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Thread: Analytics from Fibo Group

  1. #11

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    Forex analytics

    Market Watch

    Italy shows more rounds of disappointing data


    US and European stock markets are in a bearish trend and there are no real reasons the situation will change. In fact, the volatility of the stock indices reflects the real mood and expectations of large investors - a panic mood. The reason for the panic is total quarantine in most European countries, as well as other countries in the world.
    It is worth noting that by the end of last week, the amount of sellers, both on the stock market and foreign exchange market, had noticeably declined. For example, buyers of the EUR / USD and GBP / US currency pairs managed to compensate for some of the lost positions. But today we are seeing a moderate weakening of EUR and GBP.
    So, the quotes of the EUR / USD currency pair returned to the psychological level of 1.0700, while only a break of support at 1.0650 will indicate the possibility of a further selloff to 1.0570 and 1.0500. The situation with the GBP / USD currency pair is similar - after an unsuccessful attempt by buyers to push the pound higher, the pair returned to the support level of 1.1655. As a result, the risk of a breakdown of support at 1.1540 and a further decline to 1.1425–1.1465 is quite possible.
    Let me remind you that the ECB continues to use not only verbal interventions, but also various tools to stabilize the economy. At the same time, regular statements by representatives of the ECB about the readiness to participate more actively if necessary, play an important role, thereby providing support to the stock market while at the same time putting pressure on the EUR.
    Turning to the oil market, which continues to decline, I note the increasing risk of a collapse in the price of WTI in the region of $ 16– $ 18 per barrel. At the same time, I do not expect prices to remain at this level for the long-. Therefore, I consider the decline in oil prices as a more favorable point for opening long positions. Of course, we are talking about medium-term trading in the context of several weeks, possibly even months.
    To sum up, I will turn to the US and their attempts to restrain panic in the financial markets, as well as among the population. We are talking about a package of incentive measures for some sectors of the economy, for example, industrial, as well as airlines, small businesses and households. They plan to allocate at least $ 1 trillion for this, which should help markets avoid further losses in the long run.

    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!
    Trading Terms: Forex market analysis by our experts - FIBO Group
    Account Opening: Forex and CFD trading since 1998 - FIBO Group forex broker



    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #oil #GBPUSD #crisis #MarketWatch #Europe #USA #Italy

  2. #12

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    The Federal Reserve just pledged asset purchases with no limit to support markets

    The Fed announced an “endless” quantitative easing to support the economy. The markets soared up.
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    The press release includes a lot of incentives.
    We're giving you a short summary. In our opinion, there are only two most important points:
    1. Unlimited QE in relation to government bonds and mortgage securities agencies.
    2. Repurchase of corporate bonds and various measures of credit support to companies in the amount of $300 billion.
    The second point is very important, since it is corporate debts that are now in a severe stress and demonstrate a crushing collapse.
    The markets are trying to stabilize on this news.
    How long will it last? Share your opinion in the comments!

    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!
    Trading Terms: Forex market analysis by our experts - FIBO Group
    Account Opening: Forex and CFD trading since 1998 - FIBO Group forex broker



    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #fed

  3. #13

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    Fed Official Warns of 30% Unemployment

    The US government has reconsidered the forecast for the number of unemployed in the United States. This Thursday, an increase in the number of unemployed is expected to reach one million at a rate of 220 thousand per week over the past 3-5 years ...
    American businesses are closed nationwide. This could provoke a halving of GDP growth in the next three months and pull the dollar even higher.
    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!
    Trading Terms: Forex market analysis by our experts - FIBO Group
    Account Opening: Forex and CFD trading since 1998 - FIBO Group forex broker



    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #USA #dollar #unemployment

  4. #14

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    The dollar is falling due to Fed stimulus measures

    - The dollar fell on Tuesday: tough financing conditions eased somewhat after the US Federal Reserve did its best to provide much-needed dollar liquidity.

    - On Monday, the Fed announced unlimited quantitative easing and credit market support programs in a decisive attempt to support an economy struggling with extreme trade restrictions to fight coronavirus.

    We can confidently say that we are out of the phase when all assets (stocks, bonds and gold) were sold. Now the situation resembles a controlled fall.

    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!


    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #USA #dollar

  5. #15

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    Market Watch

    The calm after the storm


    The situation in the financial markets is stabilizing, but is seen as only a temporary phenomenon, since most countries still cannot control the spread of the virus. Currently, Europe and the United States are forced to keep the population at home, thereby putting added pressure on their own economies which results in an overall weakness in the global economy.
    Currently, main topic is the intention of the US government to allocate about $ 2 trillion to save the economy. This stimulus package provides for business financing, as well as direct financial assistance to the population. According to data published by Reuters in the United States, about 100 million people are forced to stay at home due to quarantine, which is almost a third of the total population.
    Pay attention to the US stock market, most of the shares returned to the green zone, since the allocation of interest-free loans will allow companies to significantly improve the current state of affairs, including restructuring their financial obligations, as well as redeeming their own shares at lower prices (at a market price that is currently significantly below the average for the last 12 months).
    At the same time, I will draw your attention to the weakening of the US dollar, which has occurred over the last few days against most currencies. So, for example, the GBP / USD currency pair has already overcome the technical resistance area 1.1880–1.1900, thereby opening the way to the psychological and at the same time technical resistance level 1.2000.
    I also draw attention to the publication of a weaker than expected report regarding business conditions, as well as the current situation and economic expectations in Germany from IFO. Despite data coming in below expectations, the demand for the EUR / USD pair remains stable which probably has more to do with USD weakness. Nevertheless, active purchases of EUR / USD should remain subdued until the signing of the bill to provide financial assistance in the United States, which is likely to exert strong, but short-term pressure on the USD.
    Since most countries of the world are still in quarantine, long-term purchases of stock indices remain at risk.

    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!
    Trading Terms: Forex market analysis by our experts - FIBO Group
    Account Opening: Forex and CFD trading since 1998 - FIBO Group forex broker


    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #oil #GBPUSD #crisis #MarketWatch #Europe #USA

  6. #16

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    WHO: United States could become coronavirus epicenter

    New cases of coronavirus infection are observed in the United States.

    Representatives of some US states and municipalities criticize the federal government for the lack of coordinated action that provokes local competition for medical equipment. This was reported by Reuters, noting that the existence of the problem was recognized by Donald Trump.

    - “The world market for face masks and ventilators is crazy,” the President of the United States tweeted. “We're helping states get equipment, but it's not easy.”

    85% of the new cases of coronavirus observed in the last day were recorded in Europe and the United States (with 40% of this number in the states).
    =====
    Trade with the FIBO Group!
    Trading Terms: Forex market analysis by our experts - FIBO Group
    Account Opening: Forex and CFD trading since 1998 - FIBO Group forex broker



    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #dollar #pandemic #coronavirus #epidemic

  7. #17

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    Germany: recession begins

    - IFO business climate index collapses from 96 to 86.1 points in March

    - Assessment of the current situation failed from 99 to 93

    - Business expectations collapsed from 93.1 to 79.7

    These figures were slightly worse than forecasts.
    =======
    The IFO index is close to the minimum values of the previous crisis in 2008/2009 - then it fell to 80.0 (in March 2009). The assessment of the current situation was weaker, while expectations were already starting to improve.
    The current assessment of the situation is still quite high, and this shows that the economy is most likely far from the bottom point. The recession is likely to intensify in the coming months.
    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!


    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #recession #Germany #pandemic #coronavirus

  8. #18

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    G20: Americans want to put pressure on Saudi Arabia at the summit

    USA intends to put pressure on Saudi Arabia on the kingdom’s planned increase in oil production during the G20 summit scheduled on Thursday, which will be held via videoconference. This was reported on Wednesday by the Wall Street Journal, citing sources.

    G20 leaders intend to discuss the spread of coronavirus, but USA also plans to raise the theme of the need to end the price war, which adversely affects US companies and banks. In particular, the United States wants to warn Saudi Arabia that the kingdom could also suffer if Western financial systems are destabilized.

    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!


    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #crisis #oil #SaudiArabia #coronavirus

  9. #19

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    Even a Saudi-Russia Truce Would Be Too Late to Save OPEC+ Legacy

    On Thursday, the States held an urgent teleconference between leaders of the G-10 countries to discuss how to encourage the Saudis to make peace with the Russians.

    Even if President Donald Trump could resolve the conflict between the two exporters, the kingdom had already committed to flood the crude oil market next month. And Moscow in every possible way makes it clear that it will not work. The ceasefire would stop a further collapse in prices, but it is too late to save relations between the former partners, who, until this month, together supported the oil market in a state of equilibrium.

    Back in 2016, when Saudi Arabia and Russia led the global alliance of oil-producing countries, known as OPEC, the main motive for cooperation was the desire to reduce the oversupply of 300 million barrels of oil in industrialized countries, which prevented price increases.

    But now the kingdom is pumping oil at full strength, producing 12 million barrels a day, and demand is falling due to the coronavirus. Goldman Sachs Group Inc estimates that stocks will rise 20 million barrels per day next month.

    Even assuming that storage tanks are capable of holding such a volume, everything OPEC+ has achieved in recent years of casualties and reductions will be destroyed in one month.
    =====
    Trade with the Fibo Group!


    #fibogroup #forex #forexnews #economy #finance #trader #oil #crisis #USA #OPEC #SaudiArabia #Russia #coronavirus #Trump

  10. #20

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    Market Watch

    Another 3.3 million unemployed in the USA


    A crisis is a time of rapid and fairly strong changes not only in the economy, but also amongst the population as panic sets in. Last week, the main talk was the significant deterioration in the economic situation in Europe, which put pressure on European currencies. Investors also began a massive exodus from all stock markets.
    At this point, the US dollar and US government bonds were in great demand, generating a 10 % spike in the US dollar index and causing it to rise to the highest level since 2016. Investor sentiment has changed so far this week causing a pullback in the US currency
    The main reason for the weakening of the USD remains investors' expectations of a record package of monetary stimulus from the Fed and the US government, a bearish fundamental factor for the USD and at the same time bullish for the stock market. A big jump in the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States only increases the likelihood of further stimulation of the economy.
    Let me remind you that the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits approached the mark of 3.3 million with an average of about 200 thousand.
    I will draw your attention to the EUR / USD currency pair. Buyers managed to overcome the resistance area of 1.1040–1.1065, but by the middle of the European trading session, the pair had adjusted to the psychological mark of 1.1000. This indicates a lack of buyers and for now a pause for any further gains in the dollar
    Turning to the current situation in Europe,it is clear that the pessimistic situation in Italy, Spain and France is continuing as they still cannot stop the spread of the virus which may keep the Euro under pressure
    I will also point out the GBP / USD currency pair - a breakdown of support at 1.2140 can cause a fairly strong wave of sales, returning the pair to 1.2000. The risk of a bearish scenario developing remains elevated, as there are still no bullish fundamental factors for the GBP, and the recent growth in the currency can be attributed to USD weakness.
    I will conclude with a review of the transaction for the sale of the USD / JPY currency pair. After the breakdown of the technical support level at 110.50 the trader opened a full lot sell order. A Take Profit order was placed at the next support level of 109.50. As you can see now, the pair has fallen much further, thereby allowing the trader to earn a little more than $ 900. At the same time, the risk was less than $ 300, since the Stop Loss order was placed 25 points above the transaction opening price.

    =============
    Trade with the Fibo Group!


    #MarketWatch

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