 1.4235, 1.4200, 1.4155, 1.4109




    USD/JPY

    Continues to trend lower off 93.50/64 double top area that ended the recovery leg off 87.96, yearly low, posted on 06 May. Today’s break through a series of supports now attempting through 89.70, with scope seen for final push towards 87.96, 06 May spike low. Only regain 91.86/92.25 delays.

    Res: 91.86, 92.25, 92.43, 92.95
    Sup: 88.85, 87.96, 87.75, 87.36





    USD/CHF

    Maintains positive tone as the market climbs toward a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Lower spike rejection yesterday at 1.1417 confirms trend. Initial target now stands at 1.1675, while 1.1449 provides immediate support.

    Res: 1.1584, 1.1605, 1.1675, 1.1700
    Sup: 1.1449, 1.1417, 1.1402, 1.1377


  2. #72
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:45 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Gains off yesterday’s 1.2294 higher low breached key 1.2445 high to extend corrective reversal. Market approached 1.2670 today, ahead of key 1.2738 level. Break here is needed to trigger a stronger bounce, while 1.2450 supports the advance. Loss of the latter, however, risks 1.2294 and 1.2142 on a break.

    Res: 1.2597, 1.2670, 1.2685, 1.2738
    Sup: 1.2450, 1.2390, 1.2330, 1.2294





    GBP/USD

    Continues to consolidate above 1.4230 low, with scope seen for further short-term strength, though, risk is for the formation of a bearish flag, ahead of relapse. Immediate resistance stands at 1.45/1.46 zone, and only regain of 1.5044/52 area to strengthen the outlook.

    Res: 1.4497, 1.4517, 1.4547, 1.4579
    Sup: 1.4349, 1.4326, 1.4294, 1.4230




    USD/JPY

    Accelerated losses after forming a double top at 93.53/64, to reach 88.95 low yesterday. Bounce on oversold hourly studies is now under way, with 90.47 offering immediate cap, ahead of 90.93. Downside, loss of 88.95 opens 88.25, key longer-term trendline support.

    Res: 90.47, 90.93, 91.43, 91.86
    Sup: 88.95, 88.25, 87.96, 87.75




    USD/CHF

    Structure remains solid as the market climbs to challenge a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785, with 1.1584 seen so far. 1.1417, lower spike rejection of 19 May, now underpins immediate advance. Clearance of 1.1584 will open 1.1677 next.

    Res: 1.1584, 1.1605, 1.1675, 1.1700
    Sup: 1.1449, 1.1417, 1.1402, 1.1377


  3. #73
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (11:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Correction off 1.2142, 19 May yearly low, stalled at 1.2671, just above 50% retracement of 1.3093/1.2142 downleg on Friday, ahead of reversal. Today’s loss of 1.2469/55 supports and break of trendline support, now confirms the lower ceiling at 1.2599 and turns focus to 1.2294 initially. Break here would expose 1.2257 and possible full retracement of the 1.2142/1.2671 ascend, on a break. Upside, regain of 1.2597 provides relief, but sustained break above 1.2671 would resume recovery.

    Res: 1.2479, 1.2527, 1.2597, 1.2671
    Sup: 1.2336, 1.2294, 1.2257, 1.2228




    GBP/USD

    The pair is potentially in the final phase of a correction off the recent 1.4250 low, posted on 17 May. Scope is now seen for a lower high to form, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 1.4250/30 support zone, would confirm negative medium-term bias and open way towards 1.3500 zone.

    Res: 1.4527, 1.4547, 1.4579, 1.4640
    Sup: 1.4361, 1.4316, 1.4294, 1.4250





    USD/JPY

    Remains in corrective/consolidative mode off 88.95, 20 May low, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 89.50, trendline support, and 88.95, will signal next push lower to test 88.35, trendline off 84.80, Nov 09 key low. Upside, 90.93, 50% retrace of 92.95/88.95 decline, is expected to cap.

    Res: 90.47, 90.93, 91.41, 91.86
    Sup: 89.50, 89.21, 88.95, 88.35




    USD/CHF

    Structure remains solid as the market climbs to challenge a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Current push above last weeks 1.1584 high now opening up 1.1675 next. Only below 1.1449/17 would risk a stronger correction towards 1.1266.


    Res: 1.1605, 1.1675, 1.1700, 1.1742
    Sup: 1.1511, 1.1449, 1.1417, 1.1402


  4. #74
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Correction off 1.2142, 19 May yearly low, stalled at 1.2671, just above 50% retracement of 1.3093/1.2142 downleg on Friday, ahead of reversal. Losses of 1.2469/55 support zone and break of trendline support, confirmed weakness that is currently breaking through 1.2228 support. This now opens 1.2142/34, 19 May low / 50% retracement of the long-term 0.8225/1.6039 ascend. Immediate cap now stands at 1.2415.

    Res: 1.2479, 1.2527, 1.2597, 1.2671
    Sup: 1.2200, 1.2142, 1.2134, 1.2115




    GBP/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.4527 seen yesterday, may signal the end of the corrective phase off the recent 1.4230/50 lows. The recent break under 1.4351 support sparks further weakness, currently breaking through 1.4300, to attempt at 1.4230 and lower, to reach fresh yearly lows. Only regain of 1.4527 will improve the outlook.

    Res: 1.4422, 1.4462, 1.4500, 1.4527
    Sup: 1.4250, 1.4230, 1.4200, 1.4155




    USD/JPY

    Is attempting to complete a 3 day negative continuation formation, as recovery off 88.95 failed at 90.60 yesterday. This may signal a fresh decline to 89.21/88.95 ahead of 88.35, trendline off Nov 2009 low. Potential break here risks a significant medium-term weakness. Only break above 90.31/60 would neutralize immediate bears.

    Res: 90.31, 90.60, 90.93, 91.53
    Sup: 89.53, 89.21, 88.95, 88.35




    USD/CHF

    Structure remains solid as the market climbs to challenge a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Current push above last weeks 1.1584 high now opening up 1.1675/1.1725, with 1.1641 been reached so far. Only below 1.1449/17 would risk a stronger correction towards 1.1266.


    Res: 1.1641, 1.1675, 1.1700, 1.1725
    Sup: 1.1550, 1.1511, 1.1449, 1.1417


  5. #75
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trend lower, following an upside rejection of the recovery attempt off 1.2142, at 1.2671 on 21 May. Break of series of supports and the latest fall under 1.2200 level, now exposes 1.2142/34 19 May low / 50% retracement of the long-term 0.8225/1.6039 ascend. 1.2415 caps for now.

    Res: 1.2295, 1.2323, 1.2355, 1.2415
    Sup: 1.2142, 1.2134, 1.2115, 1.2100





    GBP/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.4527 seen yesterday, may signal the end of the corrective phase off the recent 1.4230/50 lows. The recent break under 1.4351 support sparked fresh weakness, reaching 1.4257 so far. Corrective bounce is now under way, ahead of fresh attempt at 1.4230 and lower, to create fresh yearly lows. Only regain of 1.4527 will improve the outlook.

    Res: 1.4422, 1.4462, 1.4500, 1.4527
    Sup: 1.4250, 1.4230, 1.4200, 1.4155




    USD/JPY

    Completed a 3 day negative continuation formation that now signals a fresh decline to 89.21/88.95 ahead of 88.35, trendline off Nov 2009 low. Potential break here risks a significant medium-term weakness. Only break above 90.31/60 would neutralize immediate bears.

    Res: 89.92, 90.31, 90.60, 90.93
    Sup: 89.21, 88.95, 88.35, 87.95





    USD/CHF

    Structure remains solid as the market climbs to challenge a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Current push above last weeks 1.1584 high now has cleared 1.1675, opening way towards 1.1785, key trendline resistance. 1.1550 offers initial support and break below here would delay bulls.


    Res: 1.1700, 1.1725, 1.1742, 1.1785
    Sup: 1.1580, 1.1550, 1.1511, 1.1449


  6. #76
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Maintains negative tone, as bounce off 1.2176, yesterday’s low, stalled at 1.2386, just ahead of pivotal 1.2415 level. If lower top at 1.2386 confirmed, fresh weakness is likely, and below 1.2176 to focus key 1.2142/34 supports. Potential loss here may open a significant weakness short-term, to target 1.1823, Feb 2006 low. Only break above 1.2415 to provide relief.

    Res: 1.2386, 1.2415, 1.2445, 1.2480
    Sup: 1.2261, 1.2176, 1.2142, 1.2134




    GBP/USD

    Remains in a consolidative mode within 1.2430/1.4527 range. Fresh weakness is now likely, with loss of 1.4230 to focus 1.3500 zone medium-term. Upside, break above 1.4527 is needed to improve the outlook.

    Res: 1.4446, 1.4462, 1.4500, 1.4527
    Sup: 1.4329, 1.4304, 1.4257, 1.4230






    USD/JPY

    Corrective attempt from 88.95 remains so far capped by 90.60, with the latest bounce off 89.21 attempting to leave a lower top, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 89.21 opens 88.95, ahead of key trendline support at 88.35. Break above 90.60/93 delays immediate bears and open way for stronger recovery.

    Res: 90.60, 90.77, 90.93, 91.10
    Sup: 89.75, 89.21, 88.95, 88.35




    USD/CHF

    Corrects lower after reaching a series of yearly highs, with the latest at 1.1694 posted yesterday. Positive structure remains intact while 1.1511 spike low holds, and fresh gains through 1.1694 to target 1.1785 trendline resistance. Below 1.1511, however, allows stronger pullback and opens 1.1449 instead.


    Res: 1.1622, 1.1694, 1.1725, 1.1742
    Sup: 1.1550, 1.1511, 1.1449, 1.1417


  7. #77
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Dipped under 1.2176 to reach 1.2153 low yesterday, ahead of fresh recovery attempt. Structure, however, remains negative while 1.2342/86 caps and lower top below the latter would signal fresh weakness, to target 1.2142/34 zone. Break above 1.2386 would delay for 1.2415/45 initially.

    Res: 1.2386, 1.2415, 1.2445, 1.2480
    Sup: 1.2153, 1.2142, 1.2134, 1.2100




    GBP/USD

    A corrective phase from 1.4230 yearly low remains supported by 1.4257 higher low but break above 1.4546 is needed to stage recovery towards 1.4639, 14 May high/near 50% retracement of 1.5052/1.4230 decline. Failure under 1.4546, however, delays.

    Res: 1.4546, 1.4604, 1.4639, 1.4702
    Sup: 1.4365, 1.4329, 1.4304, 1.4257




    USD/JPY

    Corrective attempt from 88.95 stalled at 90.66 yesterday, with the latest bounce off 89.21 attempting to leave a lower top, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 89.45, trendline support, opens 88.95, ahead of key trendline drawn off 84.80, at 88.35. Break above 90.66/93 delays immediate bears and open way for stronger recovery.

    Res: 90.66, 90.77, 90.93, 91.06
    Sup: 89.75, 89.45, 89.21, 88.95




    USD/CHF

    Corrects lower after reaching a series of yearly highs, with 1.1694 reached so far. Positive structure remains intact while 1.1511 spike low holds, and fresh gains through 1.1694 to target 1.1785 trendline resistance. Below 1.1511, however, allows stronger pullback and opens 1.1449 instead.


    Res: 1.1622, 1.1694, 1.1725, 1.1742
    Sup: 1.1511, 1.1449, 1.1417, 1.1402


  8. #78
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Dipped under 1.2176 to reach 1.2153 low yesterday, ahead of fresh recovery attempt. Structure, however, remains negative while 1.2342/86 caps and lower top below the latter would signal fresh weakness, to target 1.2142/34 zone. Break above 1.2386 would delay for 1.2415/45 initially.

    Res: 1.2343, 1.2386, 1.2415, 1.2445
    Sup: 1.2153, 1.2142, 1.2134, 1.2100




    GBP/USD

    Extended bounce off 1.4257 higher low, clearing 1.4546 resistance, to reach 1.4584, ahead of sharp reversal. Current attempt at 1.4418, trendline support, warns of fresh weakness on a break. 1.4365/29 seen next, with possible extension towards 1.4257 no ruled out. To avoid immediate bear pressure, minimum of 1.4525 must be regained, and clearance of 1.4584/1.4604 to resume bulls.

    Res: 1.4584, 1.4604, 1.4639, 1.4702
    Sup: 1.4401, 1.4365, 1.4329, 1.4304




    USD/JPY

    Bounce off 89.21, 25 May low, currently breaks through 90.66, yesterday’s high, ahead of key 200 day MA at 91.06, break of which would resume recovery. Failure to do so risks the test 89.45, trendline drawn off 06 May, where a break opens 88.95.

    Res: 90.93, 91.06, 91.30, 91.46
    Sup: 89.75, 89.45, 89.21, 88.95




    USD/CHF

    Fresh strength off today's 1.1501 low reclaimed 1.1622 resistance, reopening 1.1694, yearly high, posted on 25 May. Break above here challenges a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Loss of 1.1501 would delay for 1.1449 key support.

    Res: 1.1694, 1.1725, 1.1742, 1.1785
    Sup: 1.1575, 1.1530, 1.1501, 1.1449


  9. #79
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:15 GMT)

    EUR/USD
    Retains negative structure while holding below 1.2671, 21 May lower top. The latest push higher off 1.2153 stalled at 1.2451 on Friday, with subsequent pullback extending losses under 1.2281 support and neutralizing near-term recovery attempt. Focus is now at 1.2259, break of which opens 1.2202/1.2153, ahead of key support zone at 1.2142/34. Back above 1.2451 to revive recovery.

    Res: 1.2381, 1.2393, 1.2451, 1.2480
    Sup: 1.2259, 1.2202, 1.2153, 1.2142




    GBP/USD
    Recovery off 1.4230/57 stalled at renewed attempt at 1.4610 on Friday, ahead of reversal. Break through 1.4460, trendline support, has triggered decline to 1.4399 thus far. Higher low above 1.4257 is required to keep bulls in play, though, only clearance of 1.4610 would resume rally. Otherwise, stronger correction into 1.4365/1.4257 and final attempt through 1.4230 would be likely scenario.

    Res: 1.4527, 1.4592, 1.4610, 1.4639
    Sup: 1.4441, 1.4399, 1.4365, 1.4329




    USD/JPY

    Further retracement of 93.62/88.95 fall to 91.85, 61.8% retracement / 20 May high, is likely while trading above 90.58. Gains are temporary and recoil below 89.80/69, 27 May low / trendline support, would trigger fresh weakness towards 88.95.

    Res: 91.61, 91.86, 92.14, 92.42
    Sup: 90.58, 90.19, 89.91, 89.80




    USD/CHF

    Shallow correction from 1.1694, 25 May yearly high, precedes a likely push higher to challenge 1.1785, trendline drawn off Feb 2006 high. Support at 1.1479/49 now keeps immediate bulls in play, with break above 1.1655 needed to confirm fresh swing higher.

    Res: 1.1623, 1.1655, 1.1694, 1.1725
    Sup: 1.1522, 1.1479, 1.1449, 1.1417


  10. #80
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Holding below 1.2451, 28 May spike high, confirms the bear structure as the market continues to consolidate above the key 1.2153/34 region. Break here is needed to trigger a fresh phase lower. Upside, 1.2334 caps for now. Only regain of 1.2451/80 firms.

    Res: 1.2334, 1.2381, 1.2393, 1.2451
    Sup: 1.2176, 1.2153, 1.2142, 1.2134




    GBP/USD

    Continues corrective / consolidative phase off 1.4230 annual low, with 1.4610 limiting the upside for now. 1.4399/65 offers immediate support for fresh attempt higher, and break above 1.4610 to open 1.4639/1.4701 next. Below 1.4365, however, to favor a possible return to 1.4257/30.

    Res: 1.4547, 1.4592, 1.4610, 1.4639
    Sup: 1.4437, 1.4399, 1.4365, 1.4329




    USD/JPY

    Maintains positive structure off 88.95/89.21, with 91.21 seen so far. Reversal is now under way, with immediate support standing at 90.58, and higher low above there is needed to resume recovery. Otherwise, break below 90.58 would extend correction and target next significant levels at 89.91/80.

    Res: 91.61, 91.86, 92.14, 92.42
    Sup: 90.58, 90.19, 89.91, 89.80




    USD/CHF

    Break up through 1.1592/1.1623 completes a bull flag that resumes underlying strength. Today's low at 1.1522 now underpins advance, through 1.1655/94, to target key 1.1774 trendline drawn off Feb 2006 high.

    Res: 1.1655, 1.1694, 1.1725, 1.1742
    Sup: 1.1522, 1.1479, 1.1449, 1.1417



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