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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX

  1. #111

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/22/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias however yesterdays price action failed to make further highs. Later into the session the price action traded down into the direction of the 8 period moving averages and this negativity has continued this morning which has seen the completion of the move to this average.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The RSI is confirming the move.
    4. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    5. The averages have crossed positively.
    6. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages there is potential for scalping and counter trend opportunities taken off intraday charts with the target being the 8 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays down day.

    There has been a fairly active open to this morning’s session with GBPUSD trading down to the 8 period moving averages.

    We are monitoring pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages acting as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following the breach of both trend line support and the 0.9200 area we have witnessed yesterday a strong bounce off these levels. We are monitoring the price action for any signs of increased upward momentum which could see USDCHF trade up to and breach the 8 period moving averages. The 8 period moving averages is also our initial area of interest where shorting opportunities may arise.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading below the 8 period moving averages there is potential for scalping and counter trend opportunities taken off intraday charts with the target being the 8 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Although USDJPY continues to trade within a tight range we are this morning seeing a sustain push higher off the 8 period moving averages. We are monitoring a move up to the Fibonacci resistance area and 34 period moving averages where we will reassess the situation and look for potential reversal patterns and resumption of the down trend. However a sustain move higher could see a higher low printed on the weekly chart an more focus being given to the long side.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages there is the possibility of a corrective up move back to Fibonacci resistance and the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Gold is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    Subsequently Gold has corrected down to the 8 period moving averages which is not our initial area of interest where possible positive rotation and resumption of the uptrend could happen. However a sustain breach of this average could potential see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is trading within the Fibonacci resistance zone.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain breach of the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    Following the down spike and lower low of the 8th August WTI has failed to print a higher high. Furthermore the breach of the 34 period moving averages has been followed by a lower high being printed. A move beneath the prior swing low would confirm the bearish bias however a broader analysis of the price pattern being currently formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation. A failure of the flag could potentially see Oil move to the Fibonacci support area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias remains negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative.
    2. Oil is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    2. The averages are layered positively.
    3. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    4. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    5. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as selling opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively following the bounce off the 8th August down spike we are monitoring the possibility of a move to the 2nd August high.

  2. #112

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/22/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias however yesterdays price action failed to make further highs. Later into the session the price action traded down into the direction of the 8 period moving averages and this negativity has continued this morning which has seen the completion of the move to this average.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The RSI is confirming the move.
    4. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    5. The averages have crossed positively.
    6. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages there is potential for scalping and counter trend opportunities taken off intraday charts with the target being the 8 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays down day.

    There has been a fairly active open to this morning’s session with GBPUSD trading down to the 8 period moving averages.

    We are monitoring pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages acting as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following the breach of both trend line support and the 0.9200 area we have witnessed yesterday a strong bounce off these levels. We are monitoring the price action for any signs of increased upward momentum which could see USDCHF trade up to and breach the 8 period moving averages. The 8 period moving averages is also our initial area of interest where shorting opportunities may arise.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading below the 8 period moving averages there is potential for scalping and counter trend opportunities taken off intraday charts with the target being the 8 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Although USDJPY continues to trade within a tight range we are this morning seeing a sustain push higher off the 8 period moving averages. We are monitoring a move up to the Fibonacci resistance area and 34 period moving averages where we will reassess the situation and look for potential reversal patterns and resumption of the down trend. However a sustain move higher could see a higher low printed on the weekly chart an more focus being given to the long side.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages there is the possibility of a corrective up move back to Fibonacci resistance and the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Gold is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    Subsequently Gold has corrected down to the 8 period moving averages which is not our initial area of interest where possible positive rotation and resumption of the uptrend could happen. However a sustain breach of this average could potential see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is trading within the Fibonacci resistance zone.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain breach of the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    Following the down spike and lower low of the 8th August WTI has failed to print a higher high. Furthermore the breach of the 34 period moving averages has been followed by a lower high being printed. A move beneath the prior swing low would confirm the bearish bias however a broader analysis of the price pattern being currently formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation. A failure of the flag could potentially see Oil move to the Fibonacci support area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias remains negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative.
    2. Oil is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    2. The averages are layered positively.
    3. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    4. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    5. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as selling opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively following the bounce off the 8th August down spike we are monitoring the possibility of a move to the 2nd August high.

  3. #113

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/23/2013



    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 23rd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.
    The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias and this was confirmed yesterday by the bullish hammer that was printed whilst it traded around 8 periods moving averages support area.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The RSI is confirming the move.
    4. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    5. The averages have crossed positively.
    6. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.
    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if EURUSD can breach the 8 period moving averages the next target is the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 22nd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Yesterday GBPUSD traded down to the area of the 8 period moving averages

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages acting as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 23rd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following the breach of both trend line support and the 0.9200 area we have witnessed a good bounce off these levels. We are monitoring the price action to see if USDCHF can make a sustained push above the 8 period moving averages. The 8 period moving averages is also our initial area of interest where shorting opportunities may arise.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if the price action can breach the 8 period moving averages then the next target is the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 23rd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Yesterday USDJPY pushed higher as traded through the 34 period moving averages and in Fibonacci resistance.
    We are monitoring this move up to the Fibonacci resistance area and 34 period moving averages where we will reassess the situation and look for potential reversal patterns and resumption of the down trend. However a sustained move higher could see a higher low printed on the weekly chart an more focus being given to the long side.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is trading above moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 8 period moving averages there is the possibility of a corrective up move back to Fibonacci resistance and the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 23rd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Gold is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    Subsequently Gold has corrected down to the 8 period moving averages which is not our initial area of interest where possible positive rotation and resumption of the uptrend could happen. However a sustain breach of this average could potential see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is trading within the Fibonacci resistance zone.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain breach of the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 23rd August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.
    Following the down spike and lower low of the 8th August WTI has failed to print a higher high. Furthermore the breach of the 34 period moving averages has been followed by a lower high being printed. A move beneath the prior swing low would confirm the bearish bias however a broader analysis of the price pattern being currently formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation. A failure of the flag could potentially see Oil move to the Fibonacci support area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias remains negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative.
    2. Oil is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    2. The averages are layered positively.
    3. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    4. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    5. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as selling opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively following the bounce off the 8th August down spike we are monitoring the possibility of a move to the 2nd August high.

  4. #114

    Default Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/26/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/26/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after Fridays up day.
    The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    4. The averages have crossed positively.
    5. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.
    2. The RSI is confirming is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if EURUSD can breach the 8 period moving averages the next target is the 34 period moving averages.


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading unchanged from the open after Fridays down day.

    On Friday GBPUSD traded under the 8 period moving averages

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring this pullbacks to the averages acting as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -




    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after Fridays down day

    Following the breach of both trend line support and the 0.9200 area we have witnessed a good bounce off these levels. We are monitoring the price action to see if USDCHF can make a sustained push above the 8 period moving averages. The 8 period moving averages is also our initial area of interest where shorting opportunities may arise.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if the price action can breach the 8 period moving averages then the next target is the 34 period moving averages.


    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading unchanged from the open after Friday’s unchanged day.

    On Friday USDJPY pushed higher as traded through the 34 period moving averages and in Fibonacci resistance.
    However the price action failed to print a higher close.

    We are monitoring this move up to the Fibonacci resistance area and 34 period moving averages where we will reassess the situation and look for potential reversal patterns and resumption of the down trend. However a sustained move higher could see a higher low printed on the weekly chart an more focus being given to the long side.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is trading above moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 34 period moving averages there is the possibility of a corrective up move back to Fibonacci resistance.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading unchanged from the open after Fridays up day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    Friday’s correction down to the 8 period moving averages was our initial area of interest where a resumption of the uptrend could happen. Gold did bounce with force from this level and printed a further higher high.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is trading within the Fibonacci resistance zone.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain breach of the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 26th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after Fridays up day.
    Following the down spike and lower low of the 8th August WTI has failed to print a higher high. Furthermore the breach of the 34 period moving averages has been followed by a lower high being printed. A move beneath the prior swing low would confirm the bearish bias however a broader analysis of the price pattern being currently formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation. A failure of the flag could potentially see Oil move to the Fibonacci support area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias remains negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. Oil is trading above the averages.
    2. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    3. The averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    5. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    6. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as selling opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively following the bounce off the 8th August down spike we are monitoring the possibility of a move to the 2nd August high.

  5. #115

    Default Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/27/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/27/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    The price action this morning has opened and is trading within a 2 day range. The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    4. The averages have crossed positively.
    5. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.
    2. The RSI is confirming is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if EURUSD can breach the 8 period moving averages the next target is the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.

    GBPUSD continues to trade under the 8 period moving averages

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring this pullbacks to the averages acting as a potential buying area. However there is potential for a move to the 34 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following the breach of both trend line support and the 0.9200 area we have witnessed a good bounce off these levels. We are monitoring the price action to see if USDCHF can make a sustained push above the 8 period moving averages. The 8 period moving averages is also our initial area of interest where shorting opportunities may arise.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if the price action can breach the 8 period moving averages then the next target is the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Yesterday USDJPY experience a quite day as the price action continues to be squeezed between the 8 and 34 period moving averages.

    We are monitoring this move up to the Fibonacci resistance area and 34 period moving averages where we will reassess the situation and look for potential reversal patterns and resumption of the down trend. However a sustained move higher could see a higher low printed on the weekly chart with more focus being given to the long side.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is trading above moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is trading above the 34 period moving averages there is the possibility of a corrective up move back to Fibonacci resistance.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    Friday’s correction down to the 8 period moving averages was our initial area of interest where a resumption of the uptrend could happen. Gold did bounce with force from this level and printed a further higher high.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is trading within the Fibonacci resistance zone.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain breach of the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 34 period moving averages.




    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 27th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays down day.
    Following the down spike and lower low of the 8th August WTI has failed to print a higher high. Furthermore the breach of the 34 period moving averages has been followed by a lower high being printed. A move beneath the prior swing low would confirm the bearish bias however a broader analysis of the price pattern being currently formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation. A failure of the flag could potentially see Oil move to the Fibonacci support area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias remains negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. Oil is trading above the averages.
    2. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    3. The averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    5. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    6. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as selling opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively following the bounce off the 8th August down spike we are monitoring the possibility of a move to the 2nd August high.

  6. #116

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/28/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.
    The price action this morning has opened and is trading within a 3 day range. The breach of the prior swing high continues to give EURUSD a positive bias.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 8 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    4. The averages have crossed positively.
    5. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.
    2. The RSI is confirming is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if EURUSD can breach the 8 period moving averages the next target is the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    GBPUSD continues to trade under the 8 period moving averages

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring this pullbacks to the averages acting as a potential buying area. However there is potential for a move to the 34 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the initial area of interest being the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 8 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays down day

    Yesterday USDCHF broke down from the 8 period moving averages and broke beneath 0.9200 level and trend line support. We are monitoring a potential breach of the 20th August low.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.
    5. The price action is trading beneath the averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is becoming extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if the price action cannot breach the 20th August low there is potential for a pullback to the 8 period moving averages.




    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Yesterday USDJPY down from the averages following what appears to be a corrective pull back. This move is in line with a rejection of Fibonacci resistance.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.
    7. The price action is trading below the moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages we may see a corrective up to sideways pullback.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively.

    We continue monitor pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages as buying opportunities.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages there is potential for taking counter trend shorts down to the averages.




    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 28th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Oil is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.
    As posted previously although Oil printed a lower low and lower high bearish combination the broader analysis of the price pattern that was formed is that price action is potentially printing a bullish flag consolidation.

    Following the 21st August potential higher low being printed Oil yesterday did reverse to the upside on a swing bases by trading above the previous pivot high. This upward momentum has continued this morning.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. Oil is trading above the averages.
    3. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    4. The averages are layered positively.
    5. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    6. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    7. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The price action is extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages Oil may experience a down to sideways corrective pullback.

  7. #117

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/29/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    This morning EURUSD broke down from the proceeding tight range is now touching the 34 period moving averages and trend line support.

    We continue to monitor the price action to see if the 34 period moving average will act as support.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    4. The averages have crossed positively.
    5. The price action has broken above the 8 period moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The averages are becoming extended which could lead to corrective down to sideways price action.
    2. The RSI is confirming is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if EURUSD can breach the 34 period moving averages there is potential for an extended move to the previous swing low.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    Yesterday GBPUSD broke lower only to find good support at the 3 period moving averages and in the process a bullish hammer candle was printed.

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring this pullbacks to the averages acting as a potential buying area. However there is potential for a move to the previous swing low.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The moving averages are somewhat extended.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the next area of interest being the 34 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 34 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the prior swing low.




    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following yesterday’s strong bounce off support the positivity has continued into the European session as USDCHF trades towards the 34 period moving averages.

    It would appear that USDCHF is attempting to build a base prior to breaking higher. However on a swing bases the trend is down and a breach of the 20th August low would reconfirm this trend.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price has corrected but there is potential for an extended move past the 34 period moving averages.
    2. Support is holding.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively if the price action cannot breach the 20th August low there is potential for a pullback to the 34 period moving averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Yesterday USDJPY reversed off the lows and closed higher. This positive movement has continued into the European session with the price action moving back into the averages. Although Fibonacci resistance is a hurdle that needs to be overcome a move above the previous swing high will effectively change the trend to long. Furthermore with the development of what can be described as a large converging triangle, an upside break of this triangle could see USDJPY breaching the 100 level.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.
    7. The price action is trading below the moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is attempting to print a higher low.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively this corrective move could potentially change into a full trend reversal pattern if the price action can breach the previous swing high.




    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Gold is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Following the printing of a higher high and breach the previous swing high Gold is now effectively trending positively. However following yesterday’s reversal day where a bearish shooting star candle was printed we are monitoring pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages as buying opportunities.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.
    2. The price action is extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages there is potential for taking counter trend shorts down to the averages.




    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 29th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    Following Tuesday’s powerful break out Oil yesterday experienced a reversal as a bearish shooting star candle was printed. As the price action continues to be extended from the averages it is not surprising that a corrective down to sideways pullback is happening. As long as the price action can hold above the 21st August low then the trend stays long.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. Oil is trading above the averages.
    3. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    4. The averages are layered positively.
    5. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    6. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    7. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The price action is extended from the averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages Oil may experience a down to sideways corrective pullback.

  8. #118

    Default Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/30/2013

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 08/30/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    Yesterday EURUSD continued to trade lower as it broke through the 34 period moving averages and trend line support. If the price action can breach the prior swing low then the swing bias will effectively change to down.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has breached trend line resistance.
    3. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    4. The averages have crossed positively.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action has broken beneath the averages.
    2. The RSI is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as EURUSD has breached the 34 period moving averages there is potential for an extended move to the previous swing low.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays down day.

    GBPUSD continues to find support at the 34 period moving averages.

    As the swing bias remains positive we are monitoring this pullbacks to the averages acting as a potential buying area. However there is possibility for a move to the previous swing low.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is retracing to the positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. GBPUSD has broken beneath the 8 period moving averages.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities with the next area of interest being the 34 period moving averages.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 34 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the prior swing low.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following a strong bounce off support the positivity has continued as USDCHF traded through the 34 period moving averages.

    It would appear that USDCHF is attempting to build a base prior to breaking higher. However on a swing bases the trend is down and a breach of the 20th August low would reconfirm this trend.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price has corrected but there is potential for an extended move past the 34 period moving averages.
    2. Support is holding.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as there has been a breach of the 34 period moving averages there is potential for a move to prior swing high.




    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Following USDJPY reversal we are monitoring the price action to see if there will be a break down from the 34 period moving averages and trend line resistance.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.
    7. The price action is trading below the moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is attempting to print a higher low.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively this corrective move could potentially change into a full trend reversal pattern if the price action can breach the previous swing high.


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.

    This morning Gold has traded down to the 8 period moving averages which we are monitoring as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages there is potential for taking counter trend shorts down to the averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 30th August 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after yesterdays down day.
    This morning Oil traded down to the 8 period moving averages where support was found. We are monitoring the potential for a further upswing.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. Oil is trading above the averages.
    3. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    4. The averages are layered positively.
    5. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    6. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.
    7. The weekly RSI diverging positively.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly RSI diverging negatively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages Oil may experience a down to sideways corrective pullback.

  9. #119

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 09/02/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after Fridays down day.
    Friday EURUSD continued to trade lower as it breached the previous pivot swing low. This breach effectively changes the trend from up to down. The price action is now trading under both the averages and trend line support. We are monitoring a potential negative cross of the averages which will confirm the new down trend. However the weekly time does continue to point up which could indicate that this change in the trend on the daily trend is nothing more than a strong corrective move.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative..
    2. The price action has breached trend line support.
    3. The price action has broken beneath the averages.
    4. The RSI is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    2. The averages have crossed positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as EURUSD is extended from the averages and therefore there is a possibility of a corrective up to sideways move.



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading higher from the open after Fridays down day.

    GBPUSD is bouncing off the 34 period moving averages and is this morning trading above the 8 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is bouncing off positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. GBPUSD is approaching Fibonacci resistance.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 34 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the prior swing low.




    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after Fridays up day

    Following a strong bounce off support the positivity has continued as USDCHF traded through the 34 period moving averages.

    It would appear that USDCHF is attempting to build a base prior to breaking higher. However on a swing bases the trend is down and a breach of the 20th August low would reconfirm this trend.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price has corrected but there is potential for an extended move past the 34 period moving averages.
    2. Support is holding.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as there has been a breach of the 34 period moving averages there is potential for a move to prior swing high.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after Fridays down day.

    This morning USDJPY is attempting to breach the upper level of the converging triangle. A successful breach followed by a move above the previous swing high would effectively change the trend from down to up.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The moving averages have crossed negatively.
    3. The price action has broken below the significant 100 level.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The price action has managed to break below the upward sloping trend line.
    6. Fibonacci resistance is offering down side pressure.
    7. The price action is trading below the moving averages.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price action is attempting to print a higher low.
    2. The price action is attempting to breach trend line converging triangle resistance.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively this corrective move could potentially change into a full trend reversal pattern if the price action can breach the previous swing high.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading unchanged from the open after Fridays down day.

    This morning Gold has traded down to the 8 period moving averages which we are monitoring as a potential buying area.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages there is potential for taking counter trend shorts down to the averages.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 2nd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading lower from the open after Fridays down day.
    This morning Oil traded down to the 34 period moving averages where support was found. We are monitoring the potential for a further upswing.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. Oil is trading above the averages.
    3. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    4. The averages are layered positively.
    5. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    6. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly RSI diverging negatively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages Oil may experience a down to sideways corrective pullback.

  10. #120

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 09/03/2013


    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    EURUSD is this morning trading lower from the open after Yesterdays down day.
    This morning EURUSD continues to trade lower. With the swing bias having turned negative we are monitoring a potential negative cross of the averages which will confirm the new down trend. However the weekly time does continue to point up which could indicate that this change of daily trend is nothing more than a strong corrective move.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has changed to negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is negative..
    2. The price action has breached trend line support.
    3. The price action has broken beneath the averages.
    4. The RSI is showing signs of negative divergence.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame has a positive swing bias.
    2. The averages have crossed positively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down retracements into resistance could be viewed as selling opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as EURUSD is extended from the averages and therefore there is a possibility of a corrective up to sideways move.




    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterdays up day.

    GBPUSD bounced off the 34 period moving averages and is this morning trading above the 8 period moving averages.

    In terms of the bigger the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias has turned positive.
    2. The price action is bouncing off positively layered averages which could offer a buying opportunity.
    3. The averages have crossed positively.
    4. The RSI is confirming the move.
    5. The weekly time frame is in gear with the daily time frame.
    6. The price action traded through the 1.5250 resistance level.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. GBPUSD is approaching Fibonacci resistance.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively a sustain break of the 34 period moving averages could potentially see GBPUSD trade into the direction of the prior swing low.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDCHF is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day

    Following a strong bounce off support the positivity has continued as USDCHF traded through the 34 period moving averages.

    It would appear that USDCHF is attempting to build a base prior to breaking higher. However on a swing bases the trend is down and a breach of the 20th August low would reconfirm this trend.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is negative.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias remains negative.
    2. The weekly time frame continues to have a negative bias.
    3. The RSI is in gear with the move.
    4. The averages are negatively layered.

    Alternative counter trend bullish factors:
    1. The price has corrected but there is potential for an extended move past the 34 period moving averages.
    2. Support is holding.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is down corrective pullback could possibly offer shorting opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as there has been a breach of the 34 period moving averages there is potential for a move to prior swing high.



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    USDJPY is this morning trading higher from the open after yesterdays up day.

    Yesterday USDJPY breached the prior high following the upside break of the converging triangle. This move and the successful breach of the previous swing high has effectively change the trend from down to up.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has turned positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The price action has breached the upper trend line of a converging triangle.
    4. The moving averages have crossed positively.
    5. The price action is trading above the moving averages.
    6. The RSI is confirming the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The 100 level could offer a barrier to further upside movement.
    2. Fibonacci resistance could offer down side pressure.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements into support could be viewed as buying opportunities

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively Fibonacci resistance could offer selling opportunities.



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Gold is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterday’s unchanged day.

    Yesterday Gold attempted to trade lower only for support to come into the market and in the process led to a printing of a bullish hammer candle. We are monitoring the price action for further signs of positive rotation.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias has reversed to positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. The price action has printed a higher low.
    3. The moving averages are layered positively.
    4. The price action is trading above the averages.
    5. The price action is trading above the 1322 support level.
    6. The RSI is in gear with the move.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly time frame continues to point down.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up corrective sideways to down movements could potentially be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages there is potential for taking counter trend shorts down to the averages.




    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 3rd September 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW

    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    Oil is this morning trading unchanged from the open after yesterday’s unchanged day.
    Yesterday Oil attempted to trade lower only to reverse and print a bullish hammer candle. This morning Oil is hovering around the 34 period moving averages where support could be found. We are monitoring the potential for a further upswing.

    In terms of the bigger picture the swing bias is positive.

    The following factors are confirming or reinforcing this market bias:
    1. The swing bias is positive.
    2. Oil is trading above the averages.
    3. The prior down spike has been reversed.
    4. The averages are layered positively.
    5. The price action is forming a possible corrective zigzag consolidation pattern.
    6. The price action is trading above the large monthly converging triangle.

    Alternative counter trend bearish factors:
    1. The weekly RSI diverging negatively.

    Scenario 1
    As the dominant daily trend is up retracements to resistance areas could possibly be viewed as buying opportunities.

    Scenario 2
    Alternatively as the price action is extended from the averages Oil may experience a down to sideways corrective pullback.

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