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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX

  1. #211

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    4th April 2014




    EURUSD



    Summary
    Thursday EURUSD broke down from its averages as the price action traded down to Fibonacci support.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. However there has been a recent strong correction which has had the effect of creating a bearish head and shoulders pattern that is marked by the ellipse. The downside target for a completion of the head and shoulders pattern is in the region of the 1.3420 support level.

    However as the weekly chart continues to have a positive bias I am monitoring signs for a base to build within the Fibonacci support area.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened negatively as it trades at the lows of the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential bounce off trend line and Fibonacci support.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility tests trend line support.



    GBPUSD




    Summary
    Thursday GBPUSD traded and closed under the prior broken up trend line as the price action traded down to the 1.6570 support level.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook.

    More recently GBPUSD has experienced a strong downside correction and this has had the effect of creating a large converging triangle consolidation pattern. As GBPUSD has bow bounced off Fibonacci support and with the weekly trend pointing up I would expect this triangle pattern when it breaks to trade higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the lows of yesterday’s range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the 1.6570 support level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain lower prices could see the price action test the 1.6700 resistance level.



    USDJPY



    Summary
    Thursday USDJPY continued to trade higher as it closed for the second day above the 103.76 level being the prior swing high of the 7th March.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened quietly with the price action trading within yesterday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a move towards the 104.85 level being the prior swing high of the 25th January

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see USDJPY trade down to the 103.40 level.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Thursday USDCHF traded and closed above the right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders pattern. The upside move continued all day until the price action was held at the 50% Fibonacci level, the 0.8930 resistance level and trend line resistance.

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern has now broken to the upside I am now monitoring the possibility that this pattern reaches its upside target of 0.9080.

    However daily and weekly bias does continue to be fixed to the downside therefore shorting rallies is still probably the most logical strategy to adopt. I am therefore monitoring the price action as it tests the downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance for signs of a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened positively as it trades at the highs of Thursday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially test the 0.8930 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see USDCHF test the moving averages.


    Gold



    Summary
    Thursday Gold following its bounce off the 50% Fibonacci support level failed to break above the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened quietly as the price action trades within the previous 3 days candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to trade up to the 1310.00 level.

    Alternatively a failure to penetrate the 8 period moving averages could see Gold trade down to the 1270.00 level.



    Oil



    Summary
    Thursday Oil had a strong up day as the price action traded back up to its averages.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher. However Oil needs to hold above the 97.35 level so as to maintain its daily uptrend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened positively with the price action trades above Thursday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test of the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade back down to the 100.00 level.



    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Thursday AUDUSD experienced a quiet day as it traded around the 8 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. That AUDUSD has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern it will be interesting to see if either this pattern trades to its upside target which comes in at the 0.9535 level or if Fibonacci resistance will offer a strong barrier to further upside momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened quietley as the price action tests the 8 period moving averages.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential move into the direction of trend line support.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD tests the 61.8 Fibonacci resistance level.



    Dow30



    Summary
    Thursday Dow30 continued to trade higher as the price action tested the 16,570 resistance level.

    Market overview
    The move above the 16,514 being the 7th March swing high has changed the daily trend to up. This has put the daily trend in gear with the weekly trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Dow30 haso opened quietly as the price action trades above the 16,570 level and within the previous days candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential close above the 16,570 resistance level.

    Alternatively if Dow30 fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that Dow30 trades down to the 16,500 support level.

  2. #212

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    7th April 2014






    EURUSD



    Summary
    Friday EURUSD continued to trade lower as the price action traded down to Fibonacci, trend line and the 1.3670 support level.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. However there has been a recent strong correction which has had the effect of creating a bearish head and shoulders pattern that is marked by the ellipse. The downside target for a completion of the head and shoulders pattern is in the region of the 1.3420 support level.

    However as the weekly chart continues to have a positive bias I am monitoring signs for a base to build within the Fibonacci support area.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as it trades within the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential bounce off trend line and Fibonacci support.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility tests trend line support.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Friday GBPUSD continued to trade lower as the price action tested the 1.6570 support level.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook.

    More recently GBPUSD has experienced a strong downside correction and this has had the effect of creating a large converging triangle consolidation pattern. As GBPUSD has bow bounced off Fibonacci support and with the weekly trend pointing up I would expect this triangle pattern when it breaks to trade higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades within the previous days range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the 1.6570 support level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain lower prices could see the price action test the 1.6700 resistance level.


    USDJPY



    Summary
    Friday USDJPY broke down from its highs as the price action traded down to the 8 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened bearishly with the price action breaching the 8 period daily moving averages and tests the 103.00 support level.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a test of the 103.00 support level and possible move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY test the 103.40 resistance level.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Friday USDCHF attempted to traded above trend line resistance but was not able to hold above it.

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern has now broken to the upside I am now monitoring the possibility that this pattern reaches its upside target of 0.9080.

    However daily and weekly bias does continue to be fixed to the downside therefore shorting rallies is still probably the most logical strategy to adopt. I am therefore monitoring the price action as it tests the downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance for signs of a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades within Friday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially retest the 0.8930 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see USDCHF test the moving averages.



    Gold



    Summary
    Friday Gold continued to trade higher as the price action bounced off Fibonacci support and closed well above the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of Friday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to trade up to the 1310.00 level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 1270.00 level.



    Oil



    Summary
    Friday Oil had a strong up day as the price action closed above its averages.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher. However Oil needs to hold above the 97.35 level so as to maintain its daily uptrend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened quietly as the price action trades within Friday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 102.20 level being a prior swing high.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade back down to the 100.00 level.




    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Friday AUDUSD bounce higher off the 8 period daily moving averages as the price action closed above Tuesday’s high.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. That AUDUSD has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern it will be interesting to see if either this pattern trades to its upside target which comes in at the 0.9535 level or if Fibonacci resistance will offer a strong barrier to further upside momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened quietley as the price action trades at the highs of Friday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential move to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 8 period daily moving averages.

  3. #213

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    8th April 2014





    EURUSD




    Summary
    Monday EURUSD bounce higher off Fibonacci, trend line and the 1.3670 support level as the price action tested the 8 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. However there has been a recent strong correction which has had the effect of creating a bearish head and shoulders pattern that is marked by the ellipse. The downside target for a completion of the head and shoulders pattern is in the region of the 1.3420 support level.

    However as the weekly chart continues to have a positive bias I am monitoring signs for a base to build within the Fibonacci support area.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as it trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 8 period daily moving average and move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility tests trend line support.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Monday GBPUSD bounced higher off the 1.6570 support level as the price action tested the moving averages.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook.

    More recently GBPUSD has experienced a strong downside correction and this has had the effect of creating a large converging triangle consolidation pattern. As GBPUSD has bow bounced off Fibonacci support and with the weekly trend pointing up I would expect this triangle pattern when it breaks to trade higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the moving averages and move to up to the prior broken up trend line.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action test the 1.6570 support level.



    USDJPY




    Summary
    Monday USDJPY continued to trade lower as the price action closed beneath the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing the third day of a strong corrective pull back.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened bearishly with the price action breaching the 8 103.00 support level.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a close beneath the 103.00 support level and possible move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY test the 103.40 resistance level.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Monday USDCHF experienced a strong downside correction off trend line resistance with the price action ultimatley closing just above the 8 period daily moving

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern has now broken to the upside I am now monitoring the possibility that this pattern reaches its upside target of 0.9080.

    However daily and weekly bias does continue to be fixed to the downside therefore shorting rallies is still probably the most logical strategy to adopt. I am therefore monitoring the price action as it tests the downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance for signs of a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades below Monday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially test of the 8 period daily moving averages and a move down to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDCHF retest trend line resistance.




    Gold



    Summary
    Monday Gold was moderatley bearish day as the price action closed lower but at the highs of Friday’s range.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened strongly as the price action tests the 1310.00 resistance level and trades above Friday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to trade up to the 1310.00 level and move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 8 period moving averages.



    Oil



    Summary
    Monday Oil traded within a volatile range around its averages.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher. However Oil needs to hold above the 97.35 level so as to maintain its daily uptrend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened bullishly as the price action trades above its averages.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 102.20 level being a prior swing high.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade back down to the 100.00 level.



    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Monday AUDUSD experienced a moderatley down down as the price action traded within Friday’s candle range and closed above the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. That AUDUSD has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern it will be interesting to see if either this pattern trades to its upside target which comes in at the 0.9535 level or if Fibonacci resistance will offer a strong barrier to further upside momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bullishly as the price action trades at the highs of Friday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential move to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 8 period daily moving averages.


    Dow30



    Summary
    Monday Dow30 continued to trade lower as the price action corrected down to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    The move above the 16,514 being the 7th March swing high has changed the daily trend to up. This has put the daily trend in gear with the weekly trend. However we have now seen a strong two day corrective down move that has take the price action back down to the 16,245 support level.

    Focus on today
    This morning Dow30 has opened quietly as the price action trades at the lows of the previous days candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 16,245 support level.

    Alternatively if Dow30 fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility that Dow30 tests the 8 period daily moving averages and then trades up to the 34 period daily moving averages.

  4. #214

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    9th April 2014






    EURUSD



    Summary
    Tuesday EURUSD continued to trade higher as the price action traded upto the 34 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. However there has been a recent strong correction which has had the effect of creating a bearish head and shoulders pattern that is marked by the ellipse. The downside target for a completion of the head and shoulders pattern is in the region of the 1.3420 support level.

    However as the weekly chart continues to have a positive bias I am monitoring signs for a base to build within the Fibonacci support area.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as it trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 34 period daily moving averages and move to the 1.3875 level being the 24th March prior pivot high.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility we see a move back to the 50% Fibonacci support level.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Tuesday GBPUSD continued to trade higher as the price action traded and closed well above last weeks high. The result of the move also broke and closed above the 1.6700 resistance level. Yesterday’s price action has made an initial attempt to break above the top of the triangle.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook.

    More recently GBPUSD has experienced a strong downside correction and this has had the effect of creating a large converging triangle consolidation pattern.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the triangle formation and move to the 1.6795 level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action test the 1.6700 support level.



    USDJPY



    Summary
    Tuesday USDJPY continued to trade lower as the price action traded and closed beneath the 34 period daily moving averages. The move lower did manage to penetrate the 101.70 support level but USDJPY was not able to close the day beneath this level.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing the third day of a strong corrective pull back. A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened quietly with the price action trading at the lows of Tuesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a close beneath the 101.70 support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY trade back up to the 34 period moving averages.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Tuesday USDCHF continued to experienced a strong downside correction off trend line resistance with the price action ultimatley closing just above the 34 period daily moving

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern has now broken to the upside I am now monitoring the possibility that this pattern reaches its upside target of 0.9080.

    However daily and weekly bias does continue to be fixed to the downside therefore shorting rallies is still probably the most logical strategy to adopt. I am therefore monitoring the price action as it tests the downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance for signs of a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades at the lows of Tuesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially test of the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDCHF retest trend line resistance.



    Gold



    Summary
    Tuesday Gold saw a resumption of the uptrend as the price action closed above Friday’s candle range and tested thed 1310 resistance level.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened quietly as the price action tests the 1310.00 resistance level and trades above Friday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to trade up to the 1310.00 level and move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 8 period moving averages.



    Oil



    Summary
    Tuesday Oil resumed its prior uptrend with the price action closing above last weeks high.


    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher. However Oil needs to hold above the 97.35 level so as to maintain its daily uptrend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of yesterday’s range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 103.00 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade back down to the 100.00 level.



    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Tuesday AUDUSD traded higher as the price action bounced off the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. That AUDUSD has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern it will be interesting to see if either this pattern trades to its upside target which comes in at the 0.9535 level or if Fibonacci resistance will offer a strong barrier to further upside momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bullishly as the price action trades at the highs of Tuesday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 0.9390 resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 8 period daily moving averages.


    Dow30



    Summary
    Tuesday Dow30 continued to trade lower as the price action corrected down to the 34 period daily moving averages and 16,245 support level.

    Market overview
    The move above the 16,514 being the 7th March swing high has changed the daily trend to up. This has put the daily trend in gear with the weekly trend. However we have now seen a strong two day corrective down move that has take the price action back down to the 16,245 support level.

    Focus on today
    This morning Dow30 has opened quietly as the price action trades within the previous days candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 16,245 support level.

    Alternatively if Dow30 fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility that Dow30 tests the 34 period daily moving averages and then trades up to the 8 period daily moving averages.

  5. #215

    Default

    GBPUSD has been trading strongly nad still its a good time to enter in the pair.

  6. #216

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    10th April 2014





    EURUSD



    Summary
    Wednesday EURUSD continued to trade higher as the price action traded into the upper range of the 24th March high.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. The daily trend is now in gear with the strong weekly up trend. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. The large head and shoulders pattern would appear to be invalidated by the past three days of bullish momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as it trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price actions for a potential test of the 1.3875 level being the 24th March prior pivot high.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility we see a move back to the averages.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Wednesday GBPUSD continued to trade higher as the price action the 1.6795 resistance level whoch coincided with the prior high of the 17th February.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook. The past two day’s price activity has as expected, broken the converging triangle to the upside.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the triangle formation and move to the 1.6795 level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action test the 1.6700 support level.




    USDJPY



    Summary
    Wednesday USDJPY consolidated at the lows of Tuesday’s big down leg with the price action being unable to pentrate beneath the 101.70 support level.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing the third day of a strong corrective pull back. A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened negatively with the price action testing the 101.70 support level.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a close beneath the 101.70 support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY trade back up to the 34 period moving averages.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Wednesday USDCHF continued to experienced a strong downside correction off trend line resistance with the price action trading and closing beneath the 34 period daily moving

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That recent 3 day collapse off trend line resistance has invalidated the inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am therefore monitoring the price action as it tests the downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance for signs of a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades at the lows of Wednesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially move into the direction of the 13th March low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDCHF retest trend line resistance.




    Gold



    Summary
    Wednesday Gold continued to test the 1310 resistance level.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened strongly as the price action trades above the 1310.00 resistance level.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to hold above the 1310.00 level and move to the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 8 period moving averages.


    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Wednesday AUDUSD continued to trade higher as the price action closed above the 0.9390 resistance level and accelarates towards the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance level.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. That AUDUSD has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern it will be interesting to see if either this pattern trades to its upside target which comes in at the 0.9535 level or if Fibonacci resistance will offer a strong barrier to further upside momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bullishly as the price action trades at the highs of Wednesday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 0.9535 resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 0.9390 support level.

  7. #217

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    11th April 2014




    EURUSD



    Summary
    Thursday EURUSD continued to trade higher as the price action traded and closed above the 1.3875 level being the prior pivot high of the 24th March high.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. The daily trend is now in gear with the strong weekly up trend. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. Furthermore the large head and shoulders pattern would appear to be invalidated by the recent bullish momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as it trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price actions for a potential test of the 1.3966 level being the 13h March prior swing high.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility we see a move back to the averages.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Thursday GBPUSD continued to trade higher as the price action once again tested the 1.6795 resistance level which coincided with the prior high of the 17th February.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook. The past two day’s price activity has as expected, broken the converging triangle to the upside.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of the previous days range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a test of the 1.6795 level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action test the 1.6700 support level.





    USDJPY



    Summary
    Thursday USDJPY resumed its downward journey as the price action traded and closed below the 101.70 support level.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing the third day of a strong corrective pull back. A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened positively with the price action trading above the 101.70 support level.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a close beneath the 101.70 support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY trade back up to the 34 period moving averages.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Thursday USDCHF continued to experienced a strong downside correction off trend line resistance with the price action continuing to trade beneath the 34 period daily moving

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That recent 4 day collapse off trend line resistance has invalidated the inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am therefore considering the break down from trend line and Fibonacci resistance as a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades at the lows of Wednesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially move into the direction of the 13th March low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDCHF trade back to its averages.




    Gold



    Summary
    Thursday Gold traded and closed above the 1310 resistance level and traded towards the 34 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    That Gold has experienced a strong daily time frame correction has pushed the price action into Fibonacci support and the ability or not of Fibonacci support to push Gold higher will give an indication if the bullish daily up trend or the bearish weekly down trend will win this current battle.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened quietly as the price action trades within Wednesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to test the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 1310.00 support level.


    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Thursday AUDUSD continued to trade higher as the price action closed above the 0.9390 resistance level and accelarates towards the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance level.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. The target for the large inverse head and shoulders pattern at 0.9535 is now within reach.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bearishly as the price action trades beneath Wednesday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 0.9535 resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 0.9390 support level.



    Oil



    Summary
    Wednesday Oil continued to trade higher as the price action closed above the 103.00 resistance level.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher. However Oil needs to hold above the 97.35 level so as to maintain its daily uptrend.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened quietly as the price action trades within Wednesday’s candles range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 103.00 support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see Oil trade up to the 105.00 level.

  8. #218

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    14th April 2014






    EURUSD



    Summary
    Friday EURUSD did continue to trade higher as the price action remained above the 1.3875 level being the prior pivot high of the 24th March high.
    There was an attempt to trade above the significant 1.3900 level however the price action failed to maintain upside momentum above this level
    and ultimatley closed the day lower..

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high.
    The daily trend is now in gear with the strong weekly up trend. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend.
    Furthermore the large head and shoulders pattern would appear to be invalidated by the recent bullish momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly but with a gap down from Friday’s close.

    I am this morning monitoring the price actions for a potential move back to averages.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility we see a test of the 1.3900 level.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Friday GBPUSD traded lower as the price action rejected the 1.6795 resistance level which coincided with the prior high of the 17th February.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook.
    Last week’s price activity has as expected, broken the converging triangle to the upside. However Friday’s price action has seen a move back to the converging triangle and the
    1.6700 level and 8 period daily moving averages which should offer a level of support. A failure to maintain upside momentum at these levels will put a significant question on the strength of the daily trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the lows of Friday’s candle range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a bounce off the 1.6700 support level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action trade back into the triangle formation.



    USDJPY



    Summary
    Friday USDJPY continued to trade under the 101.70 and at the lows of Thursday’s range.

    Market overview

    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and
    therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the
    head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing a strong corrective pull back.
    A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened quietly with the price action trading within the previous two days candle range.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a test of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY trade back up to the 34 period moving averages.


    USDCHF



    Summary
    Friday USDCHF continued to trade lower but with greatley reduced momentum.

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it.
    That recent 5 day collapse off trend line resistance has invalidated the inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am therefore considering the
    break down from trend line and Fibonacci resistance as a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades at the lows of Wednesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to potentially move into the direction of the 13th March low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDCHF trade back to its averages.




    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Thursday AUDUSD continued to trade higher as the price action closed above the 0.9390 resistance level and accelarates towards the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance level.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February.
    However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area.
    The target for the large inverse head and shoulders pattern at 0.9535 is now within reach.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades within Fridaty’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 0.9535 resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 0.9390 support level.



    GOLD



    Summary
    Friday Gold experience a quiet day as it continued to test the 34 period moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December.
    The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month
    double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and
    Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    More recently Gold has experienced a strong rally that has push the price action back into the daily averages. This area can possibly be viewed as a value area to add shorts.
    Notwithstanding as Gold is now approaching the large downward sloping trend line we may see the price action naturally move to this area.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened bullishly as the price action trades above the 34 period daily moving averages and last week’s range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to test the 1335.00 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 1310.00 support level.



    OIL



    Summary
    Friday Oil continued to trade higher as the price action closed above the 103.00 resistance level.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December.
    The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to
    Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened strongly as the price action trades tests Friday’s high candles range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 105.00 support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade down to the 103.00 level.

  9. #219

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    15th April 2014





    EURUSD



    Summary
    Monday EURUSD traded down from the 1.3900 level and ended the day bouncing moderatley off its averages.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. The daily trend is now in gear with the strong weekly up trend. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. Furthermore the large head and shoulders pattern would appear to be invalidated by the recent bullish momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades within a tight range at the bottom of Monday’s candle.

    I am this morning monitoring the price actions for a potential downside test of the averages.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility we see a test of the 1.3900 level.



    GBPUSD



    Summary
    Monday GBPUSD traded lower as the price action tested the 1.6700 support level and 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook. Last week’s price activity has as expected, broken the converging triangle to the upside. However past two day’s price action has seen a move back to the converging triangle and the 1.6700 level and 8 period daily moving averages which should offer a level of support. A failure to maintain upside momentum at these levels will put a significant question on the strength of the daily trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades within Monday’s candle range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a bounce off the 1.6700 support level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action trade further into the triangle formation.



    USDJPY



    Summary
    Monday USDJPY for the 6th day continued to trade around the 101.70 and ultimatley closed slightly above this level.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing a strong corrective pull back. A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened quietly with the price action trading at the highs of a 5 day candle range.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a test of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see USDJPY trade back up to the 34 period moving averages.



    USDCHF



    Summary
    Monday USDCHF experienced a corrective up day as the price action close above Friday’s candle range.

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That recent 5 day collapse off trend line resistance has invalidated the inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am therefore considering the break down from trend line and Fibonacci resistance as a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened bullishly as it trades above Monday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to see if USDCHF can potentially trade back to its averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could possibly see a move into the direction of the 13th March low.




    Gold



    Summary
    Monday Gold traded higher as the price action tested the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    More recently Gold has experienced a strong rally that has push the price action back into the daily averages. This area can possibly be viewed as a value area to add shorts. Notwithstanding as Gold is now approaching the large downward sloping trend line we may see the price action naturally be drawn to this area.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened bearishly as the price action tests the lows of Monday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to test the 1335.00 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Gold trade down to the 1310.00 support level.


    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Monday AUDUSD continued to traded at the 0.9390 resistance level.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. The target for the large inverse head and shoulders pattern at 0.9535 is now within reach.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bearishly as the price action tests the lows of Monday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential test of the 0.9535 resistance level.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back down to the 0.9390 support level.




    Oil



    Summary
    Monday Oil traded marginally higher but closed slightly above its opening pricec and above the 103.00 support level.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened quietly as the price action trades within Monday’s candles range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 105.00 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade down to the 103.00 support level.

  10. #220

    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis
    16th April 2014





    EURUSD




    Summary
    Tuesday EURUSD traded around its averages in what was a news driven small range but volatile days trading.

    Market overview
    EURUSD continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1.3741 level being the 24th January swing high. The daily trend is now in gear with the strong weekly up trend. This price action has put the daily time frame in gear with the positive weekly trend. Furthermore the large head and shoulders pattern would appear to be invalidated by the recent bullish momentum.

    Focus on today
    This morning EURUSD has opened bullishly as the price action tests the high of Tuesday’s candle.

    I am this morning monitoring the price actions for a potential upside move to the 1.3900 level.

    Alternatively if EURUSD fails to sustain higher prices there is a possibility we see a test of trend line support.



    GBPUSD




    Summary
    Tuesday GBPUSD traded through the 1.6700 level but found support at the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    GBPUSD has traded above the 1.6668 being the prior isolated pivot high. This price activity has effectively changed the daily trend to up and puts it in line with the bullish weekly outlook. Last week’s price activity has as expected, broken the converging triangle to the upside. However past two day’s price action has seen a move back to the converging triangle and the 1.6700 level and 8 period daily moving averages which should offer a level of support. A failure to maintain upside momentum at these levels will put a significant question on the strength of the daily trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning GBPUSD has opened quietly as the price action trades at the highs of Tuesday’s candle range.

    I am today monitoring the price action for a bounce off the 1.6700 support level.

    Alternatively if GBPUSD cannot sustain higher prices could see the price action retest the 34 period daily moving averages.



    USDJPY





    Summary
    Tuesday USDJPY for the 6th day continued to trade in a range around the 101.70 support level.

    Market overview
    The breach of the 102.83 level being the swing high of the 21st February has effectively changed the daily trend to up and therefore putting this time frame into gear with the bullish weekly time frame. The recent price action has seen a failure of the head and shoulders pattern which confirms the current upward momentum. However USDJPY is now experiencing a strong corrective pull back. A breach of the 101.19 level being the 14th March low would change the daily trend to down.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDJPY has opened strongly as the price action trades above the highs of Tuesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring USDJPY for a test of the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see USDJPY retest the 101.70 support level.



    USDCHF





    Summary
    Tuesday USDCHF continued to correct to the upside as the price action traded back to its averages.

    Market overview
    USDCHF continues to trade in a negative daily and weekly swing bias but the recent price action is beginning to take on a bullish feel to it. That recent 5 day collapse off trend line resistance has invalidated the inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am therefore considering the break down from trend line and Fibonacci resistance as a resumption of the down trend.

    Focus on today
    This morning USDCHF has opened quietly as it trades within Tuesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action to see if USDCHF can potentially bounce lower of the averages and take out the 0.8743 level being the 11th April pivot low.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could possibly see a test of the averages and move towards the down trend line.



    Gold



    Summary
    Tuesday Gold broke down from its averages as the price action slashed traded higher as the price action tested the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    Gold continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 1267.99 level being the swing high of the 10th December. The test of the large downward sloping trend line adds impetus to the current positive swing bias. Furthermore we have witnessed a large multi month double bottom forming which could indicate a large upside trend reversal is a possibility.

    However the weekly time frame continues to point down. That the recent rejection of higher prices has come off a bounce from a downward sloping trend line and Fibonacci resistance level could indicate that the recent rally in Gold is part of a bigger cycle correction that ultimately sends Gold lower.

    More recently Gold has experienced a strong rally that has push the price action back into the daily averages. This area can possibly be viewed as a value area to add shorts. Notwithstanding as Gold is now approaching the large downward sloping trend line we may see the price action naturally be drawn to this area.

    Focus on today
    This morning Gold has opened quietly as the price action trades at the lows of Tuesday’s candle range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for Gold to test the 50% Fibonacci support level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain lower prices could see Gold to bounce off Fibonacci support and trade up to the 1335.00 resistance level.




    AUDUSD



    Summary
    Tuesday AUDUSD continued broke below the 0.9390 resistance level and traded down to the 8 period daily moving averages.

    Market overview
    AUDUSD has been trading in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 0.9080 level being the swing high of the 18th February. However the weekly chart continues to trade in a weekly down trend with the price action now trading into the Fibonacci resistance area. The target for the large inverse head and shoulders pattern at 0.9535 is now within reach.

    Focus on today
    This morning AUDUSD has opened bearishly with the price auctioning already testing the lows of Tuesday’s candle range.

    I am this morning monitoring the price action for a potential move beneath the low of Tuesday’s candle range and move into the direction of the 34 period daily moving averages.

    Alternatively if AUDUSD fails to sustain lower prices there is a possibility that AUDUSD trades back above the 0.9390 level.


    Oil



    Summary
    Tuesday Oil traded tested the the 103.00 support level but failed to sustain a move lower.

    Market overview
    Oil continues to trade in a daily uptrend following the breach of the 100.72 level being the swing high of the 24th December. The daily and weekly times both have a positive bias. The recent price activity has seen the price action perform a text book move by trading down to Fibonacci support and from there bouncing higher.

    Focus on today
    This morning Oil has opened quietly as the price action trades within Tuesday’s candles range.

    Today I am monitoring the price action for a test 105.00 resistance level.

    Alternatively a failure to sustain higher prices could see Oil trade down to the 103.00 support level.

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