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Thread: Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors by WindsorBrokers

  1. #1
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trend higher off 1.3433, yearly low, posted on 02 Mar. The latest upleg from 1.3639/56 higher lows, now attempting through 1.3798, range ceiling, with clear break there to expose 1.3838/50 next. 1.3715 offers initial support, while 1.3656 expected contain corrective dips.

    Res: 1.3816, 1.3838, 1.3850, 1.3883
    Sup: 1.3715, 1.3700, 1.3681, 1.3656



    GBP/USD

    Extended recovery off 1.4780 low, clearing 1.5217/58 previous highs, and key 1.5345 resistance, to reach 1.5380 thus far. This now opens prospect for further recovery, opening initially 1.5417, 61.8% retracement of 1.5814/1.4780 decline, ahead of 1.5475, 24 Feb high. 1.5207/1.5194 offers initial support.

    Res: 1.5380, 1.5417, 1.5475, 1.5520
    Sup: 1.5258, 1.5207, 1.5194, 1.5174



    USD/JPY

    Rallied from 88.13, 04 Mar low, to reach 91.08 high on 12 Mar, before yesterday’s reversal to 89.98, just above 38.2% retracement of 88.13/91.08 upleg. Short-term ranging would possibly set up a fresh push towards 91.22, trendline resistance, with break there to open 92.16. Loss of 89.98, however, weakens and focuses 89.62 instead.

    Res: 90.85, 91.08, 91.22, 91.35
    Sup: 89.98, 89.80, 89.62, 89.45



    USD/CHF

    Remains in a downtrend from 1.0897, 02 Mar high, currently pressuring 1.0523/1.0497 region, with breach there reaffirming recent 3-legged corrective swings from 0.9916, for an initial 1.0368, 25 Jan low. Regain of 1.0642/48 would hint renewed strength.

    Res: 1.0621, 1.0641, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0497, 1.0481, 1.0476, 1.0450


  2. #2
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Rally off 1.3639/56, 15/16 Mar low, stalled at 1.3816 yesterday, ahead of reversal. Loss of 1.3656/39 supports opens 1.3620/1.3530, to possibly continue broader downtrend. Only regain of 1.3727 would avert immediate bears.

    Res: 1.3727, 1.3739, 1.3780, 1.3798
    Sup: 1.3639, 1.3620, 1.3595, 1.3575




    GBP/USD

    Positive short-term structure off yesterday’s 1.5207 higher low starts to fade after break under 1.5268/58 supports, with loss of 1.5207 to way for deeper correction. However, regain of minimum 1.5316/30 is needed to re-focus 1.5367/80.

    Res: 1.5330, 1.5367, 1.5380, 1.5417
    Sup: 1.5354, 1.5239, 1.5217, 1.5207




    USD/JPY

    Continues to further retrace the recent 88.13/91.08 upleg, with today’s break below 89.98, near-term range, now focusing 89.62, 09 Mar low/50% retracement, where a higher low would mark fresh attempt towards 91.08/22.

    Res: 90.85, 91.08, 91.22, 91.35
    Sup: 89.62, 89.45, 89.26, 88.96




    USD/CHF

    Probed the 1.0523/1.0497 support zone, to reach 1.0505, ahead of bounce. This is seen corrective while 1.0641/48 caps, with further drop reaffirming recent 3-legged corrective swings off 0.9916 to open 1.0424/1.0368 zone next. Break above 1.0641/48 hints renewed strength.

    Res: 1.0621, 1.0641, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0505, 1.0497, 1.0481, 1.0476


  3. #3
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:00 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Fresh weakness emerged after yesterday’s break through 1.3656/39 key support, extending losses to 1.3586 thus far. This opens way for test of 1.3543/29, 10/05 Mar low and possible attempt at 1.3433 range low. Upside, for now, remains capped by 1.3694 and only clear break here to improve the tone and turn focus to 1.3815.

    Res: 1.3645, 1.3694, 1.3727, 1.3739
    Sup: 1.3586, 1.3575, 1.3543, 1.3529




    GBP/USD

    Extended correction off 1.4780 to reach 1.5380 on 17 Mar, retracing between 50% and 61.8% of 1.5814/1.4780 downleg, ahead of the latest reversal. Hourly studies now favor further weakness, after loss of1.5217/06 support zone. Next targets seen at 1.5087/55, ahead of key 1.4976, 16 Mar higher low. Only regain of 1.5250/80 area to delay.

    Res: 1.5255, 1.5278, 1.5305, 1.5327
    Sup: 1.5162, 1.5087, 1.5055, 1.4976




    USD/JPY

    Remains constructive off 88.13, yearly low, posted on 04 Mar. Yesterday’s dip under 89.98 support left a lower rejection at 89.74, just above key 89.62, 09 Mar low. This confirms a positive bias for test 91.08, range ceiling, also trendline resistance. Potential break here to open 92.13, 19 Feb high, near-term.

    Res: 90.85, 91.08, 91.22, 91.35
    Sup: 90.05, 89.75, 89.62, 89.45





    USD/CHF

    Corrective rally off 1.0505, 17 Mar low/near 50% retracement 1.0129/1.0897 upleg, stalled at 1.0648, just shy of 1.0656, 50% retracement of 1.0808/1.0507 decline. The near-term structure remains negative, and break below 1.0532 to open for 1.0483/47 next.

    Res: 1.0621, 1.0645, 1.0656, 1.0676
    Sup: 1.0532, 1.0505, 1.0497, 1.0481


  4. #4
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Upside rejection at 1.3816 on 17 Mar and break of a 3-week rising wedge turned the immediate focus lower. Clearance of 1.3536/29 support area has so far reached 1.3497, though stretched near-term studies suggest correction, with possible lower top under 1.3628/39, ahead of fresh weakness towards 1.3433. Only break above 1.3639 would pivot market higher.

    Res: 1.3586, 1.3600, 1.3625, 1.3639
    Sup: 1.3497, 1.3484, 1.3445, 1.3433




    GBP/USD

    Sharp pullback off last week’s 1.5380 recovery high broke below 1.4976 key support, to reach 1.4930 thus far, en-route to 1.4871, 10 Mar higher low. Overextended hourly studies see correction higher, with lower top seen under 1.5126/60 area. Break below 1.4871 will reaffirm short-term bear presence, opening 1.4780 low.

    Res: 1.5035, 1.5125, 1.5160, 1.5224
    Sup: 1.4930, 1.4871, 1.4855, 1.4780




    USD/JPY

    Remains constructive off 88.13, yearly low, posted on 04 Mar. Yesterday’s dip under 89.98 support left a lower rejection at 89.74, just above key 89.62, 09 Mar low. This confirms a positive bias for test 91.08, range ceiling, also trendline resistance. Potential break here to open 92.13, 19 Feb high, near-term.

    Res: 90.79, 91.08, 91.22, 91.35
    Sup: 90.05, 89.75, 89.62, 89.45




    USD/CHF

    Has been undergoing a recovery phase off 1.0505, 17 May low. Strong resistance now lies between 1.0640/60 zone, and a break there is needed to trigger a stronger recovery towards 1.0730. The latest reversal has dented 1.0590 support and this may delay bulls for test of 1.0570/32.

    Res: 1.0645, 1.0656, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0570, 1.0532, 1.0505, 1.0497


  5. #5
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (15:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Extended losses off 1.3816, 17 Mar peak, clearing all supports, to hit 1.3462 today and nearly fully retrace the recent 1.3433/1.3816 upleg. Correction on oversold hourly conditions now underway, with 1.3580/1.3600 zone expected to hold. 1.3433, range low remains main target and break lower to focus 1.3250/1.3088, May/ Apr 2009 lows, next.

    Res: 1.3545, 1.3586, 1.3600, 1.3625
    Sup: 1.3462, 1.3433, 1.3423, 1.3247




    GBP/USD

    Reversed from 1.5380, last week’s recovery high, clearing 1.4976 key support last Friday, to reach 1.4930 thus far, en-route to 1.4871, 10 Mar higher low. Correction now under way, with lower top seen under 1.5126/60 area. Break below 1.4871 will reaffirm short-term bear presence, opening 1.4780 low. Upside break above 1.5160, however, would allow stronger correction and open 1.5206/55 instead.

    Res: 1.5126, 1.5160, 1.5224, 1.5255
    Sup: 1.4930, 1.4871, 1.4855, 1.4780





    USD/JPY

    Dipped sharply 89.82 today, following an upside rejection at 90.76. Positive tone, however, persists, while 89.74/62, consolidation range’s bottom holds, keeping a fresh attempt through 90.76/79 to 91.08 in play. Only loss of 89.62 negates and brings underlying bear trend back to play.

    Res: 90.79, 91.08, 91.22, 91.35
    Sup: 89.74, 89.62, 89.45, 89.30




    USD/CHF

    Has been undergoing a recovery phase off 1.0505, 17 May low. Today’s attempt higher has failed at 1.0660 resistance, with sharp pullback emerging. Market now attempts at 1.0575, today’s low/trendline support, break of which would delay immediate bulls and open fresh weakness towards 1.0540/30 zone, possibly to retest 1.0505 bottom. Early rejection above 1.0575, however, would keep fresh attempts at 1.0645/60 in play.

    Res: 1.0645, 1.0660, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0575, 1.0532, 1.0505, 1.0497


  6. #6
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trade within broader 1.3433/1.3816 consolidative range. The latest strong sell-off from 1.3816 found support at 1.3462 yesterday, just above 1.3433 range bottom, ahead of current recovery phase. Higher low is now required to resume towards 1.3586/1.3639, with break of the latter to trigger stronger recovery. However, overall outlook remains negative and upside failure to attract 1.3433, then 1.3250/1.3088.

    Res: 1.3568, 1.3586, 1.3600, 1.3625
    Sup: 1.3501, 1.3462, 1.3433, 1.3423




    GBP/USD

    Dipped to 1.4930 yesterday, following an upside rejection from 1.5380 on 17 Mar. Recovery attempt reached 1.5111 today, retracing slightly over 38.2% of 1.5380/1.4930 downleg, ahead of fresh weakness. Need to confirm higher low for retest of 1.4930, break of which would expose 1.4871 and possible final attempt at 1.4780 bottom. 1.5111 now offers initial resistance, ahead of 1.5155/95 zone.


    Res: 1.5111, 1.5160, 1.5206, 1.5224
    Sup: 1.4976, 1.4930, 1.4871, 1.4780




    USD/JPY

    Remains locked in 89.74/91.08 consolidation range, with positive bias seen in play while 89.74 support holds. However, sustained break above 90.79/91.08 is needed to resume short-term recovery and focus 92.13 next. Loss of 89.74 would weaken the structure and risk test of 88.13 instead.

    Res: 90.37, 90.79, 91.08, 91.22
    Sup: 89.74, 89.62, 89.45, 89.30




    USD/CHF

    Continues to channel higher off 1.0505, 17 Mar low, forming a triangle, with 1.0660 high reached yesterday. Break here is needed to resume recovery towards 1.0694/1.0730. Failure to do so risks downside test of 1.0575, trendline support, then1.0561/30, ahead of possible attempt at 1.0505.

    Res: 1.0645, 1.0660, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0575, 1.0530, 1.0505, 1.0497


  7. #7
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Continues to trade within broader 1.3433/1.3816 consolidative range. The latest strong sell-off from 1.3816 found support at 1.3462 yesterday, just above 1.3433 range bottom, ahead of current recovery phase. This has so far stalled at 1.3568, with market attempting to leave a lower top, for fresh push higher. However, regain of 1.3639 is needed to resume short-term recovery, otherwise, attack at 1.3433 and possibly lower would be likely scenario.

    Res: 1.3568, 1.3586, 1.3600, 1.3625
    Sup: 1.3474, 1.3462, 1.3433, 1.3423




    GBP/USD

    Fresh strength emerges from 1.4971, today’s low, after recovery attempt off yesterday’s 1.4930 low failed at 1.5111. Break through 1.5111/60 is required to resume near term bears and open 1.5200/50 zone next. Early upside rejection, however, brings 1.4930, then 1.4871 and possibly 1.4780 levels back in focus.


    Res: 1.5111, 1.5160, 1.5206, 1.5224
    Sup: 1.4971, 1.4930, 1.4871, 1.4780




    USD/JPY

    Remains locked in 89.74/91.08 consolidation range, with positive bias seen in play while 89.74 support holds. However, sustained break above 90.79/91.08 is needed to resume short-term recovery and focus 92.13 next. Loss of 89.74 would weaken the structure and risk test of 88.13 instead.

    Res: 90.37, 90.79, 91.08, 91.22
    Sup: 90.12, 89.74, 89.62, 89.45





    USD/CHF

    Short-term trading remains entrenched within a corrective channel off 1.0887, 02 Mar lower high, while triangular consolidation from 1.0505, 17 Mar low may precede a further push lower through 1.0505/1.04497, strong support area. Only break above 1.0660/76 would ease immediate downside risk and pivot market higher.


    Res: 1.0645, 1.0660, 1.0676, 1.0697
    Sup: 1.0530, 1.0505, 1.0497, 1.0424



  8. #8
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Latest sell-off from 1.3816 has finally broke below 1.3433, past four week’s range bottom, to open way for fresh weakness. Next targets stand at 1.3423 and 1.3339, May 2009 lows. Correction on oversold hourly studies is likely, with 1.3568 expected to cap.

    Res: 1.3444, 1.3462, 1.3480, 1.3502
    Sup: 1.3423, 1.3339, 1.3245, 1.3190




    GBP/USD

    Positive structure off 1.4930, 22 Mar low, suggests a final leg higher before the formation of a lower high and a possible retest of 1.4780 yearly low. Regain of 1.5207, 61.8% retracement of 1.5380/1.4930 decline, however would open fresh strength.

    Res: 1.5018, 1.5051, 1.5086, 1.5111
    Sup: 1.4930, 1.4871, 1.4855, 1.4780




    USD/JPY

    Fresh strength off 89.82, 22 Mar higher low, has cleared 90.76/79 resistances, to dent 91.08 key level. Clear break here would trigger upside extension towards 92.13, 19 Feb high, next. Only reversal under 89.74 would weaken current structure.

    Res: 91.27, 91.38, 91.90, 92.13
    Sup: 90.79, 90.35, 90.12, 89.74




    USD/CHF

    Triangular consolidation from 1.0505, 17 Mar low broke above key resistance, with 1.0700 being reached so far. Near-term structure remains positive and potential break above 1.0729, 11 Mar high to spark a recovery to 1.0805/10 next. 1.0637/09 now offers initial support.

    Res: 1.0729, 1.0810, 1.0898, 1.0940
    Sup: 1.0660, 1.0637, 1.0609, 1.0534


  9. #9
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Today’s break below 1.3433, range bottom, triggered market lower to reach fresh yearly lows. 1.3339, 8 May 2009 low has also been cleared way for test of 1.3190, 30 Apr 2009 low. 1.3462, former support, now reverted to resistance, expected to cap, to hold immediate bears in play.

    Res: 1.3444, 1.3462, 1.3480, 1.3502
    Sup: 1.3245, 1.3190, 1.3165, 1.3120




    GBP/USD

    Negative tone now dominates after 1.5111 confirmed as lower top. Today’s break under 1.4930, key near-term support, triggered fresh weakness to test 1.4871, 10 Mar low. This sees potential for final attempt at 1.4780, break of which may signal a significant decline in a near future. Regain of 1.5086/1.5111, however, would ease bear pressure.

    Res: 1.4930, 1.4971, 1.5018, 1.5051
    Sup: 1.4871, 1.4855, 1.4780, 1.4765




    USD/JPY

    Today’s strength has broken out of 89.74/91.08 consolidation range, extending gains to 91.95 thus far. Next targets stand at key 92.13, 19 Feb high, break of which would allow stronger correction 93.15/39. Downside, 91.08/90.79 area offers initial support, while only loss of 89.74 would damage current structure.

    Res: 92.13, 92.45, 93.15, 93.39
    Sup: 91.08, 90.79, 90.35, 90.12





    USD/CHF

    Triangular consolidation from 1.0505, 17 Mar low, broke above key resistance, to extend gains to 1.0714 so far. Near-term structure remains positive and potential break above 1.0729, 11 Mar high to spark a recovery to 1.0805/10 next. Correction now under way, with 1.0637/09 now offering initial support.

    Res: 1.0729, 1.0810, 1.0898, 1.0940
    Sup: 1.0637, 1.0609, 1.0534, 1.0477


  10. #10
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    Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (09:30 GMT)

    EUR/USD

    Two day bear flag seen on 23 Mar has triggered a fresh weakness to break through 1.3433 range bottom, to commence next key leg lower, targeting 1.3245, then 1.3190, en-route to 1.3090, short-term objective. Upside, 1.3433/62 area should now cap corrective rallies.

    Res: 1.3346, 1.3376, 1.3444, 1.3462
    Sup: 1.3281, 1.3245, 1.3190, 1.3165




    GBP/USD

    Positive near-term structure has triggered a minor double bottom reversal from 1.4782, targeting the 1.4950 region, where a lower high is seen forming, ahead of fresh attempt at 1.4780, key low. Regain of 1.5018, yesterday’s intraday high, however, would delay, for stronger recovery towards 1.5085/1.5111.

    Res: 1.5018, 1.5051, 1.5086, 1.5111
    Sup: 1.4871, 1.4855, 1.4780, 1.4765




    USD/JPY

    Rallied higher yesterday, breaking through 90.65/79 key resistance area, to complete a continuation pattern that signals an extension off 88.13, yearly low, posted on 04 Mar. Initial target at 92.13, has already been reached, with market now focusing 93.75, yearly high of 08 Jan. Current correction should hold above 91.35, to keep immediate bulls in play.

    Res: 92.13, 92.45, 93.15, 93.39
    Sup: 91.70, 91.38, 91.08, 90.79




    USD/CHF

    Triangular consolidation from 1.0505, 17 Mar low, broke above key resistance, to extend gains to 1.0714 so far. Near-term structure remains positive and holding above 1.0660 keeps scope for break above 1.0729, 11 Mar high, to spark a recovery to 1.0805/10 next. Loss of 1.0610, however, would delay and open 1.0560/45 zone instead.

    Res: 1.0740, 1.0793, 1.0810, 1.0898
    Sup: 1.0660, 1.0637, 1.0609, 1.0534


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