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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX

  1. #321

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 05.02.2015





    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Yesterday’s announcement by the ECB that it was lifting its waiver on Greek debt sent the Euro in free fall.

    EURUSD slashed through multiple support levels before finally stalling at the 1.1310 level.

    This morning EURUSD has bounced off this level and is testing the 1.1365 resistance level.from down to up.

    The move lower has seen EURUSD breach its channel bottom. I will therefore be monitoring the price action for a continuation of the move lower.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.1310 level.

    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD yesterday evening gave up some of its gains as the price action corrected downward.

    The price action has now put in place a double bottom formation at the 1.4990 level.

    This followed a prior break above a large down channel.

    I will this morning monitoring the price action for a resumption of the upward momentum.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.4990 level.

    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    The price action that has unfolded over the past two days has had the effect of creating a double bottom formation above the 116.90 level.

    The daily chart would indicate that a large converging triangle is forming.

    With the trend being so bullish on the weekly time frame I would look for an upside break of this consolidation pattern.

    However as always it would be better to allow the break to happen and then trade the pullback in the direction of the initial move.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 116.90 level.

    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    Yesterday’s breach of the 0.9250 level has technically changed the trend from up to down.

    This moves corresponds to the price action coming into an area of resistance of the 21 period daily moving averages.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 0.9295 level.

    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Following the breach the large down channel AUDUSD has corrected down to the 0.7730 down channel.

    This morning AUDUD has bounced off the 0.7730 support level and is now testing the 0.7800 level.

    From a technical perspective AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.7630 level.

    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    The mini collapse in the price of Gold has now created a double top formation at the 1284.00 level.

    The move lower also took out the 1269.00 level. The breach of this isolated low has technical changed the intraday trend from up to down.

    The price action is now trading with a range of 1254.00 to 1284.00.

    A breach above or beneath these levels could possibly indicate the medium term trend direction.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1284.00 level.

    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    Oil overnight continued with its down side correction that followed off its mini rally.

    This move has taken the price action back into the range of the previous weeks candle.

    With the price action now trading now trading at the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of the move higher I would really like to see the bulls take Oil higher from these levels.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 44.25 level.


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  2. #322

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 06.02.2015



    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Yesterday EURUSD experienced a strong bounce off the 1.1310 level which took the price action back into recently broken up channel.

    This morning EURUSD has bounce lower off the bottom of the up channel.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.1310 level.


    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD has traded higher yesterday as it slashed through a major resistance level which is formed by multiple year support level that was broken early in January.

    This morning I will monitor the price action for a continuation of the move higher.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.5175 level.


    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    The price action that has unfolded over the past two days has had the effect of creating a double bottom formation above the 116.90 level.

    The daily chart would indicate that a large converging triangle is forming.

    With the trend being so bullish on the weekly time frame I would look for an upside break of this consolidation pattern.

    However as always it would be better to allow the break to happen and then trade the pullback in the direction of the initial move.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 116.90 level.


    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    USDCHF is currently trading in a tight range at the top of the recent rally.

    The breach of the 0.9250 has breached the last isolated high.

    I am monitoring the price action for a potential retest of the 0.9340 level.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9200 level.


    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    The Reserve Bank of Australia issued a mixed message overnight but it was enough to push AUDUSD higher.

    This morning I am monitoring the price action for a retest of the 0.7860 level.

    From a technical perspective AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.


    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    The mini collapse in the price of Gold has now created a double top formation at the 1284.00 level.

    The move lower also took out the 1269.00 level. The breach of this isolated low has technical changed the intraday trend from up to down.

    The price action is now trading with a range of 1254.00 to 1284.00.

    A breach above or beneath these levels could possibly indicate the medium term trend direction.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1284.00 level.


    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    Yesterday Oil bounced off the 48.00 level. I was anticipating such a move as the price action had retreated back to a Fibonacci support area.

    This morning I am monitoring the price action for a continuation of the move to the 54.15 level.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 47.50 level.



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  3. #323

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 09.02.2015




    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Friday close EURUSD has retraced back to 1.1310 support level, which took the price action back towards the down trading channel.

    This morning EURUSD has bounced slightly higher off that support level.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 1.1310 level.

    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    After reaching 1.5350 on Friday GBPUSD has retraced back to 1.5220 support level, where the price has stabilized this morning.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.5340 level.

    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    The USDJPY pair has shot back to 119.20 level, as at the end of Friday’s session.

    With bullish trend on the weekly time frame, the probability of an upside break of this pattern is very high.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 116.90 level.

    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF is continuing to trade in a tight range, which begun at 29 of January.

    We are monitoring the price action for a potential retest of the 0.9340 level.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9200 level.

    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    The recent statement of Reserve Bank of Australia did not have enough power to push AUDUSD higher.

    This morning we are looking for the the price action to retest of the 0.7860 level.

    From a technical perspective AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.

    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    There was a second pull down of the Gold price on the Friday afternoon, which has reached 1228, 00 level.

    The move lower also took out the 1269.00 level. The breach of this isolated low has technical changed the intraday trend from up to down.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1225.00 level.

    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    This morning the Oil price felt short of creating a double top at 54.15 level and has retraced at the resistance of 53.00.

    This morning we are monitoring the price action for a continuation of the move to the 54.15 level.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 47.50 level.


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  4. #324

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 11.02.2015



    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    EURUSD continue to range around 1.1310 level. Currently it is congesting around 1.13 territory in the expectation of the tonight’s outcome of Eurozone meeting regarding the Greek situation.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.1310 level.

    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD is still ranging in the range 1.52 – 1.5270 region, before continuingon further direction.

    On a Daily chart the pair is trading within downtrend channel, therefore entering the buy orders will still not be prudent at the moment.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 1.5280 level.

    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    The USDJPY is continuing shooting up and currently approaching 120 resistance level.

    With the strong up trend, which has begun in early 2012, we can see no reversal signs yet.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 120.00 level.

    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF continue to trade in 0.925 range, which begun on 29th of January.

    We continue to monitor the price action for a potential retest of the 0.9340 level.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 0.9200 level.

    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD has retraced back from its unsuccessful attempt to break 0.786 resistance. After creating head and shoulders pattern yesterday, it might try to retest 0.7730 support level.

    From a technical perspective AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.

    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold has resumed its downward trend after the 6th February shot down.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1225.00 level.

    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    This morning the Oil price has made a double top at 54.00 level and has retraced currently

    We are monitoring the price action for a continuation of the move above 54.15 level.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 47.50 level.



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  5. #325

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 12.02.2015




    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    EURUSD became slightly stronger today but continues to trade in 1.1270 – 1.1360 range.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 1.1360 level.


    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD is still ranging in the range 1.52 – 1.5270 region, before continuingon further direction.

    On a Daily chart the pair is trading within downtrend channel, therefore entering the buy orders will still not be prudent at the moment.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 1.5280 level.


    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    The USDJPY is continuing shooting up and currently approaching 120 resistance level.

    With the strong up trend, which has begun in early 2012, we can see no reversal signs yet.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 120.00 level.


    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF continue to trade in 0.925 range, which begun on 29th of January.

    We continue to monitor the price action for a potential retest of the 0.9340 level.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 0.9200 level.


    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD has retraced back from its unsuccessful attempt to break 0.786 resistance. After creating head and shoulders pattern yesterday, it might try to retest 0.7730 support level.

    From a technical perspective AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.


    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold has resumed its downward trend after the 6th February shot down.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1225.00 level.


    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    This morning the Oil price has made a double top at 54.00 level and has retraced currently

    We are monitoring the price action for a continuation of the move above 54.15 level.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 47.50 level.



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  6. #326

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 13.02.2015





    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    EURUSD continued its yesterday growth, reaching new high of 1.1440 this morning.

    After forming higher low in the second week of February, this might finally be a reversal sign. Especially as the US dollar is weakening currently.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 1.1465 level.

    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD has broken the significant 1.5280 resistance level on the optimistic report by the Bank of England this morning. The pair has reached 1.5387 level.

    On a Daily chart the pair has broken the downwards channel, which formed in July 2014. This could be the first signs of the trend reversal, though we should expect for the trend change confirmation first.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.5485 level.

    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    The USDJPY has fell over 1% this morning as Bank of Japan has announced that it has no plans for further QE.

    From the larger perspective there were still no reversal signs of uptrend of the pair. USDJPY continue trading within 116.00- 120.00 range since December 2014.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 120.70 level.

    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF has finally made a new high after many days consolidation pattern. The pair has reached 0.9335 this morning, the level we were monitoring for the number of days.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9340 level.

    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD continues its downtrend, after a new resistance level at 0.770 was formed.

    The pair has pulled down sharply, as the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut its interest rate to the record low on February 3. AUDUSD continue to fall as more traders entering short positions, fearing of further interest cuts in March.

    From a technical perspective the pair is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 0.700 level.

    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold price has strengthened slightly, after it has reached a significant support level at 1216.00.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1216.00 level.

    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    Oil price has extended its morning gains, after it failed to reach 47.50 support line and formed higher low.

    We continue to monitor the price action for a continuation of the move above 54.15 level.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour range with the line of control at the 48.00 level.





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  7. #327

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – NEW YORK OPEN 16.02.2015




    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    A combination of the Presidents day holiday and the Euro Group meeting has led to quiet trading.sign. Especially as the US dollar is weakening currently.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.1270 level.


    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD this morning did put in a new recent high however the price action was not able to sustain the move higher.

    This has led to a strong decline back down to Friday’s low.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.5195 level.


    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDJPY has experienced a quiet days trading as the price action remaining within Friday’s range.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 118.25 level.


    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF continues to trade withing a tight range under the recent 0.9340 high.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9265 level.


    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD has this morning confined its trading within Friday’s range.

    A double bottom has formed above the 0.7630 level.

    From a technical perspective the pair is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 0.7800 level.


    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold this morning has broken above the top of its large down channel.

    This could a possible sign that the current down trend is coming to an end.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1221.00 level.


    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    Following its recent bounce Oil is now trading with a 48 to 54 range.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 48.00 level.



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  8. #328

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – NEW YORK OPEN 17.02.2015





    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    An up tick in ZEW data helped pushed the Euro higher this morning.

    The price rise was however halted at the 1.1440 resistance level.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.1440 level.



    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD CPI data came in at expected at 0.3% which was lower than the prior months 0.5%

    The price action has been so far this morning rather choppy with the price action trading within a tight range.

    However GBPUSD continues to trade back above prior broken multiple year trend line support.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.5440 level



    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    This morning USDJPY has bounced off the 118.25 level.

    This has seen the price action test the 118.85 resistance level.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 119.20 level.



    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    This afternoon the SNB chairman is due to speak.

    This could cause volatility in the markets with traders monitoring the current flexible floor and ceiling levels.

    USDCHF continues to trade within a tight range under the recent 0.9340 high.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9265 level.



    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    The AUDUSD has continued to trade higher as the price action breached the 0.7800 resistance level.

    A double bottom has formed above the 0.7630 level.

    From a technical perspective the pair is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.



    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold has continued to decline following yesterday’s attempt to trade back above the down channel.

    We still require a move above yesterday’s pivot high of 1236.65 to confirm that the uptrend is intact.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1221.00 level.



    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted yesterday:

    Following its recent bounce Oil is now trading with a 48 to 54 range.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 48.00 level.



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  9. #329

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – NEW YORK OPEN 18.02.2015



    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    The markets continue to feel the fall out of the Greek debt impasse with the ongoing indecision can be seen in the charts with EURUSD trading within a large converging triangle.

    The price action has so far failed to break above the 1.1440 resistance level.

    EURUSD needs to trade above this level if the current upward momentum is to be confirmed.

    A breach of the triangle formation in either direction could indicate the path of possible market direction.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.1440 level.


    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    The good UK data had the effect of sending higher.

    This had followed a bounce off the area of the channel bottom.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.5440 level.


    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    This morning USDJPY has traded above the 119.20 resistance level.

    I want to see a pull back and a retest of this level to confirm that the trend is changing to up.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 119.20 level.


    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF continues to trade higher as the price action this morning has broken above the 0.9370 resistance level.

    This up move has created a rather distinct up channel.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.9265 level.


    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD has had a quiet days trading as the price action consolidates above the 0.7800 support level.resistance level.

    A double bottom has formed above the 0.7630 level.

    From a technical perspective the pair is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.7730 level.


    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted this morning:

    The drop off in the price of Gold gather pace yesterday as the price action moves to test the 1200.00 level.

    With the price action now trading into a Fibonacci support area I am monitoring the price action for signs of downward momentum dissipating.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1221.00 level.


    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    As posted this morning:

    The recent up move in the price the price of Oil has had the effect of creating a large converging triangle formation.

    I am monitoring the price action for a potential breach of the triangle top.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 48.00 level.



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  10. #330

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    ACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 19.02.2015





    EURUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    EURUSD has been trading in a broad up channel for some 7 sessions.

    However the 1.1440 level continues to offer EURUSD some stiff resistance.

    From a technical perspective EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour down trend with the line of control at the 1.1440 level.


    GBPUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    GBPUSD continues to rise off the back of good UK data.

    This can be seem by the price action trading within a a large up channel.

    From a technical perspective GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour up trend with the line of control at the 1.5340 level.

    USDJPY



    The intraday technical outlook

    Yesterday USDJPY has traded off its highs as the price action moves in the direction of the 118.25 support level.

    A bounce off this level and a successful retest of the 119.20 resistance level would confirm that a new up trend is under way.

    From a technical perspective USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour up trend with the line of control at the 118.25 level.


    USDCHF



    The intraday technical outlook

    USDCHF continues to trade higher with the price action having broken above the above the 0.9370 resistance level.

    This up move has created a rather distinct up channel.

    From a technical perspective USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour up trend with the line of control at the 0.9310 level.


    AUDUSD



    The intraday technical outlook

    AUDUSD continues to spike higher and fall back.

    I would really like to see AUDUSD to trade above the current structure and breach the 0.7900 level so as to confirm that major up side correction is underway.

    From a technical perspective the pair is trading in an intraday 1 hour up trend with the line of control at the 0.7770 level.

    GOLD



    The intraday technical outlook

    Gold continued to trade lower yesterday however late in the sessions we did get a good bounce off the 1200 area.

    With the price action now trading into a Fibonacci support area I am monitoring the price action for signs of downward momentum dissipating.

    From a technical perspective Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour up trend with the line of control at the 1240.00 level.


    OIL



    The intraday technical outlook

    Oil yesterday broke under its up channel and large triangle structure.

    With Crude inventory numbers out this afternoon and unexpected increase in stockpiles could send Oil falling.

    From a technical perspective Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 54.15 level.




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